Diary

Well, maybe all those Nevadan Obama supporters are waiting for the weekend to vote.

Or perhaps, Wednesday. Chimerae can be so capricious:

THREE GROUPS: Forecasts of voting lag, so far

Record turnout was seen for new voters, young, Hispanics

Analysts have predicted that new voters, young voters and Hispanic voters will turn out in record numbers in this election. But as Nevadans continue to flock to the polls, turnout among those three groups is lagging, at least in the early going.

While turnout statewide was nearly 25 percent through Sunday, it was just 20 percent among Hispanic voters, 14 percent among voters under 30 and 15 percent among those who didn’t vote in the last three elections, according to an analysis of state early voting records through Sunday prepared by America Votes, an organization that works to mobilize voters.

These are all demographic blocs that have been determined, through… actually, I have no idea at all why they’ve been more or less assigned as being heavily Obama-supporting, but they were, and let’s just go with that for the moment. Anyway, they’re not showing up in the numbers that many people expected them to. Democrats can take some comfort in this news about the two most populous NV counties (85% total):

In the urban counties, Democrats continue to turn out at higher rates than Republicans. In Clark County, 54 percent of those who voted through Monday were Democrats, 29 percent Republicans. In Washoe County, 51 percent of voters through Monday were Democrats, while 33 percent were Republicans.

…although I’d like to note that we don’t actually know yet who these people voted for. And before you tell me “the Democrat, of course,” contemplate this: you’re justifying that assumption using the same polls that are telling you that young people, Latinos, and reinvigorated voters are pumped about voting for Obama.

Put another way: does the acronym “GIGO” have any resonance for you?

Moe Lane