My Take on the 2010 ME Races

Here’s a rundown of how I think the ME races will go:

Governor: Incumbent Democratic Governor John Baldacci is term-limited. On the Democratic side, former Biddeford Mayor Donna Dion, State Senate President Libby Mitchell, former Attorney General Steve Rowe, former State Conservation Commissioner Pat McGowan, State Economic/Community Development Commissioner John Richardson, Affordable Housing Company CEO Rosa Scarcelli, and former State Representative Peter Truman are in the running. On the GOP side, Attorney Steve Abbott, former Husson University President Bill Beardsley, Businessman Matt Jacobson, Waterville Mayor Paul LePage, State Senator Peter Mills, Energy Executive Les Otten, Real Estate Developer Bruce Poliquin, and Electrician Marty Vachon are in the running. The Green Party has unified behind former Green Party Chairwoman Lynne Williams. On the Independent side, Investment Adviser Sam Bailey, Christopher Cambron, Curriculum Specialist Beverly Cooper-Pete, Attorney Eliot Cutler, Welder Augustus Edgerton, Businessman Alex Hammer, and Sidney Town Selectman John Whitcomb are in the running. I expect Rowe and Mills to emerge from their respective Primaries. In this climate, I expect Mills to prevail over Rowe 45-39. GOP GAIN.

ME-01: Incumbent Democratic Congresswoman Chellie Pingree is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Pingree. The GOP has unified behind Businessman Dean Scontras. Given the current political climate and the fact that Pingree defeated her GOP opponent 54-45 in 2008, this race could become competative, but for now, DEM HOLD.

ME-02: Incumbent Democratic Congressman Michael Michaud is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Michaud. The GOP has unified behind Businessman Jason Levesque. Michaud will bodyslam Levesque 59-41. DEM HOLD.