My Odds of ObamaCare Passing this Year: 35%

There is a 65% chance that nothing will happen, no bill will pass.

In early September I put the odds of nothing happening at 40%. They have increased substantially and regularly since then, and today’s events are simply the results of the Democratic leadership in both the House and the Senate not being able to keep their whip count confidential, since the demand for the information is so high.