Wisconsin’s third congressional district is not really on anybody’s radar right now. It should be. I have obtained a copy of some polling done in the district that suggests incumbent Democrat Ron Kind has some significant problems that can be exploited.
In a year when anything is possible in politics, it is very possible that Dan Kapanke could be Ron Kind.
In a survey of 300 voters in the 3rd, 65% of voters consider the country on the wrong track.
If the election were held today, 45% say they’d vote Republican, 36% would vote Democrat, and 15% are undecided.
Barack Obama has 51% disapproval in the district with 39% strongly disapproving and only 22% strongly approving.
Now, here’s the kicker. While Kind has 51% favorability in the district, 49% say they would vote for a new person with only 37% saying they’d vote to re-elect the incumbent. Why? The issues.
37% say the top issue must be jobs and the economy.
26% say balancing the federal budget is their top issue.
Only 10% say making health care more affordable is their issue, which humorous, is only 3% higher than people who think taxes need to be cut.
When names are put with the district, 38% say they’d vote for Dan Kapanke and 44% say they’d vote for Ron Kind. That’s not good for an incumbent Democrat. That’s not good at all.
Oh, and 65% of the district thinks Obama’s stimulus package was government spending without any real job creation and 54%say the government is doing too much best left to the private sector.
With some resources, Dan Kapanke could be a surprise winner in Wisconsin come November.
Steve Maley
KnightsofMalta
Mississippi River
ilgop24 Friday, July 30th at 10:41AM EST (link)All along the Mississippi River are very conservative people who vote Democrat cause their Daddy voted Democrat and their Daddy’s Daddy voted Democrat. It’s very frustrating.
Didn't Gunderson have that seat in the 90's
Republican_Michigander (Diary) Friday, July 30th at 11:09AM EST (link)I know there was redistricting, but despite the traditions (Iron Range style, College Towns like LaCrosse), didn’t Gunderson hold that seat before Kind?
That could be winnable in a good year with the right candidate (more libertarian, less preachy).
Less Government, More Freedom
http://republicanmichigander.blogspot.com
This was a long time GOP seat
rdelbov Friday, July 30th at 11:14AM EST (link)for Gunderson & others prior to the 1970′s
barone has great explanations for the changes in this district in his various bi-annual Almanacs.
WI3 is the #1 Dairy district in the USA and that’s hurts Kind too. Dairy prices are down and Dairy farmers are suffering.
Team Kapanke!
sassie lassie Friday, July 30th at 11:34AM EST (link)The 3rd Congressional District in Wisconsin in on everyone’s radar that lives here. We know very well how Ron Kind has treated us. I go all over the district when Ron holds his “non” listening sessions and townhall meetings. I went to Washington DC and Ron was too busy to meet with me. Even the farmers here are tired of Ron Kind.
Dan Kapanke is poised to retire Ron Kind. Dan has a whole network of wonderful energic people that work as a team because they believe in Dan and in his message. Dan will work for the people in the 3rd Congressional District in Wisconsin. Then real change will begin to happen for Wisconsin and America!
I am part of Team Kapanke! and proud to have gotten to know Dan.
Dan Kapanke listens ...
deevee Friday, July 30th at 4:49PM EST (link)to the people in his district and votes accordingly, as he now sits in the Wisconsin State Senate.
We need a conservative like Dan representing “we the people” in the 3rd congressional District in Wisconsin.
Great Candidate
proudgop (Diary) Saturday, July 31st at 12:18AM EST (link)he might be able to pump in some of his own money too
This is pretty rural part of Wisconsin we should be doing better in these areas