The “Bush was strong on defense” myth


Ever since Obama was installed as president, many Republicans (including some conservatives) said that they miss President Bush. Some of those Republicans, including Richard N. Weltz of AT, even claimed that Bush was strong on defense, and contrasted Bush with Obama (who began a series of disastrous defense cuts 8 months ago).

Although Obama has failed to execute his duties as Supreme Commander of the US military, and is rightly hated by military families, the claim that Bush is strong on defense is wrong.

President Bush inherited a weak military, massacred by the disastrous defense cuts orchestrated by his father and by President Clinton. By 2000, America’s military equipment, unreplaced, was decrepit. Defense spending fell to the lowest level since FY1941 – 3.0% of GDP. That year, ervice chiefs reported that they needed additional tens of billions of dollars to rebuild the military. American military bases had become slums. In 1997, the then-USAF chief of staff, Gen. Ronald Fogleman, resigned because the Clinton Administration refused to sufficiently finance the aircraft fleet of the USAF.

So President Bush certainly inherited a decrepit military.

And on some scores, he improved it. The aggregate defense budget was slightly raised, by 14.3% over 8 years. By FY2009 the DOD had a budget of $512 bn, as opposed to a paltry $371 bn for FY2001. Secretary Rumsfeld implemented many defense reforms, including the largest BRAC round ever; a new FRP doubling the number of employable carrier groups; targeted pay rises; etc.

But by many other measures, President Bush failed.

Firstly, the budget increases were not consecutive. The Bush era was not an era of uninterrupted DOD budget growth. For example, in 2005, the Bush OMB ordered the military services to trim their budgets. As a result, the Navy was forced to make a tough choice, and to retire one aircraft carrier. (The Navy mitigated the bad results of that decision by retiring a defective carrier, the USS John F Kennedy). Read this.

Secondly, Bush and his defense secretaries (Donald Rumsfeld and Bob Gates) wrongly concluded that the only threats America is facing right now, and the only threats America will ever face, are irregular threats (insurgent groups and terrorist organizations). They ignore all other threats, including conventional threats, including states such as Russia, China, North Korea and Iran, even though each of those countries constitutes a significantly bigger threat to America than Al-Qaeda and the Taleban ever will. The 9/11/2001 terrorist attacks pale in comparison to threats like the Chinese submarine fleet, which continually stalks American aircraft carriers. Even worse, they naively believe that Russia and China are America’s allies. Consequently, they conducted a policy of appeasement towards these countries, a policy continued to this day by Bob Gates.

Because of their wrong belief (with which Obama agrees) that the only threats to the US are irregular threats, after 9/11/2001 they began remolding the US military into a mere counterterrorist unit, a tinpot gendarmerie, a mere special ops unit. This resulted in the closures and reductions of dozens of crucial weapon programs (including the Comanche program), and a severe reduction of America’s conventional arsenal. The US Navy has now only 280 ships; in 2005, 45 F-16s were retired unreplaced; etc. C-141 aircraft were retired unreplaced in 2006 because Rumsfeld refused to sufficiently invest in planes. As soon as he was confirmed as Defense Secretary, he significantly reduced aircraft orders; as a consequence, during the Bush era, the USAF bought very few planes. The consequence is that currently, the USAF has only a few modern planes and a fleet of obsolete aircraft (F-15s, F-16s, A-10s, Hercules planes, B-52s, B-1s, etc.).

Irregular weapons designed to fight rabid terrorists were financed instead of – not in parallel with – conventional weapons. The high costs of the Iraqi war and the Afghan war compounded the military’s financial problems.

President Bush also failed to implement a proper ballistic missile defense. Although the Congress continually obstructed missile defense and refused to fund it sufficiently, President Bush himself limited its planned scope to a missile defense large enough to defend America only from rogue states such as Iran and North Korea – not from a superpuissance like China.

Bush also failed abysmally to modernize America’s nuclear arsenal. He even reduced it significantly – down from ca. 10,400 nuclear warheads on 1/1/2005 to just 2200 nuclear warheads on 1/20/2009. Admittedly, the Congress voted against the RRW program and the RNEP program, but Bush failed to implement any policies that would’ve at least reserved plutonium for nuclear weapons, maintained the American nuclear arsenal at its 2005 size, or prevented the shrinkage of the DOE army of scientists. Consequently, last year SECDEF Gates noted that the American nuclear arsenal was decrepit, and earlier this year, he made the case for  (and drafted plans for) a new generation of nuclear weapons – but was overruled by Obama.

