The headline at The Drudge Report website,”Group Repping 50,000 Physicists Opens Global Warming Debate…” [linked to dailytech.com] says it all. That headline stems from an article posted in the July, 2008, newsletter of the American Physical Society unit known as Physics and Society. Lord Christopher Monckton of Brenchley wrote the explosive article, ‘Climate Sensitivity Reconsidered,’and the abstract alone is guaranteed to make Al Gore’s blood boil.
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC, 2007) concluded that anthropogenic CO2 emissions probably caused more than half of the “global warming” of the past 50 years and would cause further rapid warming. However, global mean surface temperature has not risen since 1998 and may have fallen since late 2001. **The present analysis suggests that the failure of the IPCC’s models to predict this and many other climatic phenomena arises from defects in its evaluation of the three factors whose product is climate sensitivity:** 1.Radiative forcing ?F;
2.The no-feedbacks climate sensitivity parameter ?;
3.The feedback multiplier ƒ.Some reasons why the IPCC’s estimates may be excessive and unsafe are explained. **More importantly, the conclusion is that, perhaps, there is no “climate crisis”, and that currently-fashionable efforts by governments to reduce anthropogenic CO2 emissions are pointless, may be ill-conceived, and could even be harmful.**
The APS, hanging onto dogma like a seal with a fish, promptly put up a disclaimer stating essentially the organization’s position remains unchanged—“an article at odds with this statement recently appeared in an online newsletter of the APS Forum on Physics and Society, one of 39 units of APS…This newsletter is not a journal of the APS and it is not peer reviewed.”
Nice try. The newsletter article Climate Sensitivity Reconsidered might not technically be peer reviewed, but there are more than 30 citations from distinguished sources. It took me many attempts to pull up the page at both Daily Tech and APS, a sign both sites were getting tons of traffic.
This dustup is a signal—scientists whose voices have been gagged are beginning to speak up. This follows Lawrence Solomon’s explosive book completely ignored by mainstream media. ‘The Deniers’ cites expert after expert, all with reams of credentials and work cited in numerous scientific journals as well as official government reports about global warming. Solomon makes the case that science was done by consensus rather than logic.
More than 31,000 scientists have signed a petition asking for a debate with Gorian proponents. None would take the challenge. There is a myth that legitimate scientists do not disagree man is causing global warming. They do disagree and those experts have in some cases, according to Solomon, been severely punished for their attitude, with research funding going only to proponents of Gore’s ideology.
There is a complete free-for-all right now at Daily Tech, with Gorians vs. deniers exchanging scientific claims, some of which may be suspect. The article at Daily Tech notes, “Larry Gould, Professor of Physics at the University of Hartford and Chairman of the New England Section of the APS, called Monckton’s paper an ‘expose of the IPCC that details numerous exaggerations and extensive errors.'”
Meanwhile, global warming which the EPA now insists be called ‘climate change’ which the APS is now referring to as ‘climate senstivity’ is costing the United States both money and goodwill. Countries where people don’t have enough to eat are given the impression the U.S., rather than natural events, wars and lack of leadership, is causing food shortages. I predict we’ll see this heat up (pun intended) in weeks to come, and it may emerge as a campaign issue.
[Sources: APS Physics and Society Unit, Daily Tech(“Myth of consensus Explodes: APS opens global warming debate), The Heartland Institute]
Note: I have contributed to and participated in environmental efforts for many years, among them, working as technical writer on the program to restore bald eagle populations, the gopher tortoise and the peregrine falcon (SC Dept. Natural Resources) and planting trees as part of my work as the first communications director for the SC Forestry Association. I also rescued a feral chicken who still lives in our back yard in perfect harmony with our hound dog.
This article was edited July 18, 2008, to include the link to the Physics and Society unit of the APS, whose article is at odds with the overall APS policy, as I noted in the second paragraph (after the blockquote). Red State is among the few sites where the story was reported correctly.–Kay B. Day