Several reports are starting to surface indicating that the Obama administration is preparing millions of work authorization permits for illegals, beginning the amnesty process.
If Obama does go forward with this action, the new Republican controlled Congress should immediately move to impeach, and I do believe there would be sufficient Democrat votes in the Senate to convict, and equally important; that the Clintons would actually be supportive of conviction.
In his first six years in office, Obama has multiple times committed serious constitutional offenses. We need not reiterate them here. Yet the GOP leadership, sensing that they are about to win control of the Senate, ( and thus Congress) and not wanting to arouse the Democrat base, have multiple times said no to any idea of impeachment.
However, what Obama is now unilaterally attempting to do goes so far beyond the pale, that there is no other recourse except impeachment. Amnesty must be stopped, and Obama must be removed from office.
The House must first pass the Articles of Impeachment by a simple majority. As the GOP conference may soon number as many as 245, this is a given. The Senate then conducts a trial, and votes on each article separately. A two-thirds majority is required for conviction. And after the new Senate is sworn in, this may well be possible to achieve.
Let’s assume that the Republicans end up with 53 seats in the Senate. That leaves them 14 short of the needed two-thirds majority to convict. Here’s where it now becomes a purely political calculus.
In less then two weeks, the Democrat party will find itself in near utter chaos. Consider that 6 years ago, when Obama was first elected, the Democrats controlled the White House, had a large majority in the House, and had a 60-40 Senate majority, allowing them to do whatever they wished.
Obama’s approval is now in the mid 30’s; House Democrats will be at their lowest number in decades, and the Republicans will control the Senate. Obama is continuing to try and “fundamentally transform America,” and in that pursuit, he has done much t o harm this great nation, but he has also “fundamentally transformed” the Democrat party to minority status ( no pun intended…).
Let’s first look at the Senators up for re-election in 2016. The conventional wisdom holds that the GOP will have a hard time keeping control on the Senate, given that of the 34 seats that are up, 24 are Republican. Frankly, I don’t think it’s anywhere near that bad a problem. We will have had two more years of the effects of Obama’s policies…Obamacare especially, and the world is going to hell in a handbasket. The likelihood of a full blow Mid East war increases daily, especially as when the US rolls over on Iran’s becoming nuclear capable, the Israelis will have no choice but to take military action. That die is already cast; it’s just a question of when it is played.
But ANY Republican senator up in 2016 who does not vote to convict will face the wrath of the conservative base, and is all but guaranteed a primary challenge.
These are the nine Democrats up in 2016: Boxer, Bennet, Blumenthal, Manchin, Mikulski, Reid, Schumer, Wyden, Leahy, Murray.
There is a good possibility that several, after having spent 2 years in the minority, and not assured of regaining control, will announce their retirement. These could include Boxer, Mikulski, Leahy. It’s possible that Reid, will retire soon after the 2104 election. Schumer will force him out as future minority leader, and if the GOP has more than a one vote majority, then allowing Nevada’s Republican governor Brian Sandoval to name his replacement won’t affect control, and Reid will retire. His wife is sadly, quite ill, so he has a face-saving excuse.
Among the Democrat 10, Manchin is a near given to vote to convict. I think Wyden would be open to the idea, especially because of Obama’s having the NSA spy on American’s.
Our magic number of 14 is now down to 12.
Let’s looks at the Democrats who have just gone through the 2014 election cycle, and survived. Being now 6 years removed from having to face the voters again, they are thus most removed from being susceptible to overt pressure.
Who then might be willing to vote to convict?
[mc_name name=’Sen. Mark Warner (D-VA)’ chamber=’senate’ mcid=’W000805′ ], [mc_name name=’Sen. Jeff Merkley (D-OR)’ chamber=’senate’ mcid=’M001176′ ] are possibilities. Chris Coons is another: being from Delaware, he has an incentive to remove Obama, and elevate Biden to the Oval Office.
If, as now unfortunately seems likely, [mc_name name=’Rep. Gary Peters (D-MI)’ chamber=’house’ mcid=’P000595′ ] wins in Michigan despite all things Obama being so unpopular, he has no reason to feel indebted to the President.
So, maybe 2-3 votes are there for the plucking.
Now we must consider the Clinton factor.
If Obama remains in office, and we have perpetual gridlock with a GOP controlled Congress, and he continues to rule by Executive Orders, realistically then no Democrat has a chance in hell of winning the White House in 2016, nor do they have any chance of regaining the Senate. ( The GOP will control the House at least through 2022.)
So, the Clintons would like Obama out as much as the Republicans, but for totally different reasons. Thus, there is the making of a truly Machiavellian grand bargain.
The Clintons “encourage” Democrat senators to vote to convict; by cashing in all chits, and making whatever future promises are required.
In that group we could find Markey, Franken, Udall ( NM), Reed (RI) Murphy, Blumenthal, Carper ( especially so being from Del) Nelson, Donnelly, King, Stabenow, Klobuchar, McCaskill, Heinrich, Casey, Kaine, Baldwin, Heitkamp, Gillebrand
Get the picture now? There could be more than enough Dems lining up to convict.
And here’s the sweetener, the clincher. Joe Biden happily goes along, giving the “secret signal” to his fellow Dems that he’s more than OK with throwing Obama under the bus. Joe gets to be President for about 2 years..as soon as he is sworn in he keeps the secret promise he made to Hillary, and he vows to be a “caretaker” president, and not to run in 2016 ( instantly making him a demigod and hero to the MSM) His presidency would be as a regency until Hillary is sworn in.
The Clintons have every reason on earth to want Obama gone, immediately. Imagine Obama remaining in office, and everything continues to spiral down. Then imagine Hillary as the 2016 Democrat nominee, and think what the Democrat convention would be like.
Does Obama get to speak? If so, when?..Maybe at 2:30 in the afternoon of the first day, after the credential committee reports.
Are they really going to show a 30 minute ( heck, 30 second) video of Obama’s “accomplishments” the last eight years? I think not.
In summary, the GOP controlled next Congress needs to impeach and convict Obama for violating his oath of office, and shredding the Constitution. It is absolutely right and proper that they do so.
But this time, it is also in the interests of many Democrats that Obama be removed. And because Democrats would provide the needed votes to convict, there will be no stigma attached to the Republicans for initiating the impeachment proceedings.
Some will say that there is no way that Democrats would do this because it would alienate their key constituency: blacks. There is some merit to that argument, but it can be refuted as follows:
1. Most blacks will still continue to vote Democrat. That will not change overnight. Black voter intensity will however be diminished, and that will hurt some.
2. The alternative is far worse. Obama completing his term makes it all but impossible for Hillary, let alone any Democrat, to win the White House, and Democrats will suffer in Congressional races. At the current rate, by the time 2016 comes about, only members of the Black Caucus will openly admit to ever voting for Obama.
3. And blacks won’t have that much to be upset about. After all, Obama was actually the SECOND black president, (and half black at that.) And we all know who the FIRST black president was, and by gawd…he’ll soon be back inside the White House..