Diary

Call Obama's Bluff on Immigration

One of the oft-overlooked statements that the President has made on immigration, is that he will rescind his executive order IF the Republicans pass an immigration reform bill.

He is, of course, betting that no one will do this…

Which is why the new Congress SHOULD do it.

Why?

You see, the popular support for ‘comprehensive’ immigration legislation is a coalition of dissimilar interests: Tech firms want more H1B visas, ‘Big Ag’ wants guest workers, and the radical-left wants legalization of illegals. The first two groups don’t really care about amnesty/legalization, but [mc_name name=’Sen. Harry Reid (D-NV)’ chamber=’senate’ mcid=’R000146′ ] has held their interests hostage to demands for amnesty.

[mc_name name=’Sen. Harry Reid (D-NV)’ chamber=’senate’ mcid=’R000146′ ] is, of course, out of the Majority Leader’s spot in January – and with his departure, the necessity of an immigration bill being ‘comprehensive’ goes away with him.

Conservatives are natural allies of the first two interest groups – tech & commercial agriculture. And there’s nothing they want that we can’t give them while staying ideologically consistent.

We’re not the party of labor-supply-restriction/wage-inflation – that’s the Democrats & their union allies… From a conservative economic perspective, the fact that something will ‘lower wages’ or provides ‘cheap labor’ is not really a problem… So there is no reason to oppose either guest-worker visas OR more H1Bs.

There’s also no reason to oppose expanded legal immigration – or to oppose granting immigration-priority to people with valuable skills who are trying to come here legally….

The deal-breaker is the demand for amnesty. And fortunately for us, amnesty is the ‘ugly duckling’ of the various immigration-interest groups… The tech firms don’t care about illegals, and the ag-lobby will be quite happy with a legal source of farm-labor via guest-worker visas… If these two groups get what they want, they will be more than happy to leave the amnesty-now crowd out in the cold…

Obama would be faced with 2 powerful lobbying groups demanding that he sign ‘immigration reform’… He’d be pissed about it, but he’d sign…

Which would leave the amnesty-now crowd without allies, fighting for something that the US population is generally opposed to…

All we have to do, is put the ‘2/3’s compromise’ (‘everything but amnesty’) on the President’s desk… Call his bluff…