Charlie Cook: DOOM.


True moral: turn off your Blackberry during concerts.

He sets the scene thusly:

Imagine sitting in Washington’s Verizon Center, listening blissfully to Carole King and James Taylor, thanks to a fast-thinking friend who managed to score four floor seats. For 50-somethings, it’s a nice place to be. Then, as the concert is winding down, four pages of poll tables of a just-released survey pop up in your BlackBerry. They are jaw-dropping numbers, not inconsistent with what you had been thinking — if anything more a confirmation of it. But the dramatic nature of the numbers brings the real world of politics crashing through what had been a most mellow evening.

…although I’m not entirely certain why the evening should be spoiled in the first place. It’s excellent news.

What harshed Charlie’s mellow here was this NBC/WSJ poll (H/T: Michael Barone) showing a two point lead on the generic ballot for the GOP among registered voters.  Worse – from the Democrats’ point of view – the surveyors found that the voters most enthusiastic about the upcoming election were 2008 McCain voters, while the ones least enthusiastic were 2008 Obama voters*. Coupling the two trends, Charlie concludes:

…the recent numbers confirm that trends first spotted late last summer have fully developed into at least a Category 3 or 4 hurricane.

Given how many House seats were newly won by Democrats in 2008 in GOP districts, and given that this election is leading into an all-important redistricting year, this reversal of fortune couldn’t have happened at a worse time for Democrats.

Indeed.  Speaking of redistricting – actually, speaking of Republican Congressional blowouts – the Republican Governors Association is well-positioned to dominate the November elections.  This should be good news for insurgent Republican candidates hoping to catch Charlie Cook’s prophesied wave…

Moe Lane

*The Democrats are supposedly planning to counter this by pushing for 2008 Obama voters to return to the polls for 2010.  This will do… pretty much nothing for beleaguered incumbent Democrats in districts that McCain won in 2008, but it will help Obama in 2012, which is really all that matters to the Democratic party right now.

Crossposted to Moe Lane.


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Charlie Cook is right, an earthquake is coming.

throwback59 Friday, July 2nd at 11:22PM EST (link)

As a matter of fact “I feel the earth move.” And even though election day seems “So far away,” “You can close your eyes” and see it .Even “Fire and rain” won’t keep us away from the polls. After the election we’ll all wake up and think “How sweet it is.”
For the democrats, of course “It’s too late.”

Actually, a tsunami

Jim Mullins (Diary) Friday, July 2nd at 11:43PM EST (link)

The earthquake occurred on January 19 in Massachusetts. The tsunami is on track to arrive November 2.

I'd say that it more like a Storm surge, Jim

Richard Mullins (Diary) Saturday, July 3rd at 11:58AM EST (link)

A Storm surge of 25 feet or more. Something that will make it hard for them deal with.

Richard Phillip Mullins BlogThe Squash Satire SiteNews on Happy Jet Airlines
Rmullins Pics
Rpmullins Twitter

Joe Biden is like a Decrepit Park owner with a Meth lab that happens to not only be a dealer but a user.

Let’s Bankrupt the Democratic paty. Make spend all the money to defend thier candidates.

 
 

For those that subscribe to Charlie Cook,

Deskpilot (Diary) Saturday, July 3rd at 6:17AM EST (link)

who happens to be among THE most prophetic of politicos, Here’e the breakdown as they might see it:
Nikki Haley thinking that she’s got “Caroline on my mind.”
For those who will be out of work in D.C. come the end of the term,, are the family discussions thus, “I’m leaving on a jet plane”
“Something In The Way She Moves,” polls,Sarah Palin must be thanked by MANY, even though she’s not a 2010 candidate for ANYTHING.

Love their music, not their politics

If you can read this, thank a teacher. If you can still read it in English, You’re Welcome
Deskpilot, AM(H)1 (AW), USN (Ret)

Good idea, dated song choice though.

acat (Diary) Saturday, July 3rd at 10:52AM EST (link)

For Nikki, if she’s not going with the old, old tune “Nothing could be finer than to be in Carolina” then maybe one of the several versions of “Oh Carolina” (with Shaggy’s 1993 version being most recent…) …

“Leavin’ on a jet plane” is a good start, but John Denver is too mellow. Maybe “Jet Airliner” (Steve Miller Band) Also need “The Letter” by The Boxtops, or – I think better – either “500 miles” (Proclaimers) or “25 miles” (Edwin Starr) because, in both cases, they’re *walking* home.

