Diary

ELECTION PROJECTION 9/24: Still a Tie, Obama gaining

Obama had a surge in the national polls last week, and the state polls now follow. He has expanded his leads in the swing states of Colorado and Wisconsin, and gauged a bit into McCain’s leads in Florida, Nevada and Ohio. Obama-leading state polls have outnumbered McCain-leading polls nearly 2 to 1 in the last forty-eight hours…strongly suggesting Obama has fully regained the momentum back from McCain after the Republicans’ brief lead following the Republican National Convention at the beginning of the month.
STATE OF THE STATES (for both candidates, weakest to strongest):
MCCAIN
NH +0.5, NV +1.5, VA +2.5, FL +3, OH +3, IN +4, NC +4.5, WV +4.5, MO +4.75, MT +11, AZ +11, AR +12, MS +14, TN +15, TX +15, GA +15, LA +15, SC +15.5, SD +16.5, KY +19, AK +20, KS +20, TN +23, NE +24, AL +25, OK +30, WY +30, UT +37.5, ID +40.
OBAMA
PA +2.75, MN +3, MI +3.5, WI +4, CO +5, NJ +6, NM +8, OR +8, ME +8, NY +10.5, IA +11, DE +11.25, CT +13, CA +15, IL +15, MA +16, RI +17.5, MD +18, VT +19, HI +36, DC +60.
NEXT UPDATE: SEPTEMBER 26 2008