Ahead of South Carolina, New NBC Poll Has Trump Gaining, Rubio Back In Third

In the new NBC News/SurveyMonkey weekly online tracking poll, Ted Cruz firms up his second place spot, Trump keeps a commanding lead, and Rubio trails in third and is down three points over the previous week.


Here is the breakdown of current candidates for the last few weeks:


This was an online poll of 11,400 registered voters nationwide from Feb. 8-14 with an overall margin of error of plus or minus 1.1 percentage points. As it was conducted online it will likely be dismissed as no more accurate than a poll you might embed in a Tweet, although the survey was considerably more controlled than that.

Here is the description of the methodology:

The NBC News|SurveyMonkey Weekly Election Tracking data for the week of February 8, 2016 through February 14, 2016 was conducted online among a national sample of among a national sample of 13,129 adults aged 18 and over, including 11,417 who say they are registered to vote. Respondents for this survey were selected from the nearly three million people who take surveys on the SurveyMonkey platform each day. Data for this week has been weighted for age, race, sex, education, region, and voter registration status using the Census Bureau and Bureau of Labor Statistic’s Current Population Survey to reflect the demographic composition of the United States

The full results are here, which you can take or leave as you see fit. Go here for more analysis from the Washington Examiner.


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