Diary

Politico: GOP Sees Opportunity in Northeast

I wrote yesterday about the most recent New York poll showing both Governor Paterson and Senator Gillibrand in trouble in their 2010 re-election bids. The Politico notes that these races are just one part of a what seems to be a hopeful GOP resurgence in the region:

In Connecticut, there is an unexpected opportunity to unseat veteran Sen. Chris Dodd (D-Conn.) in 2010. In New Jersey, incumbent Gov. Jon Corzine (D) trails his Republican challenger in the polls. Several House races seem promising in neighboring New York, where Democratic Gov. David Paterson’s bungling of a recent Senate appointment has jeopardized both his seat and the one now held by Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D-N.Y.)…

The economic crisis is also fueling opposition to Dodd, a five-term senator whose personal financial dealings and role as Senate Banking Committee chairman have been closely scrutinized and under attack. His recent admission concerning the insertion of a provision into the stimulus legislation — the one that effectively allowed American International Group employees to receive millions in bonuses — threatens to derail his bid for a sixth term in 2010.

Former Rep. Rob Simmons (R-Conn.), who entered the race last week, immediately blasted Dodd for “failing in his oversight duties” as chairman. And he accused Democrats of backing legislation that would stifle economic growth — sounding off on the major theme of his campaign…

After seeing the party’s 2006 gubernatorial nominee get thrashed by Spitzer, Republicans are optimistic about their chances in 2010 — especially if former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani, who has said he is considering a gubernatorial campaign, jumps in. Polls have shown him leading the embattled Democratic governor.

Elsewhere in New York, several promising GOP recruits have emerged in upstate House races where Republicans have traditionally run well. Businessman Richard Hanna, who came within 4 points of defeating Rep. Michael Arcuri (D-N.Y.) last year, is seriously considering a rematch. And 31-year-old Assemblyman Greg Ball, a Republican who has attracted notice for bucking his party’s Albany establishment, is poised to present a tough challenge to Rep. John Hall (D-N.Y.).

These aren’t the only races in the Northeast where Republicans can be competitive next year. Apart from the 3 New York races, there are several prominent GOPers looking at a race against Carol Shea-Porter (D-NH). There will be strong Republican candidates in several races in Pennsylvania, and I am hearing talk of promising candidates against other New York Democrats. According to Charlie Cook, there are 10 House seats in New England, New York, and Pennsylvania whose partisan performance is such that Republicans could run competitive races. By way of comparison, Republicans currently hold 10 seats in the entire region. I don’t expect to win all of them, but we ought to run competitive candidates in all of them. And if we win half, we will have expanded our representation in the region by 50 percent.

All this begins of course, with a win in New York’s 20th Congressional district a week from today. You can do your part to get the ball rolling by donating to Tedisco today: