Donald Trump and his campaign are well aware of that. As is Ted Cruz and the differences between the two couldn’t be starker.
Cruz has been masterfully working the age-old method of winning, or at least trying to win, the GOP nomination at a contested convention by way of working the delegates so that on 2nd and subsequent ballots more and more delegate votes go your way. It is a strategy that worked to great success in 1860 for Abraham Lincoln, who like Cruz, headed into that convention in 2nd place, behind a front-runner no one liked, but assumed he had the nomination wrapped up. It is a strategy that almost got Ronald Reagan the nomination in 1976 over Gerald Ford. Many a delegates it is said following that convention admitted they made a mistake that day in not nomination Reagan.
So far Cruz has managed to secure 18-20 of North Dakota’s 25 delegates, by way of artfully working within the Republican Party rules and delegate selection processes in each state and territory, where Trump is going to come up with zero delegates.
Arizona, which went for Trump in its recent primary, could see many of its 58 delegates be Cruz supporters or otherwise be inclined to not vote for Trump. As has been widely reported Cruz, working within the party rules in Louisiana, picked up what could be 10 more delegates than Trump, and those delegates hold key positions on key committees at the convention.
Ted Cruz is playing this campaign to win it on the 2nd ballot.
Donald Trump on the other hand is playing the role of a bad spoof parody of Princess Leia asking Obi-wan-Kenobi to save him, only Trump is hoping for Plurality to save him.
Plurality, for those with a public education, is being in the lead of say a field of 17 people all trying to get votes, but not having an outright majority.
Trump and his campaign, Roger Stone included, know that The Donald will not walk into Cleveland with the 1237 delegates needed to win the nomination outright.
They are also realizing right now, that come a 2nd ballot at the convention their candidate is going to shed delegates like crazy, with next to no hope of corralling new ones.
So Team Trump is going to the leftist playbook to try and keep the convention from turning into another shellacking of Trump with Trump campaign hatchet-man Roger Stone saying anywhere and everywhere that he’s planning a Days of Rage, right out history of the Weather Underground and the SDS, to try and turn the convention and possibly all of Cleveland into Chaos central.
Grasping at that straw probably means that they have no faith in their savior play, getting the majority of delegates, plus one, equals being the nominee rule changed to being a plurality wins.
As Trump told CNN a couple weeks ago on the topic:
I think we’ll win before getting to the convention, but if we didn’t and we’re 20 votes short, or we’re, you know, a hundred short, and we’re at 1,100 and somebody else is at 500 or 400, ’cause we’re way ahead of everybody, I don’t think you can say we don’t get it automatically. I think you’d have riots.” Trump added that “if you disenfranchise those people . . . I think you would have problems like you’ve never seen before.
The Trump spokes-morons have been echoing those same sentiments.
Even the Trumpist loyalist who were elected as his delegates in Illinois are scrambling because they have no idea what the campaign needs or wants them to do at the convention in July, and this comes after the Trump campaign in Illinois imploded the last two weeks before the March 15th primary.
This is a campaign about to fall flat on its face, on the biggest stage imaginable, right before the finish line. And everyone can see it coming.