Bush and Rumsfeld – like Ronald Reagan – wrongly believed that the missile shield was a replacement, rather than a complement, for nuclear weapons. It cannot ever replace nuclear weapons. The problem with Bush and Rumsfeld was even worse than the problem with Reagan – his version of the missile shield was supposed to be large enough to intercept all Russian and Chinese ballistic missiles simoultaneously, and it was explicitly designed against Moscow as the principal adversary. On the other hand, the Bush missile shield was an inferior product, limited only to one layer barely sufficient to protect America against Iranian and Korean missiles.

THE CONCLUSION

President Bush certainly did implement some good policies. He increased defense spending (although to a still low level – 4% of GDP); repealed the ABM Treaty; implemented some kind of missile defense; and implemented defense reforms.

The bottom line is negative for Bush, however. Although he promised to rebuild the US military, he implemented very few policies that truly strengthened the military of the United States. Conservatives should not hail him as a proponent of a strong defense – because he wasn’t one.


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That just isn't so...

rbdwiggins (Diary) Tuesday, December 29th at 7:45AM EST (link)

Ballistic missile defense under the Bush Administration incorporated land, air and sea based systems. They included boost, space and reentry interceptors. In addition to conventional type systems, microwave and laser systems were developed.

Air superiority was cemented with the deployment of the F-22 Raptor. the only fifth-generation fighter currently in production.

Construction began on CVN 78 and CVN 79, the first of ten Gerald R Ford Class carriers.

Incredibly, this was accomplished despite Democrat control of congress for four years during President Bush’s two terms.

Please provide the links which prove that President Reagan or President Bush publicly stated ballistic missile defense systems will replace our nuclear arsenal.

“Well, the trouble with our liberal friends is not that they are ignorant, but that they know so much that isn’t so.” – Ronald Reagan

 

You are so WRONG about the "myth" of President Bush....

JadedByPolitics (Diary) Tuesday, December 29th at 11:40AM EST (link)

WE the People BELIEVED in his protection of US and in so WE felt SAFE and that is something you cannot bargain away now can you! In the age of The Idiot WE do NOT feel safe and OBTW the terrorists worldwide FEARED and RESPECTED President Bush and they MOCK The Idiot and that makes a hell of difference in your FALSE “myth” bullcrap! Sometimes the appearance of Leadership is so much more then the appearance of FEAR!

Go peddle your BDS elsewhere WE don’t respect or like you here!

 

Just what history books are you reading?

acat (Diary) Tuesday, December 29th at 12:39PM EST (link)

I’m honestly curious how you could arrive at such wrong-headed conclusions, so must ask what you’re using as source material.

Yes, Bush forced the Pentagon to change the way they were thinking – after 9/11, this was inevitable. That doesn’t mean he was anything other than strong on defense – what it means is Bush saw that the armed forces weren’t able to be strong on defense against terrorism because they were still planning on fighting the Red Army….

Happy New Year.

Mew

——
self-portrait

“All that is gold does not glitter, not all those who wander are lost”. –Tolkein

 

Unrealistic expectations?

jeffreywturner (Diary) Tuesday, December 29th at 9:28PM EST (link)

First, our current nuclear arsenal is large enough to destroy civilization several times over. I don’t know how many Earths you think we need to be able to destroy, but if it is the Chinese and Russians you are concerned with, we have more than enough to turn those countries into barren wastelands if we so desired.

Second, you can’t measure commitment to defense based solely on spending levels. Believe it or not, there are some weapons systems we do not need. I love airplanes and worked on fighter jets in the Air Force, but even I can admit that buying hundreds of F-22′s at more than $100 million a pop when your enemies are using IED’s isn’t necessarily a wise investment, especially when you already have air superiority over ANY conceivable threat by a long shot.

Finally, as Jaded notes above, the intangibles matter greatly for a Commander in Chief. You could listen to Dubya and see in his eyes and hear in his voice that he was absolutely committed to do whatever it takes to protect America from its enemies. Also, anytime Dubya visited GI’s, you could see the mutual respect the Commander in Chief and his Warriors shared. That goes a long way toward morale, and is sadly lacking under our current President.

“Life is too short, can’t we all just eat pork and kill some terrorists?”

 

Reply

zbigniewmazurak (Diary) Wednesday, December 30th at 4:33AM EST (link)

Rbdwiggins: you’re wrong. True, Bush did deploy a missile defense, but it was very limited. It could protect the US against North Korea and Iran, but NOT against China nor Russia.

Air superiority was not cemented with F-22 Raptors (they’re decent planes, but there are too few of them). Bush (or rather his SECDEF, Don Rumsfeld) severely reduced the order for F-22s from ca. 350 to 187, an inadequate number which will cause hundreds of F-15s to retire unreplaced.