As for Palin, I’d substitute “Mysterious Ways” (U2, of course) because the Dems have no idea what she’s doing or why it’s working.

Needs an overall theme, though. Jethro Tull’s “Thick as a brick” comes to mind, though I doubt the Dems would get it.

Mew

——
self-portrait

“All that is gold does not glitter, not all those who wander are lost”. –Tolkein

I was just in that kind

Deskpilot (Diary) Saturday, July 3rd at 12:01PM EST (link)

of mood for an EARLY Saturday morning.

Happy 4th of July to ALL.
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If you can read this, thank a teacher. If you can still read it in English, You’re Welcome
Deskpilot, AM(H)1 (AW), USN (Ret)

I tried, I FAILED nt

Deskpilot (Diary) Saturday, July 3rd at 12:02PM EST (link)

If you can read this, thank a teacher. If you can still read it in English, You’re Welcome
Deskpilot, AM(H)1 (AW), USN (Ret)

Try Harder

Richard Mullins (Diary) Saturday, July 3rd at 12:21PM EST (link)

ASCII is a art to do right and you might not get it right on the first try

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I think I fixed for you Deskpilot. The 4th is at least one day to be prouder to be an American. At this time, Micheal Stelle might want to join our president in his Anti-American ways.

Richard Phillip Mullins BlogThe Squash Satire SiteNews on Happy Jet Airlines
Rmullins Pics
Rpmullins Twitter

Joe Biden is like a Decrepit Park owner with a Meth lab that happens to not only be a dealer but a user.

Let’s Bankrupt the Democratic paty. Make spend all the money to defend thier candidates.

 
 
 
 
 
 

We just need to get / keep folks motivated to vote.

Old_Crow (Diary) Friday, July 2nd at 11:31PM EST (link)

I actually went door to door for our local Republican group getting signatures to block ‘affordable’, read subsidized, housing in our area – it would raise our taxes.
In the 10 years I have lived in this house, I have never had a republican group come by collecting signatures for ballot initiatives, plenty of dems though.
I feel kind of separated from our community since I’m gone roughly half the year, so haven’t been involved much in local politics.
But heck, I’ll give it a try – unless / until I leave.

“Enlightened statesmen will not always be at the helm.” — James Madison

A knock on our door

burbmom (Diary) Saturday, July 3rd at 2:26PM EST (link)

Early in the last election was a woman trying to organize an Obama neighborhood group. I told I appreciated her enthusiasm, but I’m a Fred Head. You would’ve thought my porch was going up in flames. I, too have never had a Republican knock. I’ve had to search them out.

 
 

If Obama wins in 2012...

smitch61 Friday, July 2nd at 11:53PM EST (link)

So be it. As long as the GOP are in control of the house and the senate, are conservative, and stop him like a ton of bricks.

Umm...

Mayhem (Diary) Saturday, July 3rd at 8:35AM EST (link)

How ’bout no. This is a film in two parts. 2010 is part 1, 2012 is part 2. You can’t have one without the other.

James Madison, Jim DeMint, Margaret Thatcher, Ronald Reagan… You get the picture.

 

and 2 more on the Supreme Court??

maddog (Diary) Saturday, July 3rd at 9:24AM EST (link)

Do not cede any ground in 2012. As smitch61 mentioned, 2010 is only half the film. The good guys winning in 2010 but Obama in 2012 means another 2 appoinments to the Supreme Court and countless others to to lower courts we don’t see. They becoem the left’s judical farm team. Winning in 2010 but losing 2012 doesn’t re-instate the Bush tax cuts. This may stop the egregious stuff but does not to advance our own agenda. You can’t score points by playing defense all the time.

 

Need to reverse the damage.

Brian_Roastbeef (Diary) Saturday, July 3rd at 10:47AM EST (link)

And that can’t come close to being done as long as a left-wing radical such as Obama holds the veto pen.

