Diary

SurveyUSA: McDonnell +11, Bolling +17, Cuccinelli +10

The headline numbers show that the GOP statewide candidates are still running strong, but with some tightening at the top and bottom of the tickets, while Republican Lt. Gov. Bill Bolling appears to demolish the virtually-invisible Jody Wagner campaign.

A couple of damning points:

McDonnell has never dipped below 54 percent in In four identical SurveyUSA tracking polls, and Deeds has never polled above 43 percent.

But also a silver lining, of sorts, for Democrat Deeds:

Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll one week ago, Deeds has gained ground among women, voters age 50 to 64, and in southeast Virginia.

Interesting that in the AG race, Survey USA last week noted that:

The Republican has never polled less than 53%. The Democrat has never polled more than 42%.

The numbers this week? Ken Cuccinelli 53, Steve Shannon 43.

Well, it’s a start.

The Bolling numbers are striking. A week ago, his margin was 13 points. If this keeps up, this contest may be a rout.

Interesting, too, is that “southeast” Virginia is now tilting for Deeds and Shannon, with Bolling and Wagner tied.

The data are here.