Diary

The Anti-Establishment Mood: Some Conjecture

Rasmussen’s “right track-wrong track” voter attitude question has been trending downward to its current 68% wrong track level and the presidential candidates anointed by the major political parties are being rejected by the grass roots. How can this be when the economy has been trending upward for seven years, the official unemployment rate is down to 5.1%, and there are no Americans dying in foreign wars? The successful presidential candidate will understand what is motivating the public mood; here is some conjecture:

From the Left:

Likable as he may be, President Obama has been a great disappointment. Since [mc_name name=’Rep. Nancy Pelosi (D-CA)’ chamber=’house’ mcid=’P000197′ ] and [mc_name name=’Sen. Harry Reid (D-NV)’ chamber=’senate’ mcid=’R000146′ ] passed Obamacare in 2010, nothing significant has been done. The president has shown no interest in working with Congress on major problems – implementation of Obamacare; immigration; environment; tax reform; reigning in Wall Street; income inequality; ISIS; the Iranian nuclear program. Guantanamo remains open.  From the Left’s perspective, immigration amnesties, decisions against the coal industry and in support of the unions on the National Labor Relations Board are good, but income inequality and climate change call for bold initiatives which are missing – and regulations can be reversed by a Republican president.

Wall Street and the big corporations are stronger than ever. There is no talk by the Democratic administration of [mc_name name=’Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA)’ chamber=’senate’ mcid=’W000817′ ]’s agenda – breaking up the big banks and properly taxing hedge fund managers. The TransPacific Partnership trade agreement with twelve nations is a second coming of the Clinton / Bush North American Free Trade Agreement to the benefit of large exporters and the detriment of American workers.

The administration has done nothing to build the party. Democrats have lost the House and Senate, most governorship, and most state legislatures.  The Democrat bench is empty.

While they cannot talk about it, African American workers are being displaced by the flood of legal and illegal immigrants, and the bedrock of urban Democratic political power has received nothing for their loyal support.

The political establishment which got us to this point must be replaced.

From the Right:

The Tea Party revolution which followed the passage of Obamacare in 2010 and the obscene trillion dollar Stimulus Plan has been co-opted. Despite electing enough conservatives to take over the House in 2010 and the Senate in 2014, [mc_name name=’Rep. John Boehner (R-OH)’ chamber=’house’ mcid=’B000589′ ] and [mc_name name=’Sen. Mitch McConnell (R-KY)’ chamber=’senate’ mcid=’M000355′ ] have done nothing of substance. Sure, they have gone back to passing budgets and staging debates, but none of the promises have been fulfilled – the repeal of ObamaCare; balancing the budget; holding the administration to account for Benghazi; IRS targeting of conservative organizations; the scandal at the Veterans’ Administration; rampant cronyism.

The Establishment Republican Congress has accepted an $18,000,000,000,000 national debt, going wobbly each time it becomes necessary to increase the allowable limit. We are on the road to being Greece.

The world is suffering mightily from the Obama administration’s decision to retreat from the world stage. Hillary’s re-set with Russia has given up part of the Ukraine and put Eastern Europe at risk. Obama’s walking away from his “red line” in Syria and his total withdrawal from Iraq has led to the “Junior Varsity” ISIS wreaking havoc across a broad swath. The “pivot to Asia” has seen China expanding its claims in the South China Sea and sending it’s fleet into American waters off of Alaska. Iran is on a path to nuclear weapons.

The political establishment which got us to this point must be replaced.   

From the Center:

We are a robust nation of 320 million people. From its inception there has an antipathy to royalty and political dynasties. It is unthinkable that there is not a better option than another Clinton or another Bush.

There was hope that the election of Barack Obama would allow the United States to move beyond racial divisions. The approach of Obama and Eric Holder clearly did not have that effect, with the latest focus on the behavior of the police distracting from the more difficult issues of poverty, education, and the dissolution of the African American family.

The politics of division have become tiresome – African-Americans; Hispanics; women; the rich/the poor. Hillary Clinton’s campaign is based on another round of division.

Since the Supreme Court decided in 2010 that contributions to Political Action Committees were “free speech”, billions of dollars have flooded into campaigns of both parties. PACs cannot coordinate with the candidates’ campaigns but they can advertise; negative advertising is more impactful than positive advertising; the tone is negative and omnipresent.

The political establishment which got us to this point must be replaced. 

November of 2016 is a long way away. The party establishments have the money, the networks of supporters,  and the experienced staffs, but this looks increasingly unlike the year for another Bush or Clinton. The professionals need jobs and those campaigns have the money, but the big payoff comes from having a winning candidate. I haven’t checked Linked In, but there is likely to be movement toward establishment candidates who can distance themselves from Clinton and Bush – perhaps Joe Biden or John Kasich.

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This week’s bonus video is a joint interview with the number two candidates of both parties – Ben Carson and Bernie Sanders – quaintly just nine months ago.

www.RightinSanFrancisco.com  – 9/11/15