Campaign update: Sheriff Myers’ & Patricia Lightner’s phone calls in support of Ben Hodge for JCCC


Click here to read a Web-friendly version of the original Email.  Or, please read below.

Benjamin Hodge
Kansas GOP Delegate, 2009-’10
Kansas Representative, 2007-’08
JCCC Trustee, 2005-’09
Web site: BenjaminHodge.com
Phone:  (913) 259-4236
Email: contact@benjaminhodge.com

Wednesday, March 2, 2011

Listen to the Audio:Phone calls go out to voters from
Johnson County Sheriff Currie Myers (ret.) and
three-term State Representative Patricia Lightner, in support
of Hodge for JCCC Board campaign

I’m very grateful for the support from former Johnson County Sheriff Currie Myers, a leader in public safety and good-government issues, and from three-term Overland Park State Representative Patricia Lightner.

I have a tremendous amount of respect for both of these individuals, and I’m honored to receive their support.

I invite you to click below to listen to the audio of recent phone calls to Johnson County voters from Sheriff Myers and Representative Lightner in support of my campaign for the Johnson County Community College Board, where I pledge to restore the First Amendment, to protect the academic freedom of both students and professors, and to bring sunshine to the budget.

Click on the images below to listen to the audio on YouTube (the main page iswww.youtube.com/benjaminhodgeks).  Or, if you prefer, you can click right here to listen to the audio on Facebook.

Thank you for your time, as always.
Sincerely,

Benjamin Hodge

Kansas Representative, 2006-’08
Trustee, Johnson County Community College, 2005-’09
Kansas Republican Party delegate, 2009-’10
Voicemail: 913-259-4236
contact@benjaminhodge.com
www.benjaminhodge.com
Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/hodge.benjamin
YouTube:  http://www.youtube.com/benjaminhodgeks
Twitter: http://www.twitter.com/benjaminhodge

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Karen Handel and Pamela Gorman are beat on Facebook by Patricia Lightner


I admit that with this headline, I’m trying to get Erick Erickson’s attention.

Tom McClintock is the US Congressman from California’s 4th Congressional District.  He is supported by Club for Growth and he is a respected, national leader in Congress.

Karen Handel is endorsed by RedState.com and Congressman Tom Price.  Handel is running for governor of Georgia.

Conservative Arizona State Senator Pamela Gorman is endorsed by Erick Erickson at RedState.com for Arizona’s 3rd Congressional District.

I bring up McClintock, Handel, and Gorman because 3-term Kansas State Representative and 3rd District Congressional candidate Patricia Lightner has surpassed them all with Facebook fans.

In Kansas, Sam Brownback is at 3,446.  Senate candidate Jerry Moran is at 4,903 fans.  3,439 fans for Senate candidate Todd Tiahrt.  1,481 fans for Lightner’s main opponent, Kevin Yoder.  Patricia Lightner is by far the most popular Republican candidate on Facebook, across the entire state of Kansas.

In Nevada, Harry Reid’s opponent Sharron Angle is at 10,390 fans.

With every passing week, Patricia Lightner has gained support.  And she has a real chance at winning on August 3, but she does need your help.

Over the last year, Patricia Lightner has overcome more obstacles than any candidate I’ve ever watched up close.  The establishment Republicans and the big-spending pro-life Republicans have tried over and over again to beat her, but it hasn’t worked.  And with each challenge, she not only gets through it, but she comes out stronger:

