2014 isn’t even over with, let alone the candidates who won in November having been sworn into office, and already things are starting to take shape for the 2016 election cycle.
Roll Call is reporting that Illinois Democrat Representatives [mc_name name=’Rep. Cheri Bustos (D-IL)’ chamber=’house’ mcid=’B001286′ ], [mc_name name=’Rep. Bill Foster (D-IL)’ chamber=’house’ mcid=’F000454′ ], and Tammy Duckworth are all mulling over the possibility of challenging Republican [mc_name name=’Sen. Mark Kirk (R-IL)’ chamber=’senate’ mcid=’K000360′ ].
Foster was defeated in the 2010 Tea Party wave only to regain his status as a member of the House of Representatives following redistricting by Speaker/Boss Michael Madigan that heavily favored Democrats in 2012. Where Foster to run for the Senate allegations made by his wife of physical abuse at the hands of Foster would certainly be a major issue.
The biggest knock against congresswoman [mc_name name=’Rep. Cheri Bustos (D-IL)’ chamber=’house’ mcid=’B001286′ ], a favorite of Sen. Dick Dubrin, is that her 17th district is on the Mississippi River making her a near total unknown to Chicago and Cook county Democrats, although an endorsement by Durbin would make that point mute.
Congresswoman Tammy Duckworth has been a quasi celebrity on the left since she returned from the Iraqi war an amputee. Duckworth now represents the Northwest suburbs and is both well-known and well liked within Chicago Democrat party circles, and may get a bit of sympathy from bleeding heart liberals after House minority leader [mc_name name=’Rep. Nancy Pelosi (D-CA)’ chamber=’house’ mcid=’P000197′ ] refused to allow Duckworth to vote by proxy for caucus leadership posts following the mid-term election while Duckworth was on Doctors orders not to travel ahead of the birth of her child.
Personally my political 8-ball tells me that of these three Tammy Duckworth would easily win the Democrat party nomination for Senate, however there is a bit more at play here.
First is the real possibility that Speaker/Boss Madigan’s daughter Attorney General Lisa Madigan could run for the office, at which point the nomination would be hers, instead of waiting tell 2018 to challenge Bruce Rauner for Illinois’ governorship.
Second is the slight chance that [mc_name name=’Sen. Mark Kirk (R-IL)’ chamber=’senate’ mcid=’K000360′ ] could do the right thing and change parties. Even when Kirk was a congressman from Lake County, he was a very moderate to even liberal Republican. Kirk was the only Republican to vote in favor of President Obama’s nominee to be Surgeon General. Kirk has repeatedly insisted that the IL GOP and Republicans nationally embrace same-sex marriage. And Kirk has been openly hostile towards to prospects of Senators [mc_name name=’Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX)’ chamber=’senate’ mcid=’C001098′ ] and [mc_name name=’Sen. Rand Paul (R-KY)’ chamber=’senate’ mcid=’P000603′ ] running for President.
One openly has to question what even makes Mark Kirk a Republican when he has a Conservative Review LibertyScore of 29%. For comparison ultra-radical amnesty backer [mc_name name=’Rep. Luis Gutierrez (D-IL)’ chamber=’house’ mcid=’G000535′ ] has a Conservative Review score of 17%.
If Sen Kirk was really honesty with himself and the voters he’d run as a Democrat where his support of same-sex marriage, more debt, higher taxes, gun grabbing(Surgeon General vote), and amnesty would be welcomed.
Doing that would naturally make things much easier for a conservative/Tea Party Republican candidate like a Joe Walsh or Doug Truax to get the GOP nomination for Senate in 2016.
cross-posted from USofArn.com