Poll: Republicans Still Leading Generic Congressional Ballot Despite Overturn of Roe

If anybody thought that the Supreme Court sending abortion back to the states would be a game-changer in the midterms, they would be sorely mistaken.

A new YouGov/Economist poll of 776 likely voters from June 25 to June 28 determined that 45 percent of voters would support their Republican congressional candidate, as opposed to 40 percent for the Democrat. This is a one percent increase from YouGov’s poll last week, which had Democrats at 41 percent.


As RedState’s Jeff Charles predicted, it appears the Dobbs decision will have little impact on the state of the midterm race. It’s true that the tide could turn for Democrats, but it’s highly unlikely that they will be able to turn their sinking ship around.

An uncomfortable truth for Democrats is that the people who are the most passionate about abortion access are already reliably voting for them. Some of the far-left may despise the party, except they will still vote for them with minimal hesitation. They might even decide not to show up in order not to perpetuate what they would argue is an oppressive system.

Those who the Democrats need to convince will not be persuaded with abortion, especially among suburban families. People are too busy trying to figure out if they can afford their next tank of gas to worry about a hot-button social issue.

Democrats are doing great with fundraising off of the decision, as Bloomberg reported that ActBlue raised an average of $2 million an hour following the strike down of Roe. Still, having a hefty war chest does not always equate to changing the hearts and minds of voters, most of whom believe the country is going on the wrong track.


Although Republicans seem invisible to some at this point, candidates need to be solutions-oriented in order to make their plans clear with constituents. Primary season is underway, so Republicans and Democrats keep throwing red meat at their base, but Republicans need to be even-keeled in the general election campaign season to set themselves apart. Democrats are experts at fear-mongering, and this election is no different.

For better or for worse, the 2022 midterms are about the economy. It’s hard for Americans not to blame Democrats in Washington for their newfound financial burdens because liberal politicians have provided them with nothing but empty rhetoric and band-aid solutions.


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