Diary

Potential House Seat Pickups For Republicans in 2016.

SO above me is the predictions for the 2016 house races. I know this is going to be a higher turnout year than 2014, which may or may not be good for some key races next year. right now i am listening the current status of the tossups:

Tossup
District Incumbent 2012 president vote
Arizona 1 [mc_name name=’Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick (D-AZ)’ chamber=’house’ mcid=’K000368′ ] (D) Romney 50%
Florida 18 [mc_name name=’Rep. Patrick Murphy (D-FL)’ chamber=’house’ mcid=’M001191′ ] (D) Romney 52%
Florida 26 [mc_name name=’Rep. Carlos Curbelo (R-FL)’ chamber=’house’ mcid=’C001107′ ] (R) Obama 53%
Illinois 10 Robert J. Dold (R) Obama 58%
Iowa 3 [mc_name name=’Rep. David Young (R-IA)’ chamber=’house’ mcid=’Y000066′ ] (R) Obama 51%
Maine 2 [mc_name name=’Rep. Bruce Poliquin (R-ME)’ chamber=’house’ mcid=’P000611′ ] (R) Obama 53%
Minnesota 2 [mc_name name=’Rep. John Kline (R-MN)’ chamber=’house’ mcid=’K000363′ ] (R) Obama 49%
Nebraska 2 [mc_name name=’Rep. Brad Ashford (D-NE)’ chamber=’house’ mcid=’A000373′ ] (D) Romney 53%
Nevada 3 [mc_name name=’Rep. Joe Heck (R-NV)’ chamber=’house’ mcid=’H001055′ ] (R) Obama 50%
New Hampshire 1 Frank C. Guinta (R) Obama 50%
New York 19 [mc_name name=’Rep. Chris Gibson (R-NY)’ chamber=’house’ mcid=’G000564′ ] (R) Obama 52%
New York 24 [mc_name name=’Rep. John Katko (R-NY)’ chamber=’house’ mcid=’K000386′ ] (R) Obama 57%
Texas 23 [mc_name name=’Rep. Will Hurd (R-TX)’ chamber=’house’ mcid=’H001073′ ] (R) Romney 51%
Tilts Democratic
District Incumbent 2012 president vote
Iowa 1 [mc_name name=’Rep. Rod Blum (R-IA)’ chamber=’house’ mcid=’B001294′ ] (R) Obama 56%
Nevada 4 [mc_name name=’Rep. Cresent Hardy (R-NV)’ chamber=’house’ mcid=’H001070′ ] (R) Obama 54%

obviously things change, and not all of the districts shown might not be noticed enough that might give the republicans a steal from the democrats. I look closely and there are some races that i really think we can take… examples Maryland District 8, republicans only lost by about a point in 2014 and i think depending on how well the candidate is in 2016 might be able to take that from the democrats. Also, 3 minnesota districts (1,7,8) democrats won these districts by about 54/55% not that much to call it a blowout win but can give republicans some room to come in and take those districts too. Also, i am curious about [mc_name name=’Rep. Rod Blum (R-IA)’ chamber=’house’ mcid=’B001294′ ] (Iowa District 1) and wondering how he is going to shape up in this election, it is tilting democrat as of right now but i’m wondering if he can hold onto that seat. Also, some key races in california there are about 5 districts we can EASILY take if we have the right candidates and the money… (24,26,7,16,52,36, etc)

I wanna know what you guys think any surprises of any districts that might turn republican in 2016?