On Saturday and Sunday, The New York Times released a poll that had the entire political sphere abuzz. As RedState reported, the topline number was terrible for Joe Biden, who trailed Donald Trump by a whopping five percentage points.
The underlying numbers were no better. The cross-tabs, which showed Trump making strong gains with minority and women voters, were so disastrous for the incumbent that Democrats took to claiming the poll was rigged and couldn't possibly be correct.
READ: Desperate Libs Go Full Cross-Tab Truther After Major Poll Shows Disaster for Joe Biden
Unfortunately for America's left, that poll was just one of many and can't be dismissed as an outlier. In fact, of the last ten polls, Trump has led eight of them, with a ninth being a tie. Something tangible has happened, and while the landscape could certainly shift again before November, there's no denying Biden is in rough shape, and he has no bigger liability than the perception that the current president is old and senile.
According to the aforementioned Times poll, 73 percent of respondents believed that Biden was too old to be an effective president. That was total voters, not just Republicans.
SEE: Doomsday Poll Part Two: The Times Releases the Results of the Age Question for Joe Biden
Underscoring that is a follow-up report on the poll from the Times that asked Democrat respondents about Biden's age. It represents a flashing red light for the president's fledgling re-election.
This is good work from the Times in doing follow-up interviews with people they polled on why Biden's age is a concern. Voters have reasonable heuristics given relevant uncertainties and it's not surprising this shows up as such a clear signal in the data. https://t.co/gBGiX22eR0 pic.twitter.com/HnedqWYhY6
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) March 4, 2024
Otto Abad, 50, an independent voter in Scott, La., said he voted for Mr. Biden in 2020 but planned to flip his support to Mr. Trump if they faced off again. Last time, he wanted a less divisive figure in the White House after the chaos of the Trump administration. Now, he worries that Mr. Biden is not quite up for a second term.
He added: “Trump, one of the few things I would say good about him, is that nothing seems to bother him. He seems like he’s in the same mental shape he was 10 years ago, 12 years ago, 15 years ago. He’s like a cockroach.”
Several other responses in the article follow the same path, and given that Trump lost three states by less than 50,000 votes in 2020, basic reasoning says that even small shifts could send Biden back to Delaware permanently come January 2025. How many more people like Otto Abad exist? The results of the Times poll say a lot, and that's something Democrats can ignore at their own peril.
Fortunately for Republicans, the far left seems content to keep screaming at the sky instead of making the changes necessary to make Biden competitive again. Instead of pushing for border enforcement, something that would be an easy lay-up for the current president, Democrats are focusing on January 6th, believing they can shout "democracy" enough times to deliver the election. Color me skeptical.
With all that said, no one should be over-confident heading into November. It is still just March, and there are so many variables left to be decided before Americans go to the polls. Take nothing for granted because anything can happen. That goes for Trump as well. He recently told a crowd in Virginia that "we don't need your vote." I understand wanting to exude confidence, but that line needs to be stripped out of every speech going forward. Republicans should campaign like they are down ten points because every vote is going to matter.
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