On Monday, Secretary of Defense Robert Gates announced that he had relieved the current US commander in Afghanistan, General Dave McKiernan, and nominated as his replacement General Stan McChrystal.
Though the absence of a stabilized and cooperative Pakistan and the lack of commitment by the White House to success makes the situation in Afghanistan tenuous, assigning McChrystal to command coalition forces in Afghanistan not only gives us the best chance of success in Afghanistan but also of bringing fear to our enemies working out of Pakistan and to the meddlers from Iran.
To be sure Dan McKiernan had a tough brief, his relief, however, is not totally attributable to the security situation. He’s publicly called for more troops than the Obama administration is prepared to commit and the string of unfortunate airstrikes that killed what are at least colorably civilians has happened on his watch. In light of the clinical level of risk aversion in Gates’s Pentagon and the fact that the White House is looking for a way to leave Afghanistan and blame the loss on President Bush, one had the feeling he was not a good fit with the Administration.
Already the usual cadre of critics are writing the narrative. Poor, pathetic Joe Klein has him as a martyr to Don Rumsfeld’s arrogance and mangles the entire history of the last 5 years in Iraq in order to make the point, it would seem, that the situation is hopeless.
In today’s Washington Post story headlined Manhunter To Take On A Wider Mission we find this bit of commentary:
“McChrystal kills people. Has he ever worked in the counterinsurgency environment? Not really,” said Roger Carstens, a senior nonresident fellow at the Center for a New American Security and a former Special Forces officer.
People will ask, what message are we sending when our high-value-target hunter is sent to lead in Afghanistan?” said a senior military officer at the Pentagon, who spoke on the condition of anonymity because he was not authorized to speak publicly.
Both of these statements are bizarre on their face, one would hope that Carstens was pulled out of a months-long coma to make that statement because otherwise it shows a bonejarring level of ignorance about what McChrystal has done in Iraq. In Iraq, McChrystal hammered out relationships between conventional units, special operations forces, local police, Iraqi Army, former insurgents, and other US government agencies that put al Qaeda and insurgent leaderhip on the run. Similarly the anonymouse in the Pentagon should at least consider that sending the message to your enemies that you are prepared to hunt them down and kill them, wherever they are, is at least useful.
As ill founded as these statements are they are a preview of what McChrystal will face in his confirmation hearing. In addition to killing his nation’s enemies, he is, of course, associated with the Pat Tillman affair and with having some officers under his command being impolite and non-deferential to captured terrorists.
The problems General McChrystal will have to address are enormous. He doesn’t have much time to show results. From what we’ve seen so far, the Administration has no interest in pursing what Barack Obama so disingenuously described as the “central front” in the war on terror. It wants Afghanistan to quietly recede from the headlines before 2010. It has cut the number of troops scheduled to go to Afghanistan and it is busily cutting Defense spending. The recent NATO conference produced no new NATO troops for Afghanistan, so there is no help in sight there.
If any one man can impose his will upon the situation and it is probably McChrystal. He is dynamic, persuasive, and at the same time is not known for sharp elbows. He brings with him a long standing relationship with his boss at CENTCOM, General Dave Petraeus. His deputy commander will be Lieutenant General David Rodriguez, a close friend and Secretary Gates’s current military assistant. By some accounts, McKiernan was not close to Petraeus and did adopt some of Petraeus’s counterinsurgency program.
We are a fan of General McChrystal and wish him well. We don’t envy him taking on this extraordinarily difficult task in the field on behalf of an Administration that simply wants Afghanistan to go away.
Neil Stevens
Steve Maley
I hope very strongly that this general can produce
janis (Diary) Wednesday, May 13th at 2:43PM EST (link)the same quality of miracle that Petraeus did in Iraq. For that to happen, we’re going to have to pray for him hourly as he will not have the same administration support that Petraeus did from George Bush. It would be extremely satisfying for McChrystal to pull it off and win in SPITE of Obama and his feckless flying monkey minions.
How long do you, Strieff, think that Robert Gates will continue on as SecDef?
no idea
streiff (Diary) Wednesday, May 13th at 2:50PM EST (link)on how long Gates will last, but I’d guess until after the 2010 elections.