  • Patricia Lightner single-handedly forced out 2008 Republican nominee Nick Jordan.  Jordan was universally supported by the establishment, but he received very little support among modern conservative voters.  Jordan was pro-life and pro-second amendment, but he supported tax increases, ObamaCare-lite (S-Chip), wasteful spending, and he actively worked against property rights in the Kansas Senate where he served until 2008.  He had 67% name ID entering the 2010 race, whereas Lightner had not been in office since 2004.
  • Nick Jordan’s supporters never liked Patricia Lightner.  She was too fiscally conservative, and too independent in her thinking.  They couldn’t control her.  The filing deadline was not until June 10, and right up until the noon deadline on that day, Nick Jordan’s big-government establishment supporters were working over-time to find a candidate that they could call their own.  All the while, they have intentionally made fundraising difficult for Patricia Lightner.  First, they tried to convince a friend and wealthy doctor to run.  Then there was Barack Obama’s second cousin Milton Wolf.  But Jordan’s supporters couldn’t find another candidate, largely because Patricia Lightner kept gaining support.
  • Out of spite and politics, many of Nick Jordan’s base of supporters won’t donate to her campaign.  Nick Jordan won’t endorse Lightner, even though Jordan was elected SOLELY by pro-life voters, and even though Patricia Lightner is the only pro-life candidate who can win.
  • Even though she’s the only electable pro-life candidate in the race, she is receiving absolutely no help from Sam Brownback, who is actually working behind the scenes to elect liberal, Mainstreet Partnership-supporting candidates.
  • Neither of the US Senate candidates — Jerry Moran and Todd Tiahrt — are trying to help elect a pro-life, conservative candidate for US Congress in the 3rd District.

But Patricia Lightner has persevered.

The winner on August 3 will either be Patricia Lightner or Kevin Yoder.  Kevin Yoder:

  • Opposes property rights and supports an unconstitutional use of eminent domain, for private development.
  • Kevin Yoder was a DECIDING VOTE in favor of making Kansas the FIRST AND ONLY state to own and operate casinos.  That is terrible public policy.
  • Voted against the marriage amendment, supported by 70% of Kansans.
  • He supports the use of federal taxpayer funds for human cloning.  That’s not pro-life, neither is it “pro-10th Amendment.”  Kevin Yoder is a lawyer who should better understand the US Constitution.
  • He voted for socialized medicine.  He voted expand S-Chip (ObamaCare light) all the way up to 250% of the poverty level, which means families of four who make over $50,000 a year and who could AFFORD private insurance, are being encouraged to drop their private insurance to get “free” insurance that’s paid for by the taxpayers.  This lowers the number of private insurance payers, it creates a cycle of dependency, and it leads to a larger number of families receiving lower-quality, government-run health care.
  • The local pro-corruption, far-left newspaper columnist Steve Rose has endorsed Kevin Yoder, and Kevin Yoder is openly accepting and touting the endorsement.  Despite the fact that Steve Rose has endorsed DEMOCRAT DENNIS MOORE for the last decade.  Rose is expected to support Moore’s wife, Stephene Moore, for the general election, even if Kevin Yoder wins the primary.
  • Kevin Yoder voted for massive tax increases in the legislature.
  • Kevin Yoder voted against the second amendment while in the legislature (laws that would over-turn local cities who wanted to ban concealed carry in parks and public places).  To be fair, so did Lightner, but she has since apologized for her pre-2005 vote on this matter, while Yoder not only has NOT apologized for his pre-2005 vote, but he voted AGAIN in the same manner in 2007.

I served with Kevin Yoder in the legislature.  Like virtually everybody who “knows” Kevin Yoder, I don’t know him — I have absolutely no idea what he believes.  I like him on a personal level, but I have absolutely no idea what he believes.  I do consider him to be a very talented politician.  He was student body president at KU, where he was a Democrat.  He was hand-picked by far-left Republicans to effectively walk into an open state representative seat at age 26.  By age 34, he is known as a kind-of-conservative House Appropriations Chair.  In 2002, he was a Republican voting in a liberal fashion, and became more moderate — I don’t think “conservative” is accurate — by the end of his eight-year tenure.

The unanswered question, even among Yoder’s supporters, is this: Is Yoder’s move to the middle genuine, or is it that he merely noticed the direction of Republican voters, or is it somewhere in between?  I have no idea what the answer is to that question, and I don’t wish to wait until after the 2010 elections to find the answer, particularly when we have a proven, pro-family economic conservative like Patricia Lightner.

