The Presumption of Guilt

It was a completely apolitical news story, but the politics was heavy within it:

26 rapes reported on UK’s campus so far in 2019

By WKYT News Staff | Posted: Friday, November 22, 2019 | 10:54 AM | Updated: Fri 4:40 PM

LEXINGTON, Ky. (WKYT) – The number of rape cases reported to the University of Kentucky police department has increased in 2019.

WKYT combed through UK’s crime log and pulled the numbers.

In the calendar year, 26 rapes have been reported to UK police. Police say eight of those were unfounded. Five rape cases are still open.

Those numbers were up compared to 2018 when 20 rapes were reported to the police. Three of those cases were unfounded, and four cases are still open.

Both years have lower numbers compared to 2017. Thirty-three cases were reported to police that year. Ten of those were unfounded, and two cases are still open.

Reported sex offenses, which include sexual abuse or sexual assault, have hovered around the same number for the last two years.

In 2019, 59 sex offenses have been reported to the police. Twelve of those reports have been unfounded, and 14 cases remain open.

2018 had similar numbers. Fifty-seven sex offenses were reported to campus police, with nine of those being unfounded. Twelve of those cases are still open.

The numbers for 2017 were higher. Sixty-six sex offenses were reported, with 21 of those cases unfounded. Six of those cases are still open.

There’s a bit more at the original.

It has long been a meme that women never lie about rape. Amanda Marcotte, of some internet fame, was absolutely distraught when the Duke lacrosse team rape case turned out to be a total fabrication, and wrote, several years afterward, “false rape accusations are rare.” Miss Marcotte, probably unintentionally, confirmed her bias in an article concerning allegations against Justice Brett Kavanaugh:

But the bottom-line takeaway for many of us was that this confirms that Kavanaugh lied under oath during his confirmation hearings.

Emphasis mine.

“For many of us” means just what it says: “many of (them)” had already concluded that Mr Kavanaugh lied in an instance where there was simply no proof, and they were just looking for confirmation of their already-existing — and politically motivated — belief.

In addressing the infamous Rolling Stone story about a rape that never happened, by a man who never existed, Miss Marcotte wrote:

The culture warriors who were sharpening their knives, eager to use this debacle as a pretext to make the discussion over campus rape about the extremely rare problem of “false accusation,” will be disappointed. Columbia’s investigators, Sheila Coronel, Steve Coll and Derek Kravitz don’t give succor to anti-feminists claiming false accusations are common, writing, “the magazine’s failure may have spread the idea that many women invent rape allegations,” and noting that the false report rate on rapes is low, between 2 and 8 percent.

I’m sure that it pained her to admit to the higher and of that range!

US News & World Report carried this opinion piece in January of 2018:

Women Don’t ‘Cry Rape’

Why it’s so unlikely any woman would lie about being raped.

By Leora Tanenbaum | Opinion Contributor |January 10, 2018 | 7:00 a.m.

Even in this groundbreaking #MeToo moment, the age-old myth that a woman who says she was raped is a liar – covering up a regretted act of consensual sex – remains as popular as ever. In Dave Chapelle’s new comedy special, “The Bird Revelation,” he jokes that if Harvey Weinstein looked like Brad Pitt, he would not have been accused of assault and rape.

But the myth of the woman who falsely cries rape should never serve as a punchline. I’ve been tracking slut-shaming – when girls and women are labeled “sluts” and “hos” – for over two decades, interviewing hundreds of teenage girls and women who have been ostracized, harassed and assaulted as a result of their sexual reputation. Their experiences show that it is highly unlikely for any woman to lie about being raped.

In our culture of slut-shaming, women are routinely treated as sex objects but then punished for doing (or presumed to be doing) what is expected of them. Nearly all teenage girls and women are at risk of being labeled a “slut” or “ho” at some point, regardless of their actual sexual behavior.

As a result, teenage girls and women often are defensive about their sexual reputation, even when they have been sexually assaulted. One poignant example is the statement made by the woman who was raped in 2015 by Stanford swimmer Brock Turner. Never mind that there were witnesses who saw the violent assault and that she had been unconscious. The victim felt compelled to share that the night of the assault, she had been dressed demurely in a beige cardigan, “like a librarian”; had a boyfriend, and therefore wasn’t looking for sex; and was not accustomed to drinking – she had made “an amateur mistake” that night by drinking too much

“Extremely rare problem.” “So unlikely.” The WKYT story — WKYT is the CBS affiliate in Lexington, Kentucky — wasn’t taking a political position, but was noting where students who believed they were vulnerable could get help, simply put out the statistics, from the University of Kentucky’s Police Department: in 2018, 20 alleged rapes were reported to the department, but three of them, 15%, were unfounded accusations. Thus far in 2019, 26 rape allegations were made, but 8 of them, 30.8%, have proven to be unfounded.

In the broader category of sex offenses, 15.8% were unfounded in 2018 and the rate was 20.3% in 2019.

All of a sudden, the notion that false allegations are “so unlikely” doesn’t seem quite so unlikely. And remember: these were cases properly referred to the police, and not the silliness — spurred by the Obama Administration — of reporting them to college administrators.

This is why the feminists want college administrators handling these cases, because real police investigation is starting to reveal the uncomfortable truth that yes, some women do lie about rape, do lie about sexual assault, for whatever reasons they have. Miss Marcotte and her crew have a presumption of guilt when it comes to sexual assault allegations, and they want not law enforcement investigations but fora in which that presumption will be taken. And this is why sexual assault allegations have to be taken away from college administrators, who have no particular standard of proof to which they must adhere, nor any discernible skills at criminal investigation, and all of them need to be turned over to law enforcement, who do have to be cognizant of criminal law, standards of proof and have investigative skills.
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