Haley Barbour and the Republican Governors Association are making waves in Massachusetts. Last spring, Massachusetts gubernatorial candidates Tim Cahill (I), Charlie Baker (R), and Deval Patrick (D) had similar poll numbers and some polls had Cahill leading Baker by a slim margin.
Then we witnessed the power of a million dollars.
The RGA dropped a cool million in Massachusetts this summer. Oddly, they didn’t use the money to support Baker or attack Patrick. They used the money on a series of searing attacks against Cahill and his poll numbers plummeted precipitously.
I understand the logic. Both Baker and Cahill are fighting for the same voters. Baker needs Cahill supporters to beat Patrick. A viable Cahill splits the center-right vote and almost ensures a Patrick victory. Baker must bury Cahill and he must do it quickly.
But here’s the problem; Baker is a quintessential liberal Republican. Not a moderate Republican, but a liberal Republican in the William Weld mold. During a recent interview with the Boston Globe, Baker expressed frustration that people didn’t appreciate the fact that he is “to the left” of Obama on social issues. When asked to clarify, he said the question was asked in the context of gay marriage, but stood by his statement.
Baker is not a ‘status quo’ social moderate like many Blue state Republicans, but a thumb in the eye social liberal. For example, he made no attempt to reach out to conservatives with his pick for lieutenent governor. Most conservatives expected an olive branch to balance the ticket. But Baker picked another liberal Republican, Richard Tisei, a man who strongly supports the transgender rights bill, which would allow grown men dolled up as women to use ladies restrooms, even ones in public schools. Its a radical position.
Baker’s campaign is not without merit. He has a theme; taxes, spending and jobs. In this climate, his message is resonating. Baker is smart and competent and has shown a willingness to take on unions and state government.
But Baker, a health care executive, was AWOL during the health care debate, while Cahill gained national prominence for attacking the bill. Cahill has strongly defended Jan Brewer and has taken a tough stance against illegal immigration. Baker has been tepid. I met Cahill while he was working the crowd at the Boston Tea Party. Baker skipped the event.
I have many questions about Cahill as well. Cahill, a former Democrat, supposedly left the party because it became too liberal. I wonder if his conversion is sincere or a matter of convenience. He may be riding the Tea Party tide, but he is not a conservative. He remains attached to the same unions that have bled Massachusetts dry. And he remains quite liberal on a number of issues.
For the record, I don’t know who I will support. I’m on the fence.
I write this only because the RGA has initiated a second round of attacks in Massachusetts. I don’t know how much they are spending this time, but at least they are attacking Patrick along with Cahill. I still have to wonder though, is dumping millions of RGA dollars on behalf of Charlie Baker really what donors expect?
Victoria Coates
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It's the REPUBLICAN Governors' Association, Swamp_Yankee. :)
Moe Lane (Diary) Monday, July 12th at 8:22PM EST (link)If Cahill wanted Republican support, he should have joined the party. Of course, this time last year doing so would have looked like political suicide, but that was last year, and this is now.
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Meh
Swamp_Yankee (Diary) Monday, July 12th at 8:31PM EST (link)Baker-Tisei does little for me. They may be Republican, but it wouldn’t suprise me if they voted for Obama behind closed doors. Exactly the type of people who would vote for Dem before voting for a ticket with Palin on it.
Perhaps, if the RGA spends money equally in all states, as some kind of standard rule then I might get it. Still seems liek a waste of money to me. There are so many battleground states with competitive gubernatorial races
I’m not even sure if Baker is more conservative then Cahill.
Its been brutul. Wave after wave against Cahill. I cant help but think, hey how about spending some money on Deval?
Seriously, why waste the money?
Moe Lane (Diary) Monday, July 12th at 8:52PM EST (link)If Cahill goes away, Patrick falls down, goes boom. He’s underwater on favorable ratings and if he’s losing on Election Day that will help in at least one MA House race, to say nothing of demoralizing NE Democrats generally. I want the guy that everybody considered Obama’s twin removed from office in November 2010. It’ll only be a help in November 2012.
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Actually, Polls Suggest Otherwise.
Swamp_Yankee (Diary) Monday, July 12th at 9:04PM EST (link)Read one of the links. When Cahill’s number imploded, Patrick’s spiked. No Baker’s
That Doesn't Mean Anything
IJB Monday, July 12th at 11:19PM EST (link)Cahill’s numbers going to Patrick only indicate that scared voters’ first instinct was to retreat to what they know.
If Cahill goes away, then the race becomes Patrick v. Baker, and Baker can start peeling off ‘soft’ Patrick support.
IOW, it doesn’t signify anything substantial, at least not necessarily – not this early…
To pile on
Neil Stevens (Diary) Monday, July 12th at 8:56PM EST (link)The fact that you’re undecided between the R and this spoiler is exactly why the spoiler must be destroyed.
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Cahill Was Actually Had Very Strong Number For a While
Swamp_Yankee (Diary) Monday, July 12th at 9:06PM EST (link)… and you did read the part about how he bragged about being more liberal then Obama.
At least Cahill had the guts to go to a Tea Party. Charlie was afraid to be seen with the rabble.
I'll put my money on Haley Barbour and the RGA,
The_Rebel (Diary) Monday, July 12th at 10:10PM EST (link)based on his past experience as leader of the Party in 1994, and his leadership of 7 years as Mississippi Governor.
We must get Patrick out, even if we have another Weld clone as the Republican. Scott Brown disappointed me again today on the financial bill, but the alternative of Coakley would have meant solid Kennedy-style voting over the next six years. We’ll never get a Haley Barbour-type governor here in MA, but a half loaf is better than four more years of Patrick. Just think of the further damage he would do to this state.
RGA
proudgop (Diary) Monday, July 12th at 10:31PM EST (link)The RGA did wonders already in this race
The only reason Obama’s clone Patrick may get re-elected in Mass is because of Cahill. The RGA spent a million as noted and now Baker is in tight race with Deval while Cahill has declined
By way Weld is a liberal but at least when he took over Mass he ended the phrase Taxachusetts
I attended a fundraiser for Baker and was heavily enthused he’d be grand improvement then what you guys have now. A vote for Cahill is a vote for Deval