Scott Brown at 50, up by four...

‘Tain’t over ’till it’s over, but…

Riding a wave of opposition to Democratic health-care reform, GOP upstart Scott Brown is leading in the U.S. Senate race, raising the odds of a historic upset that would reverberate all the way to the White House, a new poll shows.

Although Brown’s 4-point lead over Democrat Martha Coakley is within the Suffolk University/7News survey’s margin of error, the underdog’s position at the top of the results stunned even pollster David Paleologos.

“It’s a Brown-out,” said Paleologos, director of Suffolk’s Political Research Center. “It’s a massive change in the political landscape.”

The poll shows Brown, a state senator from Wrentham, besting Coakley, the state’s attorney general, by 50 percent to 46 percent, the first major survey to show Brown in the lead. Unenrolled long-shot Joseph L. Kennedy, an information technology executive with no relation to the famous family, gets 3 percent of the vote. Only 1 percent of voters were undecided.

Amazing, simply amazing. This is from the Boston Herald. Note, they’re only reporting the poll, it’s not theirs.

Gee, I wonder if this one will make the Glob.

The most interesting part of the story isn’t even the poll numbers. It’s what’s driving the poll numbers. Remember, this is Massachusetts. Home of “universal health care” at the state level, brought to you by former Republican Presidential candidate Mitt Romney (and remember than come ’12). This, according to “conservative columnist” [I actually typed conservative communist the first time] David Gergen, is “Teddy Kennedy’s Senate Seat”. He was corrected by Scott Brown in no uncertain terms. This is arguably the most liberal state in the nation, their entire Congressional Delegation would have felt comfortable in the 1950 version of the Duma.

OK, enough foundation stuff. Here’s the money quote…

Yet even in the bluest state, it appears Kennedy’s quest for universal health care has fallen out of favor, with 51 percent of voters saying they oppose the “national near-universal health-care package” and 61 percent saying they believe the government cannot afford to pay for it.
While Brown has 91 percent of registered Republicans locked up, an astonishing 17 percent of Democrats report they’re jumping ship for Brown as well – likely a product of Coakley’s laser-focus on hard-core Dems, potentially at the exclusion of other Democrats whomshe [sic] needed to win over, Paleologos said.

OK, we can all do two things to help Scott keep TheMo™.

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Please don’t give ’till it hurts. Give ’till it feels good.