Diary

The Herman Cain-ing of Carson Has Begun

This will be the beginning of the breakdown of Carson’s support. This story, plus questions about other stories he’s told about his past will continue to erode his support (little by little). I’m not saying this is a good or bad thing, just that it will happen.

And the MSM hasn’t even attacked his faith yet (and they will soon). As an FYI, the Adventist denomination believes that the Sabbath is Saturday not Sunday – which is all well and good for them, except that their belief is also that those who do not worship on Saturday as the Sabbath are not “real” Christians… and that will be a problem for him to defend.

As Carson’s support begins to dwindle, where does it eventually go? Trump is stuck at the 25% range. He’s hit his ceiling in the polls (and it’s a soft 25%). He will not get much if any from Carson supporters after he had attacked him several times.

Most will not go to Santorum or Huckabee as they have both faded as tired and failed retreads. [mc_name name=’Sen. Rand Paul (R-KY)’ chamber=’senate’ mcid=’P000603′ ] has no traction. And I don’t think they’ll shift towards Gang of 8/Amnesty Rubio. They certainly won’t run to Jeb or Kasich or Christie. Carly?

Given that most of Carson’s supporters are social conservatives, religious conservatives, and tea partiers, I expect that this will turn into a huge shift towards [mc_name name=’Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX)’ chamber=’senate’ mcid=’C001098′ ].

We shall see.

 

[cross-posted]