I’m not being the contrarian here. The linked post below regarding the Colorado Senate race shows be careful out there, this is not in the bag yet. Demorats will do all they can to win every race (negative, third party candidates, etc). There are many factors in individual races.
And this is before the Dems’ / State-run media’s soon-to-come October surprises/artificially-generated Republican “scandals” / Dems momentum is turning at the last minute stories.
Bottom line we need to keep working hard, don’t assume anything and get the word out on dirty tricks, last-minute surprises, etc.