Diary

ARG Polls

ARG has their state poll numbers out today.

http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/

Some people give ARG flack, but these numbers seem in-line with other polls right now.

The highlights:

CO: McCain +2IL: Obama +6 (I can believe it, but no way McCain is this close on Election Day)MO: McCain +5MT: McCain +2NV: McCain +3NM: Obama +7OH: McCain +6WV: McCain +4 (seems a little closer than it should be)

So, assumming that the same pattern would hold in FL, McCain would win under these numbers, because Colorado is on his side.