New CDC Figures Show Fauci's Dishonest COVID-19 Projections Were Garbage

(AP Photo/Molly Riley)
AP featured image
Dr. Anthony Fauci, Director, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health, testifies before the House Energy and Commerce subcommittee hearing looking into the effectiveness of vaccines in the wake of a measles outbreak and the exceptionally severe flu season, on Capitol Hill in Washington, Tuesday, February 3, 2015. (AP Photo/Molly Riley)

This madness has to end now.

Every single lockdown order inflicted on the American people these past few months needs to be rescinded immediately.

Once that’s done, Fauci has to be investigated to find out why on earth he pushed these catastrophic measures on us using projections he knew to be false. He also needs to be indicted for peddling his lies before Congress and held criminally accountable for all the death and devastation he’s caused as well.

In case you hadn’t heard, Matt Margolis over at PJ Media is reporting that the CDC now estimates the case fatality rate (CFR) of COVID-19 to be only .4 percent. As Margolis points out, that’s much lower than the numbers used to frighten us into these lockdowns. But there are a few factors he doesn’t mention that demonstratively show we were unspeakably deceived rather than merely the victims of some disastrous but ultimately honest mistake.

The CFR is the death rate restricted to just those cases in which someone with symptoms had a test confirming they were infected. Since it factors in neither asymptomatic cases nor unconfirmed symptomatic ones, it’s going to substantially overstate the infection fatality rate (IFR), which is the death rate among the totality of all those infected.

And, of course, it’s the IFR which represents the odds a random person who contracts the virus has of dying. The CFR, on the other hand, isn’t really of any interest if you’re just a normal person trying to understand how dire a threat we’re facing. It gets massively skewed by the over-representation of serious cases among those who get tested and because it doesn’t factor in asymptomatic infections at all.

Moreover, the skewing isn’t even uniform. Its extent depends upon the availability of tests and the policies in place concerning when they’re to be given. Both of which vary between different localities and even in the same one at different times.

The CDC is also now estimating that only 65% of those who contract the COVID-19 virus actually wind up with any symptoms. That means the IFR will be at most 65% of the CFR since the latter is only counting symptomatic cases. That puts COVID-19’s fatality rate at below .26%. But, given that testing has been relatively rare even among those who show symptoms, it’s bound to be substantially lower.

Margolis says that the IFR will actually be .26%. But that calculation depends on assuming that everyone who caught the virus and developed symptoms was tested, which is clearly not even close to true. The .26% figure he cites is, at best, an upper limit on the IFR, which is actually bound to be at least several times lower.

As Margolis points out, initially, we were told that COVID-19’s CFR was 3.4%, which is 8.5 times higher than the current CDC estimate of .4%. But he doesn’t note that those pushing this – as it’s turned out – vastly inflated number didn’t distinguish between the CFR and IFR. Instead, the 3.4% figure was sold to us as COVID-19’s unqualified “death” or “mortality” rate.

We were subjected to hundreds of stories like this one from CNBC headlined, ‘WHO Says Coronavirus Death Rate Is 3.4% Globally, Higher Than Previously Thought.’ CNBC also cites the 3.4% figure as COVID-19’s unqualified “mortality rate” in their lead sentence. Since anyone reading these claims would immediately assume they represented his or her chances of dying upon contracting the virus, the percentages we were bombarded with would have been despicably deceptive even if COVID-19’s CFR really had been 3.4%.

Moreover, throughout March, Fauci himself issued dire warnings that COVID-19 was “at least 10 times more lethal than the flu.” He swore to it while testifying to Congress on March 11, generating a blizzard of scare-mongering headlines hammering the frightening numerical comparison into our heads. And he repeated the bogus numbers in a March 27 appearance on Comedy Central.

The flu’s IFR is estimated to be around .1%. As we noted above, the CDC is now saying that even COVID-19’s CFR is only .4%. And they’re now citing a percentage for asymptomatic cases which implies that the virus’s actual lethality is several times lower than .26%. Moreover, as Margolis pointed out in a decidedly useful earlier column, at least 3 major research studies have concluded that COVID-19 has around the same IFR as the flu.

None of this even factors in the preponderance of reasons guaranteeing that COVID-19’s U.S. death tally is itself being massively inflated. The bottom line is that Fauci’s claim that COVID-19 is “10 times more lethal” than the flu was total garbage.

But the worst part is that we’ve known for a while, with absolute certainty, that he never believed a word of it himself. In case you hadn’t heard, he made sure to let his peers know he wasn’t dumb enough to believe the garbage he was about to start peddling to us beforehand.

As first reported by Sharyl Attkisson, Fauci published an article addressed to his fellow researchers at the esteemed New England Journal of Medicine’s website on February 28. And, it not only contained a quite different take on the threat COVID-19 posed than the one he would soon start pushing on the American public. He even explained exactly why the stats he would go on to spend the next month terrorizing us with were bogus!

[Fauci’s article is dated March 26, which is the date cited by Attkisson. But archived copies reveal that sometime on April 3rd after around 10:30 am, which was a few days after her piece appeared, a note was added saying it was initially published on the journal’s website February 28. So presumably March 26 represents when it first appeared in the print edition.]

Fauci notes that the frighteningly high fatality numbers we were hearing for COVID-19 were sure to be grossly inflated because “the number of asymptomatic or minimally symptomatic cases is several times as high as the number of reported cases.”

Hence, Fauci explained to his fellow experts:

The overall clinical consequences of Covid-19 may ultimately be more akin to those of a severe seasonal influenza (which has a case fatality rate of approximately 0.1%).

Choosing a more brazen liar to lead the nation’s response to COVID-19 would have probably been impossible.

It’s long past time these suicidal measures Fauci has gaslit the nation into adopting were ended. But it’s also time that we faced the ugly truth that the deception was intentional.

Fauci pushed the entire country into an economic shutdown and got most of us confined to our homes by blatantly lying about COVID-19’s deadliness. He didn’t believe a word of the scare-mongering BS he peddled to us. And he didn’t dare try to palm it off on his peers. It’s right there in black-and-white in the pages of the New England Journal of Medicine.

So, if you’re still inclined to defend the man who terrorized America into accepting a suicidal abridgment of our most basic rights with his lies, your problem isn’t COVID-19.

It’s Stockholm Syndrome.




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