Diary

Polling Underestimates Conservative Tsunami

When asking questions in these polls, participants are asked to identify which political movement they identify with, and the options from which they must choose are Democrat, Republican, Independent, and Tea Party. When a polling participant supports more than one of the options provided, the uncertainty in choosing which single movement to report as the primary affiliation creates errors in polling data interpretation.

 

This election, many are Independents who identify with the Tea Party and plan on voting for a Tea Party-backed Republican. How do they answer this question? Many others are Republicans who identify with the Tea Party, how do these individuals answer this question? And what about those few Democrats that identify with the Tea Party and plan on voting for Republicans?

 

What if you are affiliated with the Libertarian or Constitution Party, sympathize with the Tea Party and are voting for Republicans? Because conservatives are divided into several categories in these polls, the conservative vote, and ultimate support for Tea Party-backed Republican candidates is underreported. This means that the anticipated wave of Republicans elected to office will be more of a Tsunami.