My theory is that Obama decided that his policy interests were in domestic, not foreign or defense policy. As a result he gave State to Hillary and left Gates at Defense so he could get credit for “reaching out” while retaining the freedom to disavow anything they did and toss them under the bus. I think Obama will want his own guy in DoD to begin gutting the Armed Forces after 2010.
“What keeps me here is the reek of beer, the ladies and the craic”
Thanks for your take on this. One more question?
janis (Diary) Wednesday, May 13th at 3:06PM EST (link)What do you think the retention rate will be among officers across the branches during the next few years?
well just find out what happened in the Clinton Years,
kyle8 (Diary) Wednesday, May 13th at 3:07PM EST (link)only it might be worse.
“Nothing works like freedom, Nothing succeeds like liberty”
Kyle
no better no worse
streiff (Diary) Wednesday, May 13th at 3:08PM EST (link)than usual
the question is who you are retaining, not how many. We lost a lot of good officers in the aftermath of Vietnam. I suspect we’ll lose a lot of good ones by the time Obama gets finished demoralizing the Armed Forces.
“What keeps me here is the reek of beer, the ladies and the craic”
Good point, Streiff. It's the enlisted troops who I
janis (Diary) Wednesday, May 13th at 3:17PM EST (link)fear for the most. Knowing that they are being deployed without adequate equipment and adequate funding, not to mention the lack of pride in them displayed by Obama & Co., and it’s a depressing picture.
I know that they will perform magnificently as they usually do, but the atmosphere at the top is so very opposite of what they signed up under. Those who voted for Obama have really screwed the best of the best.
Too bad that the Enemy's policy interests...
furious (Diary) Wednesday, May 13th at 3:06PM EST (link)…don’t coincide with the Obama Administration’s. Especially so if Pakistan continues imploding.
–furious
“I find your lack of faith disturbing.” — Darth Vader
I think your theory is right, but he may need to bide his time a bit longer
red_oakster (Diary) Wednesday, May 13th at 3:44PM EST (link)Obama has a big economic mess on his hands and it’s not going to be fixed come 2010. Having Clinton and Gates to handle national security will remain an attractive option for Obama into 2011 at least. Also, assuming some GOP gains in the 2010 election cycle, the next Congress is likely to be less receptive to Obama’s entreaties. Gutting the military could easily slip to a second term-which hopefully won’t happen.
a disaster in the making...
Jack (Diary) Wednesday, May 13th at 4:01PM EST (link)We are engaged in a war in a country 10,000 miles from our borders with allies that are either worn out, not interested or cowards.
We are in this country that cannot sustain itself and has no intention of sustaining itself except within the confines of the 6th century.
We have no secure resupply lines going into the country. We are relying on a country, Pakistan, whose legitimate government is on the verge of collapse.
McChrystal is a good officer but he is not a miracle worker. To keep the supply lines open it is only a matter of time before Russia says here is our ultimatum.
Jack
“If at age 20 you are conservative you have no heart. It at age 30 you are liberal you have no brains.” Sir Winston Churchill
What I thought was striking about the change
bk (Diary) Wednesday, May 13th at 4:31PM EST (link)was that Obama said it was crazy to have a system where generals rotated assignments based on some arbitrary timetable. Pulling a date out of your uh pocket for complete troop withdrawal from Iraq is a different story however – that’s perfectly acceptable.
McKiernan probably wasn't the best choice for the role
tankertodd (Diary) Wednesday, May 13th at 11:43PM EST (link)Without knowing much about the personalities of the generals involved I would presume that McKiernan was not as good a choice as McChrystal. Looking at the previous assignments and commands, McChrystal is clearly the best choice for a low intensity conflict. As it pains me to say, McKiernan’s tank experience is not an asset here. If Afghanistan were more of a “drive north and kill everything” kind of war, he’d be your man. But we’re deep in the hearts-and-minds mode, and McChrystal went Special Forces back in the late 70′s, before it was cool. That combined with infantry and Special Operations experience and his record in Iraq makes this West Pointer a great choice. (If Zarqawi had a grill, it would be in a lucite cube on McChrystal’s desk.)
Glad to see there are some grown-ups running the important show.
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The way to stop discrimination on the basis of race is to stop discriminating on the basis of race – Chief Justice Roberts