2012 is important. Focus on 2010 now, but after November 2, the battle continues on to 2012. Holding back at all is akin to the Allies stopping at St. Lo. Still a lot of work to be done even with a remarkable sweep this year.

 
 

and then what....

scm15010 Saturday, July 3rd at 12:05AM EST (link)

I too look forward to the purge of the clowns on the Hill.What I do expect though is there will be plenty of little smoke [and mirror] bombs left in legislation [or lack of] for the expected republican victors, to help them regain those seats and help Obama in 2012.
I remember reading about a speech [2005ish] of then Attorney Gen. Spitzer, who was running for Gov., to a liberal group. He was complaining about Kerry’s loss and detailing what the objectives should be for the next presidential election. His idea was to pound republicans about foreclosures and predatory lending. The problem with that is the foreclosure rate was extremely low at that time, not to become an issue until a good two years down the road. I have wished so many times that I had copied that article and saved. The point is though, even if we win, we have to look for and fight back all attempts to blame republicans for the democrats dirty work, but conservative candidates need to get their little heads out of the sand and look two feet in front of their noses, for those land mines as well!

Couldn't agree more...

trutexan Saturday, July 3rd at 9:14AM EST (link)

The fact that standing Republicans haven’t had the stones to fight back against the lies and twists of the truth have made me more than sick over the past 10 years. W led the way by virtually ignoring all the lies said against him in the MSM, not pointing the finger directly at the Dem-led congress during his last two years, and not once coming back with the truth. He was leading by example to turn the other cheek and the GOP followed suit. Well times have changed and it’s about time the GOP pulled a Sarah Palin on them and came back with both barrells (figuratively of course).

We’re in this economic mess because of Dodd & Frank’s political rules to lend housing loans to people who couldn’t afford to pay them back, the use of the unions have run their course, and handouts vs. hand-ups have run into adinfinitum to those in true need. The American public have been screaming for someone to come to the rescue to tilt the country “right” back to center. Giving in to Dems does exactly the opposite and feeds the liberal-progressive frenzy. Give them an inch and they’ve taken a mile.

It’s time to fight and fight hard. Who on earth are the GOP worried about offending? As they come out with, “You’re damned right we voted against extending unemployment benefits for up to 99 weeks because if we didn’t, millions of people would continue not to look for work or be overly picky about the jobs offered to them and in 99 weeks they would be in the same place they are today. It’s been proven over and over and it’s time to stop. Oh and BTW, the GOP doesn’t have the votes to stop the extension so DEMOCRATS are just as guilty. I suggest somebody starts telling the truth around here!” you will hear a wave of cheering across the fruited plain. Everyone else in the country knows that and applauds the person who stands up and says it. Oh sure the ACLU and Co. will come out with crying points, but who cares? Bowing down to that has proven disasterous for the country.

I was anti-Obama before it was cool.

This one has to be different, Texan...

acat (Diary) Saturday, July 3rd at 10:41AM EST (link)

The problem with the last Conservative Tsunamis is that, after the wave broke, the water receded. Reagan won two terms .. and was unable to establish true change. Gingrich leveraged the Contract With America into a blowout, flipping both houses of Congress for the first time in decades .. and was unable to establish true change.

The reason is simple – Conservatives don’t want to govern, we want to go back to our regular lives. I think we’ve got enough proof – and there are older examples as well – to show that Conservatives need to plan to be in D.C. for the long haul this time. We need to keep the city underwater long enough to wash it clean. We need to stay until relieved – no retreat.

Mew

——
self-portrait

“All that is gold does not glitter, not all those who wander are lost”. –Tolkein

Little Mis Lyndsey Graham is out there saying he is looking for just the kind of receeding wave you mention here

AceInTX (Diary) Saturday, July 3rd at 2:41PM EST (link)

Lindsey Graham, This Year’s Maverick

“Everything I’m doing now in terms of talking about climate, talking about immigration, talking about Gitmo is completely opposite of where the Tea Party movement’s at,” Graham said

“The problem with the Tea Party, I think it’s just unsustainable because they can never come up with a coherent vision for governing the country. It will die out.” Now he said, in a tone of casual lament: “We don’t have a lot of Reagan-type leaders in our party. Remember Ronald Reagan Democrats? I want a Republican that can attract Democrats.” Chortling, he added, “Ronald Reagan would have a hard time getting elected as a Republican today.

