“If he doesn’t get over 50 percent, he should probably consider dropping out, like everyone else has when they don’t win their home state in a dramatic fashion,” Cruz campaign manager Jeff Roe said in an interview on ABC News’ “Powerhouse Politics” podcast Thursday.
While quipping that he doesn’t expect the GOP frontrunner to take his advice, Roe also acknowledged that Trump is the “huge favorite” headed into the New York primary and that it is an “away game” for Cruz, who did little to invite the New York vote when earlier in the campaign cycle he criticized Trump for having “New York values.”
“I’m assuming Donald is very strong in his home state,” Roe said.
Still, Roe said the campaign sees a path for Cruz to walk away with at least some delegates from the Empire State through a targeted strategy of focusing on so-called “orphan districts” with low levels of GOP participation, where the campaign hopes the Texas senator may be able to sway the small number of active Republican voters.
Yes, there is some trolling of Trump but the point is valid. Unless Trump breaks 50% in New York, as it is only a three-way race, it shows that Trump really has no base outside the crowds he can attract to his freak show events. Not only is New York Trump’s home state, much of it is much more tolerant of his oafishness and egregious lack of morals than other states.
While Cruz did not break 50% in Texas, he did get 44% in a much more crowded, 5-man field. The anti-Trump vote was 73% of all votes cast.
Roe is also lowering expectations for Cruz. Ted Cruz is not a great match for New York in either personality or philosophy. At the same time, he his raising expectations for Kasich. By saying Trump can be kept below 50% and that Cruz shouldn’t be expected to do all that well the implication is that Kasich has to take responsibility for stopping Trump.