Diary

Do Conservatives understand that if Santorum Wins South Carolina, Romney loses the Nomination?

Food for thought, much of this primary season has been about defeating two people, first conservatives want to defeat Mitt Romney and the so called establishment, and second we must defeat President Obama. Mitt Romney has consistently shown that he runs neck to neck against Obama in just about every poll, but since he has flip flopped on so many issues the Republican voters do not like him; many of them want to beat him, really bad.

So here is my question, if defeating Mitt Romney is so important, then voting for Rick Santorum in the South Carolina primary would get that done. Think about it, Rick Santorum has won Iowa, came in 5th in New Hampshire, and if he wins S.C., he will have won two of the first three states. There is reason to believe this outcome propels him to the nomination. Every Nominee in the last 20 plus year has won S.C., and when a candidate wins the first and third state that votes it generally means they are the nominee. Now Republicans changed the rules some this year to be more like the Democrats, so the first few state are not winner take all, but the momentum would still be there to propel him going forward.

Personal, I think Rick Santorum would not be a great nominee, he often comes off angry and conceited, and the left wing, oh I mean, main stream media would have a field day with that, but we do not have any good options left, conservatives really mucked this one up I think. Perry was the best shot we had at beating Obama, and people put debate skills above record and plan ( sorry had to say something about Perry) . I think this will come back to haunt us this November; nevertheless we have to choose a nominee from the candidates we have.

But if beating Romney is the idea, voting for Santorum in S.C. would be the answer. Even if it is Newt who wins S.C., this race has then become wide open. All three of the first state to vote would have picked a different candidate, and Ron Paul has run a steady second, which would pretty much mean anything could happen.

So it is going to be interesting to see what happens in S.C. tomorrow, and in the end, Romney could very well lose the nomination in S.C., much like he did in 2008.

If Ron Paul wins in S.C. tomorrow, we will be in a world of trouble come November, because he would be a disaster as a nominee, and even worse as a president.

I suspect that Santorum is third on many peoples list of candidates they would like to see win. So the question I ask many of you is this. Would having Santorum as the nominee be worth beating Romney, or would you rather try with Newt Gingrich and have less of a chance. Newt Gingrich could win S.C. and fight for the next few states, but if he somehow messes up, then Romney will be the nominee. But if Santorum win S.C., he is almost sure to go on to be the nominee, that is if history repeats itself, which it often does. S.C. voters will likely have the biggest impact of all the states when they cast their vote today. What do you hope to see happen.