What a load of Crap…Reagan railed against people like Graham…He came to the white house after a 20 year history of running against the “Me Too” brand of Republicanism represented by people like Graham and history proves it!

“My God, look what I’m involved in!” he said. “By default, if for no other reason. How do you close Gitmo without working with me now? How do you do immigration?” He added: “What if I walked away from climate change tomorrow? . . . You know, all politicians like to be thought of in their own mind as somebody special. I’m past that now. I’m a little worried. This is not healthy for the country. It’s really not.”

Well Lynsey…maybe we’d be a site better off if none of that happens? have you considered that in all your deal making and across the isle boot licking?

I observed that if this conversation about how to resolve tough issues were taking place in 2006, I would likely be having it not with Graham but with his friend and legislative mentor, John McCain. “Totally agree,” he responded. “I mean, I was the wingman, O.K.?” But, he acknowledged, things are different now: “John’s got a primary. He’s got to focus on getting re-elected. I don’t want my friend to get beat.”

I asked whether he was giving McCain a pass on anything risky this year.

“Yeah,” he said. Graham added that he was thinking about a question I recently asked him: would he be so out there, in a bipartisan way, if he were facing re-election this year rather than four years from now? “The answer’s probably no.”

well…I guess you cant fault Johny Mac’s chamber boy for his honesty…it just blows my mind that anyone is buying the John McCain is a conservative story line…since it’s always been an every six year act

I’m certain the Republican Establishment is operating from the same calculation that the Tea Party movement will fade out…and that the Conservative Resurgence will fade away ….One thing you can compliment Graham for is his Honesty…at least he’s up front about it…which is more than you can say for the DC establishment!

More to come on this:

The “Big Tent” analogy isn’t the correct one…the correct one is a MAGNET…we need to be a MAGNET that draws these independents in who are sick and tired of what’s going on in WashingtonFred Thompson

Graham needs a good primary challenge. [nt]

acat (Diary) Saturday, July 3rd at 10:42PM EST (link)

——
self-portrait

“All that is gold does not glitter, not all those who wander are lost”. –Tolkein

I don't think he's up again till 2014 nt

AceInTX (Diary) Sunday, July 4th at 8:14AM EST (link)
The “Big Tent” analogy isn’t the correct one…the correct one is a MAGNET…we need to be a MAGNET that draws these independents in who are sick and tired of what’s going on in WashingtonFred Thompson

Not sure that matters, Ace.

acat (Diary) Sunday, July 4th at 10:36AM EST (link)

One of the “negatives” about conservatives is our supposed long memories… perhaps Graham would be a good experiment to see whether it’s true.

Mew

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self-portrait

“All that is gold does not glitter, not all those who wander are lost”. –Tolkein

I'm with ya there

AceInTX (Diary) Sunday, July 4th at 4:23PM EST (link)

though I’m not sure about the long memory thing…we did nominate McCain to represent us didn’t we.

But yes, Graham would be a good experiment to see whether it’s true.

The “Big Tent” analogy isn’t the correct one…the correct one is a MAGNET…we need to be a MAGNET that draws these independents in who are sick and tired of what’s going on in WashingtonFred Thompson

Conservatives splintered, conservatives stayed home, McCain was the RINO candidate.

acat (Diary) Sunday, July 4th at 6:47PM EST (link)

But I know what you mean.

Mew

——
self-portrait

“All that is gold does not glitter, not all those who wander are lost”. –Tolkein

 
 
 
 
 
 

OHH...and Reagan won 3 terms nt

AceInTX (Diary) Saturday, July 3rd at 6:17PM EST (link)
The “Big Tent” analogy isn’t the correct one…the correct one is a MAGNET…we need to be a MAGNET that draws these independents in who are sick and tired of what’s going on in WashingtonFred Thompson
 
 
 

Here are some "then what" suggestions

fortcollins (Diary) Saturday, July 3rd at 7:05PM EST (link)

With firm control of the House and possible control of the Senate after January 3, 2011:

(1) Defeat EVERY Obama judicial nominee. All of them. It’s payback time and we can’t both “play nice” with those who truly oppose the constitution and continue to survive as a nation.

