Diary

So I'm watching the fireworks at Disney World

I’m sitting watching the fireworks at Disney World when my son calls. He tells me that Obama just picked Hillary for VP. After a momentary shock, I realize I’m not surprised. I tell him that. I also tell him that it will probably be enough for Obama to win. To my credit I don’t immediately check Redstate. Instead I watch the rest of the show and wait until I’m back in my car to check. Of course I find nothing about it here or on the Fox site, and begin thinking about ways to kill my son slowly.

But I do want to make a prediction. I’ve been saying that without a major event, Obama is heading to defeat. Picking Hillary would be that event. If Obama picks her, I think he will jump to 51 or 52 in the polls and will hold there at least until after the Republican convention. After that he will still have at least a 5 point lead.

And I’d be happy to be told how wrong I am 🙂