Extremely enthusiastic rally today. Several hundred people attended. Brown will get about 60% of the Cape vote; the only question is, how big will that vote be?
One thing bothered me. Brown spent several minutes blasting a Coakley mailer that accuses Brown of wanting to deny hospital treatment to some 1700 MA rape victims. (We got the mailer today; it’s vile). Isn’t the first rule of politics "don’t repeat the charge against you"? He really laid into Coakley, calling her campaign the "most vicious in Massachusetts politics history" (as close as I can remember his words). The mailer is way, way below the belt…but if he’s calling attention to it, does that mean it’s working?
We’re so close on this; I don’t want the Dems to steal it with last-minute sleaze. Maybe he had to get out in front of it to negate its effect. Opinions?
Victoria Coates
Daniel Horowitz
Silence is Complicity?
FortitudineVincimus (Diary) Saturday, January 16th at 10:38PM EST (link)Well, William Kristol of The Weekly Standard is taking the approach that it is obvious this “stretch” of Brown’s record should be recognized by both sides as a vile lie, and is asking if Obama, in his appearance tomorrow, will repudiate it:
“Will President Obama, who’ll be in Massachusetts Sunday campaigning for Coakley, associate himself by his silence with these smear tactics? Or will he denounce them?”
The Weekly Standard is also reporting that Brown’s campaign is filing a criminal complaint against the Mass. Dem. Party due to the flyer.
http://www.theweeklystandard.com
Rule One: Never ignore negative ads.
mbecker908 (Diary) Saturday, January 16th at 10:44PM EST (link)ESPECIALLY when they are demonstrable lies.
I'm nervous over this one.
tbaleno Saturday, January 16th at 11:26PM EST (link)First, there is no way Obama is going to say anything about the ad. He went negative on McCain and McCain tried to take the high ground.
Still not sure if taking the high ground was a good idea for McCain.
He needs to at least make another commercial saying “Please do research on your own and don’t let my opponent try to feed you lies about me.”
A fresh new ad. Or maybe just an ad saying that Coakley doesn’t want religious people in the ER. And have her quote.
He has to do something though.
McCain didn't take the high ground.
mbecker908 (Diary) Saturday, January 16th at 11:56PM EST (link)He hid in the closet.
He doesn’t need to “be nice”. Your suggestion, in quotes, is utter crap. He needs to, and apparently is, treating this exactly as it is and that is fire from the enemy. Being a LtCol in the National Guard, he knows how to call in the artillery and air support.
Last man standing wins.
I trust Scott Brown
tbaleno Sunday, January 17th at 12:25AM EST (link)But it does concern me. See the post below about Bobby Jindal. I know he has an excellent team behind him and that he is a smart guy.
I guess for me it is like watching a football game and questioning the coaches decision on a play. You know the coach knows more about the game than you do but you still question it.
Filling the lawsuit was good, but how much press did it get? How many people will know about it vs seen the coakley commercials?
Jindal pulled a McCain. He ran off and hid.
mbecker908 (Diary) Sunday, January 17th at 12:29AM EST (link)Although for different reasons, he was ahead.
As far as the lawsuit, I don’t know. It does seem to me, from 2000 miles away that he’s doing a pretty good job of counterattack (not defense) that will register with MA voters.
I’ll leave the authoritative word on that to posters who actually live at Ground Zero.
That would be me
tbaleno Sunday, January 17th at 12:36AM EST (link)I live with the ads every day. It isn’t like you see one or two a day. I see almost a dozen ads a day. Its almost like watching an all Coakley tv station.
Campaign Tempo
proudgop (Diary) Sunday, January 17th at 1:22AM EST (link)Campaigns have daily and weekly tempos but this week has belonged to Brown ( Martha’s mouth has helped)
Friday: Disses catholics and Curt Shilling
Saturday: Advocated Brown supports Rape
Voters are smart by in large and I don’t care you political ideology to say someone supports rape is viewed as low level, throw kitchen sink at your opponent politics.
If you are undecided about voting it does not turn you off from Brown and if you aren’t gun ho about Martha it really doesn’t pump you up
Remember the Jindal mistake
SirGladiator (Diary) Saturday, January 16th at 11:50PM EST (link)For those of you who don’t recall, Bobby Jindal should’ve been Governor during Katrina, but lost to a woman who was woefully unqualified to be Governor, who sadly for Louisiana was the one in charge during Katrina due to a very costly mistake that Bobby made at the end of the campaign. With about a week to go Jindal was comfortably ahead in the polls, and his campaign decided it would just go positive at the end, and ignore his opponent’s negative ads. Given that he had really dominated the campaign up to that point, and given that he was comfortably ahead he trusted the voters to see the last minute attack ads for what they were, a desperate hail mary pass at the end of a campaign they were about to lose. It turned out to be a REALLY bad idea, as his silence allowed his opponent’s campaign to fool the voters into thinking the last minute attack ads were true, and he somehow lost a race he totally had won. Scott Brown can’t afford to make the same mistake. Like Bobby, he has this race all but locked up, but unlike Jindal, he isn’t going to sit back and trust the voters to see through his opponent’s last second desperation attack ads. He isn’t going to make the mistake of letting these smears go unanswered, I REALLY like how he filed a criminal charge against them for these malicious lies. The fact that these negative ads are SOOOOOO far outside of the realm of sanity makes them especially good targets for a Brown counter-attack, if he does it right it should definitely result in the ads totally backfiring on Coakley and boosting Brown in the polls.
Of course Jindal was able to win the Governorship in his second go round, but only after tremendous damage was done to the state due to having someone ill prepared in office during a crisis. We don’t want history to repeat itself here, with Coakley winning, destroying our Health Care System by providing the 60th vote, and then Scott Brown wins in 2012 after the damage is already done. Best to do it right the first time, by Scott effectively countering these lies and getting elected the first time around, and stopping Obamacare in its tracks!
PPP Poll
proudgop (Diary) Sunday, January 17th at 1:17AM EST (link)-The electorate is becoming more Democratic. Last weekend we found it at Obama +16 and now we see it at Obama +20. So all the efforts to get the party base more engaged in the election are paying off.
-Balancing that out to some extent though is that we’re now seeing Brown win about 19% of the Obama vote, in comparison to 15% on our poll last week.
-Both candidates have seen a pretty large increase in their negatives over the last week, reflecting the increasingly nasty nature of the campaign.
-Even though the race is too close to call overall, 58% of voters think Brown has made a strong case for why he should be elected while only 41% say the same of Coakley. That speaks to voter perceptions that Brown has run the superior campaign and again you have to wonder how different things might be if Coakley had acted with a sense of urgency ever since the primary.
They will have numbers out tomorrow night
Just have this for info though ( today was great day in Mass many people were likely to be out of their house)
Hope you're right, SirGladiator.
swami7774 (Diary) Sunday, January 17th at 9:52AM EST (link)I just get the sense this thing is slipping away and Coakley’s going to steal it by 2-3%. I think Brown peaked at midweek and has stalled.
Yeah, I’m an Eeyore.
So far there hasn’t been much use of Coakley’s daily gaffes(not in commerials, anyway). A good, sarcastic, funny ad about the Schilling mistake could help here.
Today, there is a name for the political doctrine that rejoices in scarcity of everything except government. The name is environmentalism.