Similarly, Rumsfeld reduced the order for F-35s from ca. 4000 to 2593.

Construction of the CVN-79 aircraft carrier did not begin – it wasn’t even ordered by the Bush Admin. CVN-78 was, though. But it’s only a replacement for an old carrier (CVN-65) and won’t be commissioned until FY2015.

The modernization of the military’s aircraft fleet was made impossible by Bush, who spent the vast majority of the military’s budget on his two wars of nationbuilding and related projects, rather than on programs that deserved the funding. The USAF still flies a hopelessly obsolete fleet of tankers (KC-135s and KC-10s). It still flies obsolete C-130E/H aircraft which were produced during the 1960s. It still flies obsolete C-5 aircraft produced during the 1960s. The entire cargoplane fleet of the USAF is way too small, and as a result, the US military is suffering from a cargo logjam. The USN is smaller than it ever was during the last 80 years (except the Clinton era). Even in 1930, during the Great Depression, the USN had more ships than it has now.

The USN’s fleet of F-18s is hopelessly obsolete and unless the DOD orders 402 additional F-35s or F/A-18E/Fs, these aircraft will retire unreplaced. The USN’s fleet of submarines is too small to compete with the sub fleet of the Chinese Navy – which now has an equal number of submarines.

The US Army’s Comanche helicopter program – a revolutionary helicopter program which would’ve produced the Army’s first stealth copters ever – was ended by Rumsfeld.

The carrier fleet of the USN was reduced by 1, to just 11, by Bush in 2005. Thus, Bush established a precedent allowing Obama to irresponsibly reduce the carrier fleet even further, to just 10 carriers (which means a fleet of just 6 employable carriers). This will make the USN unable to execute the 2005 Fleet Response Plan. The carrier USS Kitty Hawk (CV-63) was prematurely retired from the Navy on the day Bush retired as president.

JDP – my post pertains to defense policy, not to foreign policy. But if you want to talk about Bush’s record on the GWOT, here it is: Bush did invade Afghanistan and topple the Taleban, but he failed to capture OBL and Ayman al-Zawahiri. He also conducted a policy of appeasement towards NK, Iran and Syria – countries which sponsor terrorist organizations and possess weapons of mass murder. IT WAS DURING BUSH’S TENURE THAT NORTH KOREA BECAME A NUCLEAR-ARMED STATE, DESPITE BUSH’S PLEDGE TO NEVER ALLOW NK TO ACQUIRE NUKES.

So Bush failed abysmally as president. He didn’t just fail. He failed abysmally.

Acat – you are wrong to believe that terrorists are America’s only enemies. They are not. America has many enemies, including China, North Korea (an aggressor which is conspiring to invade South Korea), Iran (which has pledged to wipe out Israel), Syria (an Arab aggressor which committed aggression against Israel twice), Venezuela, and Russia.

And no, the Pentagon was not planning to fight the Red Army. The Red Army didn’t exist by 2001. It was renamed the Soviet Army in 1946.

 

Reply

zbigniewmazurak (Diary) Wednesday, December 30th at 4:56AM EST (link)

“Second, you can’t measure commitment to defense based solely on spending levels. Believe it or not, there are some weapons systems we do not need. I love airplanes and worked on fighter jets in the Air Force, but even I can admit that buying hundreds of F-22’s at more than $100 million a pop when your enemies are using IED’s isn’t necessarily a wise investment, especially when you already have air superiority over ANY conceivable threat by a long shot.”

You certainly never worked on any planes. Firstly, terrorists are NOT America’s only enemies. China, Russia, Syria, Iran and North Korea are also America’s enemies. They don’t use IEDs, they use traditional military equipment such as planes, missiles and ships.

Secondly, I didn’t measure “commitment to defense based solely on spending levels”.

Thirdly, your claim that there are some weapon systems that the DOD doesn’t need is ridiculous. I checked the DOD’s budgets for FY2006, FY2007, FY2008, FY2009, and FY2010. In those budgets, there were NO weapon systems that the DOD did not need; in other words, every weapon system funded by these budgets was one that the DOD needed.

Fourthly, your claim that the US military enjoys “air superiority over any conceivable enemy by a long shot”is false. The US military no longer enjoys air superiority over most of its conceivable enemies (which include Russia, China, NK, Iran and Venezuela).

