There was one really good piece of news from Capitol Hill yesterday.
The House Freedom caucus adopted an official position (meaning it was supported by at least 80% of the members) that they will oppose ANY spending measure that includes funding for Planned Parenthood.
“Any spending measure” includes a CR, which appears to be House leadership’s plan of choice to fund the government and avoid a shutdown.
This means that Boehner can only pass a CR ( which would include funding for PP) with the support of [mc_name name=’Rep. Nancy Pelosi (D-CA)’ chamber=’house’ mcid=’P000197′ ] and House Democrats; who would likely exact several pounds of flesh for doing so.
This appears to put Boehner in a box, and gift-wrapped to boot.
He somewhat irrationally wants to avoid a “shut-down” at all costs, fearing that the GOP will be blamed for it; despite considerable evidence to the contrary.
There is no way the Democrats will go along with anything Boehner proposes UNLESS funding for PP is included.
If Boehner pushes a CR, it is all but certain that that a privileged resolution ( which must be immediately considered) to vacate the Chair will be introduced, and Boehner will lose his Speakership.
Regardless of the outcome, Boehner is shown to be severely weakened, and likely not to run in 2016.
If this is the case, rather than allow [mc_name name=’Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-CA)’ chamber=’house’ mcid=’M001165′ ] to begin to lock up support, House conservatives need to coalesce NOW around their choice for Speaker, regardless if the vote is taken next week, or in 16 months.