One week ahead of the special election in eastern North Carolina’s 3rd congressional district, a new poll of 500 likely voters from RRH Elections shows State Rep. Greg Murphy (R) leading his main rival, former Greenville Mayor Allen Thomas (D), by a margin of 51%-40%. Libertarian Tim Harris and Constitution Party candidate Greg Holt trail with 2% and 1% respectively, and 6% remain undecided.

This special election in this R+12 district is to replace Republican Rep. Walter Jones, Jr. who passed away in February.

The survey also shows that Trump’s approval rating is slightly positive in the conservative-leaning district. In hypothetical 2020 matchups, Trump holds a lead over Joe Biden in the presidential race, while LG Dan Forest (R) has a modest lead over Gov. Roy Cooper (D) in the gubernatorial race in the district. The poll of 500 likely voters was conducted by RRH Elections through landline and cell phone calls, and has a margin of error of 4%. RRH Elections is solely responsible for data analysis for this survey, including demographic weighting. The survey results were weighted by gender only. RRH Elections is a group of volunteer hobbyist bloggers that has no connection to any candidate or organization active in this race. This poll was entirely crowd-funded by donations from the readers of our blog.

CLICK HERE for the full results!