DailyKos released the results of a Research2000 poll today, showing incumbent Republican Susan Collins leading Democrat challenger Tom Allen 57-38. Not coincidentally, the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee began running negative ads in Maine today, in what appears a last-ditch effort to save Allen from the political dustbin.
Research 2000 for Daily Kos. 9/8-10. Likely voters. MoE 4% (10/22/07 results)
Collins (R) 57 (56) Allen (D) 38 (33)
I polled this back in October of last year, and seeing the bleak numbers, moved on to other races. This was an attempt to see if Allen had closed the gap in the past 10 months or so, and unfortunately, the answer appears to be “no”.
One of the most striking things about this poll is that it has Collins with 38% of Democrats. Collins has a 59-36% lead with Independents, and isn’t losing to Allen in any demographic group.
The Allen campaign has been attempting to allay the fears of supporters, who have suffered through almost two years of double-digit deficits in polls, by saying that the race will tighten when ads start to run. We’re now a full month into the ‘television wars’, and things are looking as bleak as ever for the six-term Congressman from Portland.
So bleak, in fact, that the DSCC is running a new batch of deceptive negative attacks on Collins on Maine tv. Tom Allen had declared last month that he would reject this type of outside support, but I suppose the view down the barrel of political obsolescence has changed his mind.
Allen knows he is fighting an earlier battle than November 4th; once MoveOn.org and his other out-of-state benefactors grok the meaning of these numbers, the money is bound to dry up. Kos himself has written him off, Soros and company can’t be far behind.