Diary

The Republican Primaries and the GOP's Big Problem: Heir Apparent Syndrome

Republicans pride ourselves on being the party of merit, “if you earn it is yours”. Because Republicans believe that what you want can be achieved if you work hard for it, we are big believers in merit and hard work, with the exception of some RINOS. But, the Republican Establishment doesn’t seem to apply those same beliefs to our presidential candidates. The reason I believe that is this: Republicans, seemingly have and tolerate a monarchial system of choosing our candidates. We have an “heir apparent” being chosen the majority of the time as the Republican candidate for President. Both Erick Erickson and Dick Morris have pointed this out. Erickson said in effect, that because George Bush didn’t have a younger Vice President to be his heir, this debacle of a Republican Primary could be traced back to Bush. I agree that George Bush did not leave a heir and that our current situation would have been very different if he had.

The good points of the heir apparent system are obvious. A ready, vetted, candidate is ready to step up and take the reigns. The heir apparent has name recognition, support, and if the President and Vice Presidential duo is any good, the heir receives some credit for past successful policies. The bad points of an heir apparent system are obvious to us now. Because George Bush didn’t leave an heir, in 2008 the Republican Establishment went back to the number two of that election cycle, John McCain. Because Senator McCain was the second place finisher in the 2000 Republican Primary, he was the heir apparent, the chosen candidate. And John McCain was not a very good candidate at all. He was a moderate, he was uninspiring as a speaker, he was distasteful to the Conservatives, and he seemingly gave up before November, all but ceding the election to Barack Obama. But the great argument that was used in to order convince Republican Primary voters to vote for McCain was this: “McCain is electable, he can beat Obama or Hilary Clinton”.

Now, because we Republicans are used to an heir apparent system, here in 2012 we are doing the same thing we did back in 2008. The Republican Establishment is looking for a successor in order to ensure an orderly transition of power, but John McCain’s more conservative political running mate Sarah Palin is not running. So, the Republican Establishment is doing exactly the same thing that they did back in 2008, reaching back and propping up the second placer finisher as the heir apparent, that would be Mitt Romney. The Republican Establishment is making the same mistake they made four years ago. Look very hard at Mitt Romney. What does the establishment use as the argument for Mitt Romney’s candidacy? “Romney is electable, he can beat Obama” That sounds very familiar to what they said about John McCain in 2008. Mitt Romney is a moderate, he is an uninspiring speaker, he is distasteful to Conservatives and, with the exception of the Arizona Tea Party, he is also distasteful to the majority of the Tea Partiers. Romney encouraged Obama to use the individual mandate. Romney throws money at any problem he sees, such as voters not liking him, and he just throws millions into ads. Ordinarily I would applaud that a Republican has that much money, but not this time. Not when Obama will be able to outspend any Republican candidate three to one.

Vast amounts of money will not be what wins the 2012 election. The merit of our candidate, our candidate’s honesty, his sense of responsibility and loyalty to the American Constitution and to God and Country, will be what brings a Republican victory in 2012.  I am not going to go with the “heir apparent”, not this time around. We tried going for the “electable” Number Two, second placer finisher, back in 2008, John McCain failed. Mitt Romney is going to fail here in 2012 if he is the nominee, just like John McCain did in 2008. Mitt Romney is John McCain’s heir apparent, the second choice, just like John McCain himself was. Because of that, and the knowledge that that fails when we try it, I am going to take the Republican approach of picking my candidate based upon their individual merit and I am going to go with Rick Santorum or Newt Gingrich for the Republican nominee for President in 2012. If they both fail, than I will support Mitt Romney as the Republican nominee even though he will not win the Presidency. If there is a brokered convention I will gladly support the candidate, but I will not willingly repeat the same mistake that the Republican Establishment made in 2008. I will not support Mitt Romney in the Republican Primary, I will not support a man who was the second choice to the second choice, I will not support a man who is the current “heir apparent” with an “it’s my turn” attitude towards running for President.