Diary

'Minority' Voters in Flux

There has been an idea floating in political circles for decades now that Democrats have the hispanic vote largely locked up; that Republicans should be quaking in fear because hispanics are growing rapidly in numbers and reject conservatism; and that illegal immigration is the driving force behind the hispanic vote.

 

Much of this is only vaguely true. On the other hand, many latinos have proven over time that they are ordinary Americans like the rest of us. Which greatly distresses the Democrats who planned to use hispanics as another one of their Test Tube Constituencies that they can manipulate to Democrat party ends like a chemist in his laboratory.

 

Hispanics are generally decent, hard-working people in the immigrant tradition. And as the economy fails to respond to Obama, they may well see that free-market capitalism is in their best interest.

 

Consider a recent report from the Washington Times by Stephen Dinan which said that:

 

 Hispanic voters still like Democrats more than Republicans, but they are much less enthusiastic about heading to the polls in this year’s elections, according to a broad survey released Tuesday.’ (end of excerpt)

 

That very statement speaks volumes. Because it shows that hispanics, like all Americans, are deeply influenced by the state of the economy. And since this economic downturn is different from all others, it may shake out in new ways for all voting groups.

 

Said the Times:

 

‘The lack of excitement compared with 2008 could potentially deprive Democrats of a major voting bloc they will need to maintain their majorities in Congress in November.

The Pew Hispanic Center, after surveying Hispanic voters in August and September, said only about half of them are absolutely certain they will vote in November, compared with 70 percent of all registered voters.

 

…Hispanics overwhelmingly still favored Democrats over the GOP, 65 percent to 22 percent — a trend that, despite a dip in 2004, has generally persisted for years. But Republican Hispanics are more excited about voting this year than are Democratic Hispanics, also mirroring overall trends.” (end of excerpt)

 

This shows the there are two different types of hispanics in America today, just as there are different types of whites, blacks and Asians. And that these difficult times are different from any in the postwar period and that allegiances could shift based on simple economics.

 

In September, a well-dressed, well-spoken middle-class black woman at an economic forum savaged Obama right to his face. She said she had voted for him enthusiastically but that now she was disillusioned. This hispanic story is part of the same trend.

 

Will so-called ‘minorities’ now see more hope in the policies of conservatives?

 

Yes, that seems likely. Because minorities are not monolithic. After all, there are different types of ‘minorities’ including those that will remain poor, apathetic and less likely to partake of the American Dream, over to those that succeed. The poorer ones are more likely to remain Democrats, but the more successful ones are more likely to see conservatism and capitalism as the answer as Obamanomics continues to fail. If they can break away from hard-core Democrat indoctrination and peer pressure, that is, and read capitalist economics textbooks by people like Milton Friedman or Friedrich Hayek.  

 

But something interesting is happening this year: Even poor blacks are looking at their corrupt Democrat-controlled cities and public schools and seeing failure. The new movie Waiting for Superman, about the horrendous shape of our union-controlled public education system, particularly in the cities, surely will end up influencing millions of blacks that conservative advocacy about vouchers and private, charter and religious schools is part of a broader agenda of growth and opportunity.

 

Another interesting note in the Washington Times story said:

 

‘Pew interviewed 618 registered Hispanic voters in August and September. One surprising finding was that immigration does not top the list of concerns of Hispanic voters.

 

“Rather, they rank education, jobs and health care as their top three issues of concern for this year’s congressional campaign. Immigration ranks as the fifth most important issue for Latino registered voters,” said Mark Hugo Lopez… the report’s author.’ (end of excerpt)

 

So obviously hispanics are thinking about all the same issues as everyone else. And with a major economic shift underway, latinos too will start thinking about economic issues (including health care) and public education as crucial, rather than rallying like a bloc around immigration or government handouts.

 

Meanwhile, the Times reported:

 

‘Just before Congress adjourned for the campaign season, Senate Majority Leader (Nevada Democrat) Harry Reid tried to force a debate on a bill to legalize illegal immigrant students, known as the Dream Act. He tried to have that debate as part of the annual defense policy debate, but it was blocked by Republicans who said that was the wrong forum for considering immigration.’ (end of excerpt)

 

This is just another giveaway from the Democrats while many hispanics certainly are looking for a broader agenda that will help them in the long run. Reid is using this bill as a bribe to Nevada hispanics in his re-election bid against Republican challenger Sharron Angle.

 

Ronald Reagan once said that “hispanics are Republicans but they may not even know it,” referring to the immigrant work ethic and hispanics’ largely conservative and Catholic view of social issues. This could play out significantly over the next decade according to the effect of the economic downturn on hispanics.

 

Alfonso Aguilar, executive director of the Latino Partnership for Conservative Principles, said that conservatives can win more hispanic votes.  “When conservatives reach out to Latinos and you have a candidate that is staunchly conservative on social issues but also has a palatable position on immigration, Latino voters will respond favorably,” he said. “The lesson for conservatives from that poll is if you reach out to Latinos they’ll respond favorably. Obviously, if you just go out with negative rhetoric on immigration and enforcement-only positions on immigration, you’re not going to do better.”

 

He said his goal is to have California Republican US senate candidate Carly Fiorina win one-third of the Hispanic vote in November.

 

In Florida, conservative US Senate candidate Marco Rubio, who is Cuban hispanic, appears headed for victory. This high-profile, well-spoken hispanic in the Senate could serve as a role model for more latino activism on the right.

 

So times are changing and ultimately most hispanics want the same as everyone else and will vote on economic issues. Voting patterns certainly are in flux. And they are shifting toward Republicans and conservatives who have a much better answer to all the basic issues from health care to jobs than Democrats any day, any time.

 

Please visit my website at www.nikitas3.com for more. You can read excerpts from my book, Right Is Right, which explains why only conservatism can maintain our freedom and prosperity.