Finally, yes, it IS odd that — when making an expensive campaign video designed to introduce the public to the genuine, down-to-earth person that is the candidate — Kevin Yoder chooses to have his “coffee shop conversation” with one lobbyist (red-haired guy at 1:01) and one former moderate state representative (at 1:03) in a coffee shop.  Could Kevin Yoder not find ANYBODY ELSE other than a Topeka lobbyist to talk to in a campaign ad, an ad that includes cows so we know that Yoder’s relatives were farmers?  An ad designed to convince us that Kevin Yoder is an “everyday person”?  Anybody other than another politician to talk to in a coffee shop?

And with this video, even Politico pointed out that for the second time in three years, Yoder is found to be AGAIN walking right next to kids in a campaign ad — kids that are not his own kids.

Join 5,400 other people on Facebook, and become a fan of Patricia Lightner.  Donate at Patricia Lightner’s Web site.

With your help, Patricia Lightner can win this election.

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Kansas-03: If new candidates enter, they’ll have a hard time beating Lightner or Yoder


Both Patricia Lightner and Kevin Yoder have now officially filed for the Republican primary on Tuesday, August 3.

I have not seen any polls lately — the only publicly-released poll has been this one in February from former candidate Nick Jordan — but I’m confident that both Lightner and Yoder are daily, consistently building up supporting in the form of voters, volunteers, and donors.  If new candidates decide to enter the race between now and the filing deadline on June 10, they enter with some serious disadvantages, particularly if they aren’t willing or able to put $500,000 or more of their own money in their campaigns:

  • Fundraising:
    • Again, it’s a moot point if they self-fund.  But one rumored “celebrity candidate” is not going to self-fund.
    • I’m guessing Yoder has raised about $450,000 that can be used in the primary.  Nobody else is near there, but Yoder’s “blistering pace” — the one that his campaign wrote about and The Star’s Steve Kraske further promoted — slowed down long ago, and Yoder will have a very high “burn rate” compared to more conservative candidates because Yoder has the difficult task of delicately-but-powerfully persuading conservative voters (about 65% of Republicans) that Yoder is, in fact, quite conservative while simultaneously reassuring moderate and liberal Republicans that Yoder is sufficiently inoffensive to them.
    • If a big-name conservative candidate enters, I see him or her being able to maybe raise $200,000 by July 15 (when voting starts), but not much more.  Lightner will likely be at a similar figure — importantly, though, Lightner will generally have raised her money through a large number of small donations, whereas the celebrity candidate will be relying on a small number of larger donations.  That means less passion and fewer votes for the newer conservative candidate.
  • Name ID:
    • In the mainstream media, to which older voters pay attention, Kevin Yoder’s name is mentioned frequently.
    • Kevin Yoder is finishing his role as a four-term state representative.
    • Patricia Lightner’s name is becoming well-known through the lots of attention in the new media, and through Tea Party-type Web sites and Email lists.
    • Lightner was a three-term state representative.
    • Other candidates, like Daniel Gilyeat and John Rysavy, have developed their own base of support and online followings.
  • Appearance of courage vs. opportunism:
    • Only three candidates were willing to run BEFORE it became clear that 2010 was going to be an enormously anti-Democratic year, and BEFORE incumbent Dennis Moore dropped out:  Gilyeat, Lightner, and Rysavy.  Yoder had been publicly considering the race prior to Moore’s exit, and Yoder has been running for many months, at this point.
    • Voters will ask the new candidate:  ”Why only now?” and “What issues or personality traits separate you from the current field of candidates?”
  • Volunteer network:
    • Most of the current candidates will have a good-sized group of volunteers that will be helping the candidates walk in parades and meet voters at door-steps.  Volunteers typically volunteer for a reason:  they’re passionate about the candidate and the candidate’s issues.  Because we have a good variety of candidates right now in the Republican primary, I simply don’t consider it likely that there are a lot of people sitting home saying to themselves, “I would volunteer, if only there were a candidate more like me.”  It will be quite a challenge for a new candidate to build a volunteer team in a short amount of time.