(2) Defund Obamacare.

(3) Refuse to pass any deficit budget, even if that means Obama vetoing every budget and shutting down the government. No government > socialist government.

(4) Abolish earmarks.

(5) Mandate that all amendments be germane to the underlying bill.

(6) Mandate roll call votes on all bills and amendments.

(7) Abolish “deem and pass” and the other Demo-garbage we have endured.

(8) Investigate the jobs-for-no-play involving Sestak and Romanoff.

Here are some suggestions after holding the House, taking a huge majority in the Senate, and retaking the White House in 2010. Beginning January 20, 2013:

(1) Repeal Obamacare. Ever last page, section, subsection, clause, pork rind, mandate, tax, and rider. ALL of it.

(2) Pass a fully balanced budget, setting aside 10% of total revenue to reduce the national debt.

(3) Abolish the graduated income tax and pass a flat tax.

(4) Abrogate federal judicial jurisdiction in “diversity of citizenship” cases and in class actions of all kinds. (This would end federal forum-shopping by the tort lawyers.)

(5) Secure our borders. Mandate construction of a full border wall, guarded by our military. Round up and expel all illegals, including those who have “overstayed” student visas. Require real identification for all foreign nationals allowed to enter the U.S. for any lawful purpose. (I fully embrace LEGAL immigration. Generations of legal immigrants have helped build America, and we must not extinguish Miss Liberty’s torch.)

(6) Propose Constitutional Amendments to achieve the following. If Democrats have the votes to block these Amendments, push nationally for a Constitutional Convention. Enough is enough.

(a) Mandate fully balanced budgets, except in times of declared war, and then only for the actual costs of prosecuting the war. Mandate payback of all outstanding debt, including future war debt. “Fully” balanced looks at total revenue and total expenditures, including interest on debt, entitlements, and non-discretionary spending.

(b) Abolish the graduated income tax, replacing it with a flat tax.

(c) Abrogate any legal authority or effect of Executive Orders, Executive Branch administrative regulations, and lesser policy statements, non-binding guidance, and the like.

(d) Protect the sanctity of human life, from conception to natural death.

(e) Impose strict term limits on the House and Senate. (May the terms “political career” or “career politician” never be heard again.)

(f) Impose mandatory judicial retirement at age 70, with merit retention votes within two years of appointment and every six years thereafter for federal district and circuit judges. (The omission of Supreme Court Justices from this provision is intentional.)

(g) Create a right of national referendum to repeal any Act of Congress, if so requested by at least ten states, with no ability of Congress to re-enact the repealed legislation or similar legislation without a further national referendum approving the same before it takes effect.

(h) Strengthen the Tenth Amendment by expressly prohibiting Congress from attaching any mandates to spending bills. (In effect, this abolishes the spending clause and dormant spending clause arguments for federal legislative authority.)

(i) Expressly define and restrict the power of federal courts to interpret the Constitution. Mandate specific rules of constitutional construction, pattered on well-known rules of statutory construction, designed to effectuate the original intent of the provisions.

 
 

I feel a tingle down my leg...

clintonformccain Saturday, July 3rd at 12:14AM EST (link)

I just want to find the nearest bot and ask ‘em how all that hopey changey stuff is working out. Maybe I should go wake up my wife?

LOL,,,

smitch61 Saturday, July 3rd at 1:18AM EST (link)

Literally. : )

 
 

Carole King and James Taylor?!

IJB Saturday, July 3rd at 12:32AM EST (link)

I’d rather drink myself unconscious!…

(While we’re at it, though – maybe someone can ask RCP why they never included this NBC/WSJ poll in their Congressional Vote poll average even though it’s been available for days…)

 

The problem for Democrats is that many of the Obama voters are sorry

Adjoran (Diary) Saturday, July 3rd at 3:21AM EST (link)

His major support came from new voters, especially young voters and newly registered blacks. The blacks are still with him, but those new voters probably can’t be convinced to come out without their hero on the ballot, and many of the young voters are beginning to realize the huge bill they are going to spend their lives paying off.