The USAF currently has only 91 F-22s. These are the only planes in America’s arsenal that can defeat any enemy aircraft. (F-35s haven’t been introduced with the USM yet). Other than that, the USAF has only a fleet of pathetically obsolete F-15s and F-16s which date back to the 1970s. They are pathetically obsolete and are falling apart. Just one year ago, the longeron of an obsolete F-15 cracked when the plane was flying over Missouri. The accident caused the USAF to ground ALL of its F-15s; the USAF was forced to ask the Canadian AF to use its F-18s to defend America. This was the first time EVER that America asked someone else to defend her; a total humiliation for the US, courtesy of the Bush Admin. With that kind of airfoce, America is not going to win ANY war.

The most ubiquitous planetype threatening the USAF is the Su-30 Flanker type. It is a popular planetype. Russia’s Airforce has ca. 450 such jets; the Russian Navy has dozens of Flankers; China has almost 500 of them (and yet it plans to buy hundreds of additional Flankers). Venezuela has at least 24 Flankers; Iran has several dozen such planes. A Flanker is decisively superior to all the current fighterplanes of the US military – except F-22s.

Of course, Flankers are not the only planes threatening the USAF. China has a couple of other Generation #4.5 aircraft types, including the JF-17 type and the J-10 type. Russia has Su-35s and MiG-35s and will sell them to anyone able to pay for them. SU-35s and MiG-35s are Generation#4++ fighterplanes, i.e. 5th generation fighterplanes.

Of course enemy aircraft aren’t the only things threatening the USAF. An equally significant threat is the SAM threat. America’s enemies have learned the lesson of Iraq. They’ve produced and deployed extensive networks of 21st century SAMs which can shoot down ANY nonstealthy aircraft, even if it flies at low altitude. China has the most extensive SAM network in the world, composed mostly of S-300 SAMs and HQ-9 SAMs and their variants. These SAMs are on mobile launchers and can be relocated quickly. China has also many 21st century SAMs deployed aboard ships.

Iran and Venezuela have also bought a number of S-300 SAMs. Iran bought them to protect itself against the USAF and the IAF.

Russia’s SAM network is the most dangerous. It’s extensive and modern. S-300 and S-400s are nowadays the standard SAMs of the Air Defense Troops of Russia, but Moscow, as Russia’s capital, is protected by even newer SAMs – S-500 SAMs, whose coverage range is comparable to covering an area from Charlotte (NC) to Buffalo (NY).

So your claim that America enjoys air superiority over its conceivable enemies is ridiculous. America doesn’t enjoy air superiority over anyone. If the PLAAF fought against the USAF, it would’ve been a turkey shoot for the PLAAF.

It is true that American soldiers respected Bush. But respect cannot replace weapons. To win wars you need weapons, not respect.

Hey tool the "reply to" button is your friend....

JadedByPolitics (Diary) Wednesday, December 30th at 7:28AM EST (link)

and UNLIKE President Bush YOU FAILED!

A touch harsh, but we are vehement about Reply To This...

Moe Lane (Diary) Wednesday, December 30th at 7:36AM EST (link)

…consider it one of our little quirks, zbigniewmazurak.

Yes Mr. Lane it was a touch harsh however....

JadedByPolitics (Diary) Wednesday, December 30th at 8:34AM EST (link)

that is because no matter the weeds part of his argument I defy ANYONE to say that President Bush did NOT do all he could to keep us safe and he EXUDED authority on this issue. To say that the military loving their Commander in Chief is NOT important is INSANE! The fact that countries FEARED him and WE respected him gave him the ability to keep us safe.

The other side of that coin is The Idiot who NO ONE fears and most MOCK leaving open the opportunity to attack.

With regards to NKorea and Iran BOTH of those countries were under the watch of the El Baradei and he FAILED when they were obtaining nukes and the LEFT in this country INCLUDING The Idiot made it damn near impossible to do ANYTHING of substance to either country and OBTW Clinton gave them the how to while his Secretary of State drank champagne with Kim!

WE all know perception is powerful because it was the perception of The Idiot that got him elected otherwise he would still be a Senator for IL because NOTHING he did prepared him or us for his Presidency!

I see that lies have become substitutes for truth.

zbigniewmazurak (Diary) Thursday, January 7th at 6:48AM EST (link)

JBP – you’re wrong about Bush. You’re a pro-Bush fanatic. Your lies are irrelevant. It’s not enough to say “I defy anyone who says that Bush did not protect us”. The facts are unfavorable for you and Bush.

BUSH WAS CRIMINALLY NEGLIGENT. He utterly failed to protect the US from “all enemies, foreign and domestic”. He weakened the US military and failed to protect America from NK, Iran, Russia, China, or even the small Al Qaeda group. Bush had 8 years to capture OBL and Ayman Al Zawahiri. He failed.