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KS-03: A competitive primary, contrary to ‘The Hill’ and ‘Politico’


In summary: There is no clear front-runner, in the Republican race for 3rd District US Congress.

“BREAKING,” Steve Kraske wrote on April 22, 2010.  Kraske was reporting that former State Senator Nick Jordan, the 2008 Republican nominee, had dropped out of the 2010 race.  This wasn’t big news to many conservatives.  I wrote at Red County on January 17:  ”Why It’s A Good Bet That Nick Jordan Drops Out Of The Third District Congressional Race.”

Kraske is the main political reporter for The Kansas City Star, and KCUR-NPR gives him a daily taxpayer-funded, hour-long program called “Up to Date.” I don’t know much about Kraske, and so I am not going to question his motives, but I’ve found his reporting to be very unhelpful.  He misses one opportunity after another to provide a service to the community in his reporting, but he chooses instead to put energy into giving praise and attention to members of the liberal political establishment.

Until Nick Jordan dropped out of the race, Kraske had pretended as if it were a two-man race between Jordan and Overland Park State Representative Kevin Yoder.  And Kraske over-emphasized fundraising numbers. Look at some of Kraske’s articles:

On April 22, when Nick Jordan dropped out, the national media joined in their own unhelpful, inaccurate reports.

  • Aaron Blake at The Hill: Republicans avoid primary in Rep. Moore’s district. Blake wrote, “Jordan’s exit leaves state Rep. Kevin Yoder as the only GOP candidate in the race who is raising big money. Yoder will be the favorite the win the GOP nomination in August.”  Today, there is no “favorite,” and “big money” isn’t really the case because a half-million dollars doesn’t go very far in a race within the Kansas City media market.
  • Shira Toeplitz at CQ Politics wrote, “Republicans have always attempted to target Moore for defeat since he was elected to Congress in 1998, but without much success despite the conservative lean of the district.”  Conservative lean?  This district voted for Obama in 2008!  What articles like this don’t take into account are the cultural-political divides within the district.  The 3rd District is essentially two and a half counties, and all three counties are very different.  To be very general:  there are many socially-conservative, fiscally-moderate-to-liberal Democrats in Wyandotte County; there are many socially-moderate-to-liberal, fiscally-conservative Republicans in Johnson County; and Douglas County includes Lawrence, with its numerous students and professors.
  • Politico.com wrote:  ”Republican Nick Jordan announced Thursday that he is exiting the race for Kansas’s open 3rd District, a move that positions Kevin Yoder as the favorite to win the GOP nod in the August 3 primary.”
  • The Lawrence Journal-World quoted “pundits”:  ”Several other GOP candidates, including former state Rep. Patricia Lightner of Olathe, were in the race before Dennis Moore announced his retirement late last year, but pundits regarded Yoder, chairman of the Kansas House Appropriations Committee, and Jordan as the GOP front-runners.”

Today, there is no front-runner in the Republican primary in the Kansas 3rd District.  Actually, there has never been a front-runner for the primary race.  Here are some related thoughts:

