Egypt Then and Now

In an editorial after the October 20, 2011 murder of dictator Ghaddafi by Libyan rebels, Nikitas3.com wrote the following (note bold sentence in paragraph 5 and the follow-up underneath it):

There’s an old question that asks something like, “What happens after you throw the rascals out?”

And that is a question that needs to be answered all over the Middle East as good leaders like Mubarak and brutal dictators like Ghaddafi fall to protests and rebel uprisings.

What is in store for these nations? Will freedom burst out all over like Spring flowers? Or is this the beginning of a new era of darkness under radical Islam?

…The deposing of Hosni Mubarak in Egypt was part of a pattern. He was a good leader who kept Egypt stable for decades (like the Shah did for Iran) and in the peaceful, pro-Western camp.

But now the possibility of radical Islamists taking over Egypt is quite good. Just wait. It hasn’t happened yet. The extremists have been waiting decades for this moment. So they can wait a little longer until the time is ripe. They are waiting for a “triggering event” to set their plan in motion. That event already is planned out. It will be something like a coordinated attack on the parliament or the assassination of a key military figure.

Now here is an update: Dailymail.co.uk reported on December 18, 2011 as votes were being counted in a second round of Egyptian elections:

‘Soldiers baton-charge Egyptian protesters in Tahrir Square after eight die and 300 are wounded in new clashes

  • Sickening image of police grabbing girl by the hair posted on Twitter
  • Vote-counting underway in second round of parliamentary elections
  • Protesters attack Cabinet building with rocks and firebombs’ (italics added for emphasis)

In other words, these protests and the attack on the Cabinet and the continuing protests are the “triggering event” predicted by Nikitas3.com. The radical Muslims are protesting in Cairo because they do not even want to wait for the legitimate elections to be finalized in order to seize power. Islamic parties already have won huge victories at the ballot box but extremists still are protesting. Why?

It is to provoke the military into acting so that they can foment international condemnation, expedite their seizure of total control and impose an Islamic police state in Egypt like the one in Iran.

Below are excerpts from a Nikitas3.com editorial after Mubarak was deposed in Egypt last Winter. It warned then about what is happening now:

President Mubarak has stepped down in Egypt and the people are celebrating. It will be interesting what happens next. This story is far from over. There are many hurdles ahead. Watch now as the military comes under assault from the radicals.

Mubarak certainly has nothing to lose or prove. He is 82 years old and has led Egypt for 30 years since the assassination of Anwar el Sadat. Through those years he kept his nation together in a dangerous region and, in the current situation, prevented the mob rule in the streets of Cairo from entering the presidential palace.

…But as it turns out, the values of the Egyptian people are terrible. A Pew poll recently reported that 84% of Egyptians believe that those who leave the Islamic faith should face death; 82% that a woman should be stoned for adultery; 54% that suicide bombings that kill civilians can be justified; and 82% say they dislike America.

This shows that Egypt is a largely primitive Muslim society (it is 10% Christian) with reactionary ideas. And that the Coptic Christians there could be in grave danger. Mubarak always protected them.

…Should the US really support the aspirations for freedom among such people?

Answer: Perhaps not. Those people are not ready for freedom as we define it.

…Meanwhile the clueless director of US national intelligence James Clapper said this about the radical Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt:

“The term ‘Muslim Brotherhood is an umbrella term for a variety of movements, in the case of Egypt, a very heterogeneous group, largely secular, which has eschewed violence and has decried Al Qaeda as a perversion of Islam… They have pursued social ends, a betterment of the political order in Egypt, et cetera. … In other countries, there are also chapters or franchises of the Muslim Brotherhood, but there is no overarching agenda, particularly in pursuit of violence, at least internationally.”

This is a frightening misrepresentation from a high American official.

…And within one day of this uprising in Egypt, the Media Left in America were calling for Mubarak’s ouster. But if they did not know that the uprising was coming how did they know what their reaction should be?

Easy. They looked up “mubarak” on wikipedia, found out he was pro-American and so savaged him from the get-go. Without any consideration of the geopolitical consequences. Because their template is that Mubarak is obviously bad because he is an ally of America who made peace with Israel.

…Yet despite Mubarak’s alleged repression, Egypt has a somewhat open society with free trade and a big and crucial tourism economy. Neither Cuba nor Iran allows tourists except in very controlled circumstances because they must keep a lid on their societies to prevent any outside influences from creeping in… like the idea of freedom.

Obviously Mubarak was not so bad after all. And now Egypt could end up with worse. Much worse.

We must be wary of what is going on in Egypt. As Aljazeera.net reported recently:

‘Thousands of people in Jordan have taken to the streets in protests, demanding the country’s prime minister step down, and the government curb rising prices, inflation and unemployment.

In the third consecutive Friday of protests, about 3,500 opposition activists from Jordan’s main Islamist opposition group, trade unions and leftist organisations gathered in the capital, waving colourful banners reading: “Send the corrupt guys to court”.

The crowd denounced Samir Rifai’s, the prime minister, and his unpopular policies.

Many shouted: “Rifai go away, prices are on fire and so are the Jordanians.”’

Look at those descriptions: ‘The demonstrators, headed by the leadership of the opposition Socialists’ and ‘In the third consecutive Friday of protests, about 3,500 opposition activists from Jordan’s main Islamist opposition group, trade unions and leftist organisations’.

Translation: ‘Socialists’ refers to radical communists and ‘Jordan’s main Islamist opposition group’ refers to radical Islamic fundamentalists. Both are also fueling the Egypt uprising.

Yet what are these rioters expecting? What are the policies of communists and Islamists that are going to make things better?

Answer: Those policies have resulted in poverty and misery. These riots are not about improving conditions. They are about seizing power.

And we shall see where Egypt goes from here.  Let us pray the military can keep order and prevent the radicals from taking over yet another nation. And that the Egyptian people choose wisely for the future. But there is no guarantee of either.

Please visit my blog at www.nikitas3.com for more conservative insights.