Michael Bloomberg – Caricature by DonkeyHotey, licensed under CC BY-SA 2.0/Original
There’s a bit of new polling out today and it’s not good news for the Michael Bloomberg campaign. After a disastrous debate, many on the left been holding their breath to see if Bloomberg can maintain his presence to truly challenge Bernie Sanders on Super Tuesday.
But if these latest numbers are right, that’s probably not going to happen.
New CBS/YouGov national poll just out:
— Ryan Struyk (@ryanstruyk) February 23, 2020
On the surface, this seems like really good news for Elizabeth Warren. The problem? She’s actually helping Sanders by further damaging candidates who are competitive on Super Tuesday, which she does not appear to be. By overtaking Biden and Bloomberg, Warren hurts the two people most likely to put up a fight before it’s too late.
Bloomberg all the way down at 13% is devastating for his chances. If that’s anywhere close to accurate, he’s likely done. His only path is to win several states on Super Tuesday and keep close enough to Sanders to force a brokered convention. Sure, he could conceivably buy the convention once they get there, but even a plan like that has its limits. If he’s 500+ delegates behind Bernie, there’s just noway in my view that the Democrats go full smoky back room and betray their voters.
Meanwhile, Amy Klobuchar’s rise continues to be a myth. There was real chatter after her strong finish in New Hampshire that she could become a player, but I was always skeptical. She simply didn’t have the organization, nor the minority support to maintain momentum. At this point, she should just drop out. The same is largely true for Buttigieg, but that guy’s ego is way too big to see him leave the race before Super Tuesday.
What all this adds up to is more good news for Bernie. The anti-Bernie vote is hopelessly split, the one guy with unlimited funds is losing viability, and the rest of the field are too selfish to join forces before it’s too late.