  • First, some optimism for everybody:  this is a great group of candidates in the Republican primary.  No matter the winner, I will be an enthusiastic supporter and I’ll gladly be putting a bumper sticker on my car.  Relatedly, I’m confident that no matter the Republican nominee, he or she WILL beat Democrat Stephene Moore.
  • There’s a 50-50 chance that a “celebrity candidate” will be entering the race.  I’ll go ahead and say that I do not think this person will decide to run.  I’ll leave the person unnamed, for now.  I hope the person doesn’t enter, for several reasons.  It’s known that the person is relatively conservative and pro-life, but virtually nothing else is known, causing concern that the person will not be an effective fighter for freedom in Washington.  The 3rd District needs more than a “nice, pro-life Congressman” who then gets beaten up and eaten up by the culture of Washington.
  • Kevin Yoder does have a formidable advantage in fundraising, and this is certainly significant.  But I disagree with those who find it highly significant.  I’m guessing Yoder today has around $300,000 to $400,000 on hand, and that money will be spent fast.
  • Right now, it’s fair to say that there are two major candidates:  Kevin Yoder and Patricia Lightner.  The “celebrity candidate” would make a third major candidate, if the person decides to enter.
  • Kevin Yoder will need to run a near-perfect campaign to win the primary election.  He has a “hard floor” of perhaps 20-30%, but he will have to work very hard for every vote beyond 40%.  Republicans in this district are conservative.  Yoder is not liberal, but he is the moderate candidate, and he will not be able to simply walk away with the nomination.
  • To be fair, ANY candidate will need to run a near-perfect campaign to win the primary election.
  • I’m expecting that the other candidates will, in total, receive about 10% of the Republican primary vote.
  • To repeat, I do think the eventual Republican will end up defeating Stephene Moore.  She’s no “moderate” Democrat.  The Moores are hard-left Democrats, and while it took years for voters to learn this, there’s no doubt about it, now.

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iCaucus admits defeat. Restores Kansas endorsement after protest.


After a week of protesting by iCaucus members in Kansas, iCaucus leaders have acknowledged they were incorrect to have withdrawn the endorsement of Patricia Lightner in Kansas’ 3rd Congressional District.  I’ll copy their statement later on in this article.

Let me be clear, that I have little doubt about these two things:

  1. iCaucus’ leaders were fully willing to hold Patricia Lightner in the 3rd District to different standards than they would apply to Jim Anderson in the 4th District.  The only difference is that Kansas’ iCaucus leaders are big fans of Jim Anderson.  This is bad sportsmanship on the part of iCaucus.  This is dishonesty.
  2. If Lightner supporters had not protested the endorsement withdrawal, iCaucus leaders would not have restored the endorsement.

Because of actions made by its Kansas AND its national leaders, iCaucus has lost a tremendous amount of trust and good-will among Kansas conservatives.

To briefly review:  On May 4, Patricia Lightner won the iCaucus endorsement in the 3rd District of Kansas, by receiving 63% of the vote on the first ballot in a five-way race (60% is required for an endorsement).

On May 10, iCaucus’ Kansas leader Larry Halloran withdrew the endorsement.  Importantly:

  1. No investigation was performed.  No effort was made to contact the Lightner campaign about any of Halloran’s concerns, prior to the endorsement withdrawal.
  2. No specific reasons were given for the endorsement withdrawal.  However, passive and implied reasons were given.  Here’s Halloran:  ”First, we are not running a sporting event, telephone poll or journal survey where one encourages their team to flood the lines or submit multiple entries to secure the prize.”  By “flood the lines,” I’m assuming he means “playing by the rules, but winning, and that frustrates Larry Halloran;” and by “submit multiple entries,” that’s a serious accusation to throw out, particularly without any evidence.
  3. iCaucus leaders mentioned their internal “findings.”  But they offered no plans to release these “findings” to the public.
  4. They offered no plans for a re-vote.
  5. They offered no plans to treat other Kansas races with the same (lack of) standards.
  6. Oddly, Halloran appeared to boldly defend the notion that he was willing to apply different standards to different candidates — and even after the voting was finished.  Read Halloran’s words, here:  ”Perhaps now, you realize that it was not Patricia’s fervent supporters we sought for the ICaucus, it was those whose eyes and ears have been closed that we sought to bring to Patricia.”  Whatever that meant, I don’t consider it to be a compliment to Lightner or her supporters.

And today, Monday, May 17, they re-instated the endorsement of Patricia Lightner.  Here is iCaucus’ statement:

Results of iCaucus Review of Kansas Endorsement Voting

Section 1: Findings of Fact:
1 – In response to a challenge of endorsement voting results in Kansas 3rd district, a review of the voting results and membership records by Kansas iCaucus disclosed several irregularities.

2 – Irregularities included:

a) Multiple votes from the same IP address,
b) Votes from members who were ineligible to vote,
c) Votes from members who voted in more than one district,
d) Members who had multiple accounts established.