As for Iran and NK, you can’t blame this SOLELY on the IAEA and El Baradei. The IAEA is merely a watchdog agency, not a law enforcer. It canno force anyone to comply with nonproliferation laws – that was supposed to be the task of the US, as the world’s policeman. Bush, however, did NOT enforce the nonproliferation regime on neither Iran nor North Korea. Bush had eight years to force Iran and NK to comply with the nonproliferation regime; he failed to do so, Consequently, on Bush’s watch, NK became a nuclear-armed state and armed itself with TD-2 missiles (which can reach NB Pearl Harbor and Honolulu), and Iran’s nuclear program continued undisturbed. Iran might become a nuclear-armed state any day now. If Iran conducts the second Holocaust (as it threatened to do, and it wasn’t kidding), the blood of the Jews will be on Bush’s and Obama’s hands.

Adolf Hitler and Adolf Eichmann DID conduct the first Holocaust, but the people who are really responsible for it are Neville Chamberlain and Edouard Daladier, the cowardice PMs of Britain and France who enabled Hitler to start WW2 and build extermination camps (the first such camp wasn’t built until December 1941).

You claimed that countries fear Bush. Which countries? Russia, whose dictator Bush appeased (even Zbig Brzezinski called Bush’s appeasement policy “pathetic”)? China, whose dictators Bush hugged even as Chinese submarines were stalking American carriers and Chinese hackers were attacking American computer networks? North Korea, whom Bush refused to even threaten to invade (thus convincing Kim Jong Il that he wouldn’t face any consequences)? Iran, whom Bush refused to invade despite the pleas of his own Vice President? Cuba, which Bush refused to liberate despite the fact that Cuba’s military is pathetically weak?

 
 
 
 
 

Yeah right zbig

Scope (Diary) Wednesday, December 30th at 8:32AM EST (link)

Clinton, like all Democrat presidents slash and trash any and all defense spending so they can spend the money on their welfare programs, and, feed the outstretched hands of those special interest groups that fund their campaigns. 9/11 happened not long after Bush became president, and, you go to war with what you have, rather than what you wish the last president left you with. The 2006 elections were a statement that the Republicans spent too much money. With Democrat majorities, would you have preferred that Bush call closed door meetings with many of those Dems, and promise them billions in earmarks if they agreed to vote for sufficient war funding, and, additional defense spending?

You can knock Bush for many mistakes, but you have choosen the one area where you are more than wrong. Enjoy your new shovel ready bogus projects, and the possibility of more expensive government funded inadequate medical care. Those wasted monies would go along way with the latest and greatest military equipment and supplies that would put the fear of God in all our enemies.

You missed the point.

zbigniewmazurak (Diary) Thursday, January 7th at 6:56AM EST (link)

“Clinton, like all Democrat presidents slash and trash any and all defense spending so they can spend the money on their welfare programs, and, feed the outstretched hands of those special interest groups that fund their campaigns.”

So did Nixon, Ford and Bush the Elder.

“9/11 happened not long after Bush became president, and, you go to war with what you have.”

I’m talking just about Afghanistan and 9/11/2001. 9/11/2001 was perpetrated by a small terrorist group whom Bush would’ve capped with the existing military if he tried to. But the spectrum of threats facing America is MUCH broader than just AQ and other terrorist organizations. Russia, China, NK, Iran, Syria and Venezuela are all enemies of the US. (China is the most dangerous threat facing America right now, fwed by Russia.)

Bush weakened the military and rendered it unprepared to fight China and Russia. Given that China attacks American computer networks daily, harasses unarmed American ships (e.g. the USNS Impeccable or whatever the ship’s name is), stalks American carriers, is building up its ICBM fleet pointed at the US, teaches its Naval Academy cadets how to sink American carriers, and is building a carrier fleet to rival the USN’s carrier fleet (scheduled to be cut by Obama to just 10 vessels by FY2013), and steals American secret data, Bush was criminally negligent. Bush simply continued the procurement holiday started by his father. And now, 20 decades of microscopic weapon orders are hurting the US military.

“You can knock Bush for many mistakes, but you have choosen the one area where you are more than wrong.”

Gibberish. I am RIGHT on defense. Bush was weak on defense – that is a fact. He was weaker on defense than on anything else. He utterly failed to even rebuild the military after the Clinton defense cuts.

“Enjoy your new shovel ready bogus projects, and the possibility of more expensive government funded inadequate medical care.”

I oppose all of this.