Cross-tabs are available here for last week’s SurveyUSA general election poll.

Note the pro-conservative and/or pro-Republican tilt of the 18-49 age group, which make up 45% of voters, according to SurveyUSA.  For example, for Republican Secretary of State nominee Kris Kobach:

• Kobach is winning 62-30% (8% other/undecided) overall.
• Among 18-34 year-old voters, Kobach wins 75% of the vote.
• Among 18-48 year-old voters, Kobach wins 71% of the vote.

To be fair to Democrats, the younger age groups are somewhat less likely to pay attention to political ongoings in the news, and they’re therefore less likely to have heard of current (appointed mid-term, never elected) Democratic Secretary of State Chris Biggs, or current (appointed mid-term, never elected) Democratic Treasurer Dennis McKinney, or current (again appointed mid-term, never elected) Democratic Attorney General Steve Six.

Also note that “independents” are different than “moderates” in how they vote — to be clear, SurveyUSA uses its own methodology for determining voters’ party affiliations (SurveyUSA considers 58% of Kansans to be self-identified Republicans, while about 43% of Kansans are legally registered as Republicans with the Secretary of State).

Most self-described moderate voters supported John Kerry over George Bush in 2004, and supported President Obama over John McCain in 2008.

Kobach is winning independents by a large 50-29% margin.  Kobach is narrowly losing moderate voters by a 44-49% margin.

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This past weekend, my political action committee Kansans for Government Reform commissioned a survey in Johnson County and in the 4th Congressional District.  Here are the results for four questions — 3rd District Republican primary, 4th District Republican primary, Sam Brownback’s approval rating, and the ideological breakdown of Republican primary voters.  Note that for budgetary reasons we did not survey the entire 3rd District, but only voters in Johnson County, where about 90% of all 3rd District Republicans live (Johnson County also has 10,000 more likely Republican voters than the 4th District).  

The Virginia-based company ccAdvertising contacted 10,000 voters between on Friday through Sunday, June 4, 5, and 6.  Voters were chosen from a Kansas Secretary of State database.  A voter was contacted only if he or she was a registered Republican, and if he or she had voted in at least one of the following elections:  the August 2004 election, August 2006 election, or August 2008 election.  Voters were chosen from Johnson County and from the 4th Congressional District, based on home address.  The survey was automated with a recorded male voice, and respondents were given the option to reply either “yes” or “no” to questions.  1637 people answered at least one question.  With election-related questions, candidates were listed in alphabetical order.  Respondents are only included in our results if they answered “yes” or “no,” meaning that respondents who offered no response, or an inaudible response, are not included in the total when computing percentages for a particular question; to clarify, then, this means that in a multi-candidate election question, for a respondent to be included in our final totals for that particularly question, the respondent must have either responded “yes” to one candidate, or else the respondent must have answered “no” for EVERY candidate.  Voters were asked if they lived in Johnson County:  the 3rd District primary question was asked to “yes” respondents, and the 4th District primary question was asked to “no” respondents.

No weighting or changes were done to the results, after the survey was completed.

Results:

Ideology:

Conservative:          414    70.5%

Moderate:              137    23.3%

Liberal:                   36      6.1%

Total:                     587    100%

3rd District primary:

Daniel Gilyeat:        41    13.3%

Dave King:              16    5.2%

Patricia Lightner:     65    21.1%

Jean Ann Uvodich:   8     2.6%

Kevin Yoder:           76    24.8%

Undecided:             101  32.9%

Total:                     307  100%

4th District primary:

Jim Anderson:        19     5.5%

Wink Hartman:       140   40.8%

Mike Pompeo:        90     26.2%

Jean Schodorf:        47    13.7%

Undecided:             47     13.7%

Total:                     343    100%

Sam Brownback:

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Sam Brownback cannot be taken seriously while ex-banker Lynn Mitchelson remains a campaign co-chair.

Some questions for future Kansas Governor Sam Brownback:

1. Why did you choose a provably corrupt public official to be a campaign co-chair?
2. Why is part of your campaign team giving a no-bid legal contract to the Democratic Party Chairman’s law firm, at the largest Kansas college, and when the college’s lawyer has clear ethical problems?
3. Are you trying to make Sarah Palin’s PAC look like a well-run organization?
4. Should we assume that you have given up hopes of becoming a future US President?
5. Is this how you plan on running the State of Kansas — through reckless acts of incompetence, corruption, and cover-ups, then followed by failed attempts to intimidate your critics (and even top news agencies)?  That’s what your choice of campaign co-chairs tells us.
6. Do you realize that for every one liberal “Republican” to whom your campaign is reaching out, you are losing — perhaps permanently — the support of two or three conservative voters?
7. Really, Senator? Really?

RedState readers, I can explain to you the national banking crisis, in three words:  Meet Lynn Mitchelson.

For 15 years, the ex-banker Lynn Mitchelson has been one of seven at-large elected trustees at Johnson County Community College.  In large part because he is now unelectable, Mitchelson will permanently retire from public office in 2011.

Mitchelson once had a reputation in Kansas City as someone who could “fix banks.”  Troubled banks would hire him as a temporary CEO, and, in theory, he would bring them back to health.   But now that his record in elected office is widely known, I’ll be surprised if he is ever again hired by a bank.  Why?  Because he is directly responsible for much of lawlessness, failed cover-ups, and retaliation that has become commonplace at JCCC.  The only thing more embarrassing than the corruption in which Mitchelson has participated, is that he has been so unsuccessful at carrying it out.  I did not properly understand the phrase “the cover-up is worse than the crime,” until I had witnessed first-hand Mitchelson at work.  Time and time again, Mitchelson’s actions have brought national embarrassment to this college, the largest college in Kansas.

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