3 – In addition, it was noticed that some members joined just prior to the vote, voted, and then removed themselves from membership.
4 – It was observed that the majority of irregularities were committed by members who voted for the endorsed candidate.
5 – As a result of these observations, the decision was made by the Kansas iCaucus state director and the Regional Manager over Kansas to nullify the vote and rescind iCaucus endorsement in the 3rd district.
6 – During a review of this decision by National iCaucus leaders it was found that Kansas leadership in general, and Larry Halloran specifically, are committed and dedicated to maintaining the integrity of iCaucus endorsements, and in the absence of any guidelines to reference, the motivation behind their decisions was their opinion that no endorsement would be preferable to an endorsement that was clouded with voting irregularities;
7 – It was further found and determined that no candidate preferences factored into this decision by Kansas iCaucus leaders.
8 – During the review of this decision, National iCaucus leaders and Kansas iCaucus leaders reviewed all Kansas elections; and discovered more of the same irregularities in 4th district voting.
9 – All other election in Kansas, including Senatorial and 1st district, were deemed to have been free of irregularities.
10 – During a review of procedures, timelines, and notifications, it has been deemed that the voting process in Kansas had inherent flaws, and that the irregularities were the fault and responsibility of individual members or attributable to the flaws in the voting process.
11 – While rules were broken, it is the finding of both National iCaucus and Kansas iCaucus that no candidates or their campaigns intentionally broke those rules.

Section 2: Mitigating Circumstances
1 – As in all other states, Kansas iCaucus is a true grass roots organization run by unpaid volunteers. As such, no Kansas iCaucus members are political professionals and no Kansas iCaucus members had any prior experience with potential voting irregularities.
2 – As a young organization, National iCaucus leadership has not produced or provided Kansas with previously established procedures for dealing with voting irregularities

Section 3: Decision
1 – Voting irregularities that were the fault and responsibility of individuals
will be invalidated and removed from the voting tallies, and any individuals who intentionally voted more than once and/or intentionally attempted to deceive their identity and/or district of residence will be suspended permanently from iCaucus.
2 – After removing invalidated votes, Patricia Lightner in the 3rd district and Jim Anderson in the 4th district still maintained more than 60% of the membership vote, and as such will retain iCaucus endorsement for the 2010 election cycle.
3 – Voting processes and rules will be reviewed, amended, and announced prior to any further endorsement votes being conducted in Kansas.

Go here for my previous articles: Read my firstsecondthirdfourth, and fifth articles on iCaucus in Kansas.

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Kansas 3rd District: Conservatives should rally around Patricia Lightner. It’s time for Nick Jordan to drop out, for the good of the pro-life movement.


I’m still scratching my head over this one.

Republican congressional candidate Nick Jordan released an internal poll, with the theme that it’s great news for his campaign.  But it’s not great news.  It’s not even good news.  It’s bad news, and both the results and the campaign’s separate, odd decision to release the poll give us yet two more reasons to vote for somebody else in the August 2010 primary.  The poll is done by a reputable firm, and the respondents were likely Republican voters (as opposed to “registered voters” or “adults”).  The results:

  • Jordan has a total name ID of 69%.  Name ID means whether a voter at all recognizes the politician’s name.
  • 40% have an opinion of Jordan.  35% have a positive opinion, and 5% have a negative opinion.  To be clear, this 7:1 favorable ratio is very good, but this kind of ratio never lasts.  It also tells us that Jordan is not well-known.  Polling companies almost always ask whether an opinion is “very favorable” or “somewhat favorable.”  It says a lot that Jordan did not release these “hard vs. soft” favorability numbers.  Once a politician is sufficiently well-known, negatives will go way up.  Typically, it’s common for negatives to be at least 30%, and it’s rare for positives to be above 60%.  For an example, look at SurveyUSA’s most recent numbers for Senators Brownback (56-37% postive/negative) and Sen. Roberts (52-40%); I want to go out of my way to emphasize that compares two different polling companies’ polls is rarely comparing “apples and apples” because of methodology and sample size.
  • If the primary election were held today for the 3rd District race, the breakdown is:
    • 27% Jordan
    • 9% Rep. Kevin Yoder
    • 5% former Rep. Patricia Lightner
    • 5% Charlotte O’Hara
    • Four candidates at 1% each
    • What Jordan doesn’t remind us: that means that almost 50% of voters are undecided.
    • Note: we also don’t know how many voters are “definitely Jordan” or “would consider voting for somebody else.”
  • Among self-identified “conservatives,” Jordan receives 31% of the vote.

