Kansas general election, state-wide candidates: Internal poll numbers from SurveyUSA

Cross-tabs are available here for last week’s SurveyUSA general election poll.

Note the pro-conservative and/or pro-Republican tilt of the 18-49 age group, which make up 45% of voters, according to SurveyUSA.  For example, for Republican Secretary of State nominee Kris Kobach:

  • Kobach is winning 62-30% (8% other/undecided) overall.
  • Among 18-34 year-old voters, Kobach wins 75% of the vote.
  • Among 18-48 year-old voters, Kobach wins 71% of the vote.

To be fair to Democrats, the younger age groups are somewhat less likely to pay attention to political ongoings in the news, and they’re therefore less likely to have heard of current (appointed mid-term, never elected) Democratic Secretary of State Chris Biggs, or current (appointed mid-term, never elected) Democratic Treasurer Dennis McKinney, or current (again appointed mid-term, never elected) Democratic Attorney General Steve Six.

Also note that “independents” are different than “moderates” in how they vote — to be clear, SurveyUSA uses its own methodology for determining voters’ party affiliations (SurveyUSA considers 58% of Kansans to be self-identified Republicans, while about 43% of Kansans are legally registered as Republicans with the Secretary of State).

Most self-described moderate voters supported John Kerry over George Bush in 2004, and supported President Obama over John McCain in 2008.

Kobach is winning independents by a large 50-29% margin.  Kobach is narrowly losing moderate voters by a 44-49% margin.


Connect with Benjamin Hodge at FacebookTwitterLinkedInThe Kansas Progress, and LibertyLinked. Hodge is President of the State and Local Reform Group of Kansas.  He served as one of seven at-large trustees at Johnson County Community College from 2005-’09, a member of the Kansas House from 2007-’08, a delegate to the Kansas Republican Party from 2009-’10, and was founder of the Overland Park Republican Party in 2011.  His public policy record is recognized by Americans for Prosperity, the Kansas Association of Broadcasters, the Kansas Press Association, the Kansas Sunshine Coalition for Open Government, the NRAKansans for Life, and the Foundation for Individual Rights in Education (FIRE).


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