So, then, Democrats are facing an almost perfect storm in November:

1. The long-standing tendency of the President’s party to lose seats in the midterm (broken only by Bush in 2002 since WWII).
2. The tendency of the demographic groups (young, minority, single female) who support Democrats not to turn out for midterms generally.
3. The tendency of the groups which support Republicans (older, white, married) to turn out for midterms.
4. The high enthusiasm of Republicans and the low enthusiasm among Democrats.
5. The tectonic shift of independents back to Republicans.
6. The completely incompetent job performance of the Obama Administration and the Democratic Congress.

~~~~~~

Personally, I look forward to Election Night. I love to hear the lamentations of their women! I remember Election Night 2004, Susan Estrich was a designated Democratic “contributor” on the Fox News coverage. All afternoon the exit polls had been leaking out, giving Kerry an apparently big win. Estrich was estatic (although neither she nor the anchors could say why, because the exit results were embargoed until after the polls had closed).

As you may recall, those exit polls were completely flawed, and as the actual results came in and didn’t match them, Estrich’s mood darkened, and she began drinking heavily and made a complete fool of herself on the air.

It was sweet, priceless. One of those moments you just want to press between the pages of an old book and keep forever and ever.

his voters were/are ignorant about America

Doc Holliday (Diary) Saturday, July 3rd at 3:30AM EST (link)

and the role of government. They honestly believed if Obama won, all the professionally downtrodden would get over on the productive class. Now they realize they are still unproductive and he can’t change that, they have to change that. So why would they waste their time voting for his caucus of entrenched bureaucrats that only work to enrich themselves?

Molon Labe!

 

And on top of that...

bk (Diary) Saturday, July 3rd at 3:41AM EST (link)

If they voted on him for most of the hopey-changey reasons, like closing Gitmo, getting us out of Iraq, gay rights, immigration rights, and many others, they can see that he’s really done absolutely nothing. So why should they believe him this time?

they voted because "the tv" told them to

Doc Holliday (Diary) Saturday, July 3rd at 4:53AM EST (link)

and it is cool to vote against those who know a bit more than you do about the world.

Molon Labe!

MSM Liberals

Christine (Diary) Saturday, July 3rd at 6:29AM EST (link)

The people who talk liberal and vote liberal because the TV says that’s the way the world is and you have to agree (plus they spin it so you feel guilty if you don’t). When you ask them to explain themselves, they can’t do it beyond the arguements they’ve heard on TV….

…unless they’re also University Liberals, which means they’ve been taught how to speak in those same ways. Then sometimes you’ll hear an extra playbook line or two.

The primary process is FLAWED. Two states should not decide our candidate.

“I would be a poor Commander in Chief”
– Barack Obama, July 3 2008

yes christine

Doc Holliday (Diary) Saturday, July 3rd at 7:15AM EST (link)

but even the “educated” liberals have a small playbook. Ok sure, you can’t convince THEM, because they are too far gone, but you can out debate them with logic and win the crowd. That is the cool think about using logic and the rights of man, in the end, you will win not on style, but substance.

Molon Labe!

 
 
 

Umm...

cari Saturday, July 3rd at 10:03AM EST (link)

I wouldn’t call taking over one sixth of the US economy by nationalizing the healthcare system “nothing”.

But the problem for the Dems is that they passed an unpopular bill without first winning over the hearts and minds of the American people. They won the legislative battle, but lost the PR war.

And my hope is that little, or even better, NONE of the Obamacare bill will be implemented as passed, either by repeal or defunding.

Obama: Change you can make-believe in.

 
 

Hey...don't forget the vision of Carvil witha trash can on his head....Priceless

AceInTX (Diary) Saturday, July 3rd at 6:23PM EST (link)

Ohh and the lamentations of their women….

The “Big Tent” analogy isn’t the correct one…the correct one is a MAGNET…we need to be a MAGNET that draws these independents in who are sick and tired of what’s going on in WashingtonFred Thompson
 
 

2012

gwalt Saturday, July 3rd at 7:03AM EST (link)