Why is this bad news?  Jordan should be almost as well-known as Senator Brownback, who has been in state-wide office as long as Jordan has been elected.

For many candidates, including myself, we’d be thrilled to see these numbers across a geographic area that includes one-fourth of the state’s population.  But Jordan held a state senate seat for 13 years, and that’s 1/10 of the congressional district.  This means that while the AVERAGE name ID may be 69%, Jordan’s name ID may be in the 80s in his state senate district, but only in the 50s elsewhere.

But what makes almost irrelevant the past elected experience of Jordan is that he spent $1.2 million dollars in his 2008 campaign against Democratic incumbent Dennis Moore (who is not seeking re-election in 2010).  He should be near-universally known, especially among likely Republican primary voters.

This is from Jordan’s polling summary, and it’s somewhat accurate:  ”And, here again, in an eight-candidate field, a 40% vote share almost guarantees winning the nomination.”  Yes, that’s very true, and Jordan should today be well above that 40% number.  Instead, he’s sitting at a mere 27%, and it’s likely that a good number of voters among that 27% are willing to consider other candidates, once those candidates become better known.

I’ll give you two more examples of polling, as reference points.  I had mentioned both polls in this April 2009 post at Red County.

For one, look at this SurveyUSA poll from 2009, testing Senator Brownback against Secretary of State Ron Thornburgh, in a hypothetical primary for governor.  The results:

  • Brownback was ahead by an enormouos 64-17%, with only 20% undecided.
  • Brownback captured 73% of the self-identified conservative vote.

And two, in 2009 I personally ran a poll, among likely 2010 voters in portions of Johnson County.  Keep in mind this was among all voters instead of only-Republican voters, and likely general election voters instead of likely primary voters.  The differences are that a Republican politician’s lowest numbers will be among the general electorate, and he or she will be best known among likely Republican voters.  Some of the name ID results included:

  • Peter Jouras 35% (Jouras was a first-time candidate for JCCC Board, you may recall his many large signs; he came in 5th/10 when top 4 won)
  • Benjamin Hodge 51%
  • Ron Thornburgh 54%
  • Jerry Moran 47%
  • Todd Tiahrt 42%

Keep in mind two things when looking at the above numbers:

  • My poll was done in early 2009, before Moran or Tiahrt had ever campaigned in our area.
  • I had spent less than $40,000 over the past five years, in total, for all of my campaigns.

As I’ve said before, former State Senator Nick Jordan is a great guy and a man of high character.  He has a record of voting right on what used to be called “traditional social issues”: issues like abortion and marriage.  I wrote “what used to be called traditional social issues;” what I mean is that, increasingly, we can add “the role and the size of government” to the list of “social issues” that are important to voters.  And my belief in the proper, limited, constitutional role of government, along with a look at Jordan’s record, lead me to decide that Nick Jordan is not conservative, that he may not even be aware he’s not conservative, that he wants government to be intimately involved in the economy, that he will ignore the US Constitution (see, in particular his authorship of a state eminent domain bill), and that he will damage the conservative movement by being yet another DC Republican who talks a good game on “limited government” but then loses credibility among independent voters by spending too much money.

Lastly, I must ask: how can we trust Nick Jordan to be in touch with Republican voters, when he thinks that we should be impressed by these poll numbers?

Here is the PDF link to the detailed results of the poll, paid for by the Jordan campaign and performed by Public Opinion Strategies.

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