Every candidate runs as a conservative in October. Everyone!
Now when Alison Grimes and Wendy Davis speak against gun control, nobody believes them. Unfortunately when [mc_name name=’Rep. John Boehner (R-OH)’ chamber=’house’ mcid=’B000589′ ] and [mc_name name=’Sen. Mitch McConnell (R-KY)’ chamber=’senate’ mcid=’M000355′ ] say they will stand up to Obama, many conservatives don’t believe them. The Democrat and the Establishment Republican have proven with their actions and their votes that they desire a Washington-centric government. They will speak all election season against Washington, but their clear intention is to maintain power.
[mc_name name=’Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX)’ chamber=’senate’ mcid=’C001098′ ] and [mc_name name=’Sen. Mike Lee (R-UT)’ chamber=’senate’ mcid=’L000577′ ] have spoken out against increased government growth and control with programs like Obamacare, and they keep their word. They have been vilified by the press and Washington elite, but Cruz and Lee march on. The press and elite are not part of the Tea Party constituency. We realistically cannot expect Cruz or Lee to win evena small fraction of the fights in which they engage, but we do expect them to fight. We expect them to argue and explain their principles to help change minds. They don’t have to win, they just have to make a stand.
Which brings us to Tuesday’s Speaker vote in the House. 72 hours before the vote, we begin hearing from members of Congress who will oppose [mc_name name=’Rep. John Boehner (R-OH)’ chamber=’house’ mcid=’B000589′ ]. They didn’t oppose him in November. They didn’t announce their opposition before the holidays. [mc_name name=’Rep. Jim Bridenstine (R-OK)’ chamber=’house’ mcid=’B001283′ ] was the first one that I became aware of, and then [mc_name name=’Rep. Ted Yoho (R-FL)’ chamber=’house’ mcid=’Y000065′ ] said he would “accept” a nomination, and finally [mc_name name=’Rep. Louie Gohmert (R-TX)’ chamber=’house’ mcid=’G000552′ ] is now actively seeking Speaker votes. As of this writing on Monday afternoon, the Congressional phone lines are apparently getting swamped, the hashtags #DumpBoehner and #FireBoehner are all over Twitter, and conservatives are pointing the recent Pat Cadell poll supporting a new Speaker. So the people, otherwise known as voters, want [mc_name name=’Rep. John Boehner (R-OH)’ chamber=’house’ mcid=’B000589′ ] out of the Speaker chair.
Again as of now, where is [mc_name name=’Rep. Jim Jordan (R-OH)’ chamber=’house’ mcid=’J000289′ ]? [mc_name name=’Rep. Trey Gowdy (R-SC)’ chamber=’house’ mcid=’G000566′ ]? [mc_name name=’Rep. Jason Chaffetz (R-UT)’ chamber=’house’ mcid=’C001076′ ] or [mc_name name=’Rep. Justin Amash (R-MI)’ chamber=’house’ mcid=’A000367′ ]? Like Johnny Manziel, they’ve spoken tough as a minority member of the GOP caucus, but are they now choking in the big game? I’m not going to get into nose-counting because any “Present” votes will throw off the math, but 29 votes against Boehner does seem to be an attainable goal. It’s NOT going to work, however, if we have conservative allies vote with their tails between their legs!
The standards set by Cruz, Lee, and Gohmert are really not that high. It only seems high because current GOP standards are so low. [mc_name name=’Rep. John Boehner (R-OH)’ chamber=’house’ mcid=’B000589′ ] was going to fight Obama on the 2010 CR, then he was going to fight on the debt ceiling, then on the 2011 budget, then on the following CR. The surrender on the 2015 CROmnibus is only the most recent example.
A new Speaker will prove to conservative voters that the Republican party actually listens to the base as opposed to those in the DC bubble. On the other hand, Boehner as Speaker will continue the perception that Republicans vote with the crony establishment and against their conservative base. Which Republican party has the greater chance for success?