Still don’t believe he is running for a second term. He is already bored, annoyed, and wounded.

Hillary took SecState to get Foreign Policy chops, her biggest stumbling block in 2008 ( that and she wasn’t/isn’t black).

No way in Hades she is going to sit around and wait for 2016. He is moving on to cash in on bllions awaiting the first, historic, black, post racial doofus-in-chief.

Let him.

“A lot of briefing for a 2 hr. special with Dan Rather. Saw the show & wonder why we bothered”. –Ronald Reagan, The Reagan Diaries (January 27, 1982)

Bored, yes . . .

BlueStateSaint Saturday, July 3rd at 7:35AM EST (link)

But, I think that he’s upset by the pace of the “change” he feels that he was anointed to bring. I expect him to attempt to “rule” by Executive Order, heavily, in the second part of his term. I also expect that (use of EOs) to absolutely infuriate the majority of Americans, so as to “poison the well,” so to speak, for the Dems for at least 20 years–and more like 40.

Heh.

Mayhem (Diary) Saturday, July 3rd at 8:37AM EST (link)

Americans don’t have a 40 year memory (or a 20 year memory). I mean, just look how fast they are returning to the GOP after Bush.

Politics is fluid.

James Madison, Jim DeMint, Margaret Thatcher, Ronald Reagan… You get the picture.

Yes strangely, fool that I am, I find myself

cactusjack Saturday, July 3rd at 10:10AM EST (link)

missing 4.5 % national unemployment.

 
 
 
 

Carol King and James Taylor?

kyle8 (Diary) Saturday, July 3rd at 7:52AM EST (link)

OH god! kill me now! That would be sheer torture and agony.

The two absolutely most overplayed pop stars from the 1970′s.

“Nothing works like freedom, Nothing succeeds like liberty”
Kyle

 

Here's what is ironic

rdelbov Saturday, July 3rd at 8:40AM EST (link)

The liberal democrats is unhappy that Obama is not liberal enough and that he has wasted his mandate. The AA community is mad at him because of what they perceive as a lack of payback to them. The AA community has actually suffered worse under the Obama adminstration-job losses have hit that community very hard. So these two vote bloc are discouraged and if he go after them like Coakley did but preaching the liberal dogma it will loses the middle and inflames the right.

On the flip side the blue dog message-like Lincoln/Ellsworth-of running away from Obama depresses the left without getting much traction in the middle. I think we will see numerous blue dogs fall this year as the left stays home or withholds their vote or goes third party. There is a feeling on the lefty side that blue dogs and other moderates have betrayed the cause/obama adminstration.

 

They already have HCR and financial reform is coming.

earlgrey (Diary) Saturday, July 3rd at 9:22AM EST (link)

That is a lot. I am still not convinced of what can be done, but no matter how many seats change hands, it won’t be enough for me

 

2010 Midterm - writ large

lukematthews (Diary) Saturday, July 3rd at 11:36AM EST (link)

I’m quite surprised that the numbers, all of which are weighted toward Obama, are looking so dismal. When digging into the polls, they are consistantly undercounting Republicans and Independents and overcounting Democrats. This shows a definite softening in the Party support base. After reviewing all the major polls from Real Clear Politics, with the exception of Rasmussen, they all tweaked the numbers so it should have serious improved Obama’s metrics. Cook’s analysis looks grims for Democrats but the inside of the polls look even worse.

 

You're a disgrace!

sccrenny (Diary) Saturday, July 3rd at 11:42AM EST (link)

For carrying a “loaded” Blackberry to a JT/CK concert! Troglodyte! You had the opportunity to enjoy a perfect evening. Wouldn’t that news have topped off a perfect evening after the concert rather than interrupt it midstream?

Tongue out of cheek, our evening in Atlanta on the floor was magic, and a much-needed respite from worrying about how we fix our country. Outside during intermission I ran across a 26-yo with g/f who scored his parents’ tickets. He said he had tears in his eyes the whole first set.

That I had attended a Neil Young concert 4 days before created a totally out-of-body week for a rightwinger like me. I kept thinking how distraught and traumatized these poor musicmakers will be after Nov.

When I look at Barack Obama I don’t see black. I don’t see white. I do, however see RED! It’s the same color I see when I look at Pelosi, Reid, ACORN, SEIU…

Precinct Delegate since 2010