Heading into South Carolina and Florida, the media is pushing the narrative that those primaries will allow Romney to seal his victory. For the remaining viable challengers to have any chance, this narrative needs to change.
According to RCP, the SC and FL polling currently looks like:
SC: 31.3 Romney, 20.7 Santorum, 19.7 Gingrich, 10.7 Paul, 5.0 Perry, 2.3 Huntsman
FL: 33.0 Romney, 25.0 Gingrich, 11.3 Santorum, 7.3 Paul, 4.5 Perry, 1.5 Huntsman
The question is whether Romney will be able to win nationally based on such a small plurality in the early contests, or whether the other campaigns will fold into each other to produce a national 2-man race. I tend to think that the latter case offers the best preparation for the eventual nominee, no matter who that may be.
So I’d like to throw out a request for redstate.com readers. If we want South Carolina and Florida to be about narrowing the race as opposed to confirming the front-runner, how can buzz be generated about the race to be the Romney alternative? What can the candidates do to shift the focus so that coming out of these contests the nation is looking at the results of the Gingrich-Santorum-Perry race?
Moe Lane
PG DeFreese
Victoria Coates
Daniel Horowitz
Dan Spencer
looking at your polling i would say that a santorum/gingrich or gingrich/santorum ticket makes sense.
mikeymike143 (Diary) Wednesday, January 11th at 10:24AM EST (link)put them together and add up the votes. romney cant win.
I am the Media Director for Tea Party Fort Lauderdale, America’s Longest Running Tea Party.
http://www.teapartyfortlauderdale.com/
Please click on our TPFL facebook page and ”like” us. http://www.facebook.com/#!/pages/Tea-Party-Fort-Lauderdale/187610141278242
I also own the largest anti Ron Paul page for conservatives on Facebook.
A win is a win
Freedoms Truth (Diary) Wednesday, January 11th at 11:58PM EST (link)“The question is whether Romney will be able to win nationally based on such a small plurality in the early contests”
The answer – YES. So long as he comes in first – he wins.
If Gingrich (or Santorum) can actually upset Romney in SC, then you have a 2- man race, but if the polls for SC and FL become the results, then Romney would have won ALL 4 OF THE FIRST 4 STATES. Romney can play that game all the way to the convention, even if the field is narrowed to 2 or 3. McCain “won” his early primaries with not much more than 30% of the vote.
The polls show no hope for Perry or Huntsman.
The Perry-Santorum-Gingrich primary has been held twice now – Santorum > Gingrich > Perry was the vote result.
Freedoms Truth,
Travis Monitor – http://travismonitor.blogspot.com
Austin, TX