Yesterday in the Politico, the NRCC said Doug Hoffman had “no path to victory” in New York’s 23rd Congressional District.Well, guess what. According to a new poll commissioned by the Club for Growth Doug Hoffman is in first place.Here’s the thing: it is only 300 people surveyed with a 5% margin of error. What the poll tells us for certain and very reliably is that this is a two man race between Owens, the Democrat, and Hoffman, the Conservative. Dede Scozzafava is in third place with no base of support to get her up.Now imagine the possibilities for Hoffman if the GOP ditched Scozzafava and got behind Hoffman. The goal, after all, is to get someone who will be part of the Republican caucus in the House of Representatives. Hoffman would.