64 Democrats voted for Stupak. All Republicans voted for it except Shadegg (‘present’).
39 Democrats voted against the final bill. All Republicans except Cao voted against it.
Here are the Democrats on either of the above lists broken down as to how they voted on Stupak and on the final House bill. (Griffith is included even though he has since changed parties.) Of course all the other Dems voted against Stupak and for the bill.
- Column 1 – How many of these 41 would vote no on the Senate version since it has watered-down abortion language? This is the key group it seems to me. If at least half of them hold firm it’s hard to see the Senate version passing the House.
- Column 2 – How many of these 23 would vote yes on the Senate version even though it has watered-down abortion language? It could be some of them would let dropping the public option override their preference for stricter abortion language. You’d think most of these would be moderates who would still likely vote no, but it also includes some of the announced retirees who may cave and vote yes.
- Column 3 – How many of these 16 would vote yes on the Senate version? This group could include liberals who voted no because of Stupak or because the bill wasn’t far enough left, and it could include fiscal moderates who don’t care about abortion. You can’t really read these as a group – you’d need to examine each one.
- Of the other 178 pro-abortion Dems who liked the House bill, would any of them switch to no on a bill without a public option even though they like the watered-down abortion language? I doubt there would be any defectors here.