The Republican Squabbling Over the Role of Speaker Will Likely Empower Donald Trump

AP Photo/Mike Mulholland

After Jim Jordan received fewer votes for the role of Speaker of the House during the second round of voting than he did in the first, I watched as conservatives across the social media landscape simultaneously turned on Republicans. While fingers were being pointed back and forth between each group who were trying to saddle the blame on the other, it occurred to me that a lot of the anger being thrown around was centered on the frustration that is the game-playing of Republicans in D.C.

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(READ: Winter Is Coming: Jim Jordan's Quest to Become Speaker Will Take a While)

True enough, a vote for John Boehner reads more like a vote purely out of spite than anything else, and that's not going to find many supporters among conservatives. For them, this will just be more evidence of the existence of the D.C. swamp and proof that Republicans are mired in it themselves. 

This isn't a good look for Republicans but there's a very strong chance that this is a great look for former President Donald Trump. 

For one, many voters look at him as someone outside D.C. despite his presidency. In fact, Republican leadership clearly had no love of Trump and the feeling was mutual. This indication of a clear and present swamp will only make people miss Trump more. 

Moreover, Trump openly said that he liked Jim Jordan as Speaker and some have taken the resistance to Jordan as a spiteful move against Trump. 

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Trump had stated that he's willing to take the job as Speaker of the House before backing Jim Jordan, a prospect that many Republican voters were willing and ready to to have happen. Resistance to this by the same Republicans who voted against Jordan just to get at Trump will likely only activate the spite response of voters as well. 

So, Republicans find themselves in a situation where voters see many Republican "RINOs" standing in the way of what the people want, which is for Trump to have control over the Republican Party. This level of resistance to him from within the party may trigger spite responses among the voters, increasing his lead over the other candidates further and endearing him to both conservatives and independents who despise the current Democrat Party but feel Republicans don't have a direction. 

In short, Trump's status as an outsider makes him look better thanks to the chaos happening among the insiders. 

Republicans in D.C. are demonstrating they have no plan, and seemingly no desire to make a plan. Some appear ready to tank the party ahead of the 2024 election by not allowing the party to come together and decide on who should lead them in the House. 

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Trump remains the most popular choice for the 2024 elections. With the popularity so well in his favor and the Republican Party refusing to select a leader, that makes him the defacto favorite for leadership. We'll see if this battle between Republicans pushes Trump up even further, but all things considered, I don't see him not becoming more popular, especially with 2024 around the corner and Republican voters desperate for leadership. 

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