Sen. Ted Cruz is walking into the final days before Election Day maintaining his lead over Democratic Rep. Robert “Beto” O’Rourke.
According to the latest (and last) poll before Nov. 6 from the Univ. of Texas at Austin and The Texas Tribune, Cruz has a 6 point lead with likely voters over O’Rourke, with Cruz at 51 percent to Beto’s 45 percent.
It shouldn’t be that big of a surprise that outside of El Paso, the establishment Republican — which Cruz has now become — is leading in Texas seeing as how O’Rourke is a Democrat with a voting record that aligns with the Bernie Sanders-wing of the party.
Gov. Greg Abbott has also kept his double-digit lead over Democrat Lupe Valdez, who seems to be running mostly on identity politics as a woman who’s also Hispanic and lesbian — a veritable trifecta — next to Abbott who’s only disabled, but still a white male.
One of the more interesting aspects contained in the poll is the favorability deficit between Cruz and O’Rourke. We constantly hear about how Cruz’s tone is the reason why none of the major Texas news publications endorsed Cruz. While at the same time the Beto leg-humping media have fawned over O’Rourke’s seeming civility.
However, likely voters in Texas aren’t that impressed with O’Rourke because his favorability is underwater by 5 points (44-49). While Cruz has a net favorability of 7 percentage points (51-44). That’s a swing of 12 points between the two.
It’s looking more likely every day that the Beto lovefest will largely be limited to media outlets while Cruz will win with actual voters. Supporters of O’Rourke would do well to make their post-election therapy appointments now as availability is likely to be limited after Nov. 6.