Here’s a rundown of how I think the UT races will go:
Governor: Incumbent GOP Governor Gary Herbert is running for re-election. The GOP has unified behind Herbert. The Democrats have unified behind Salt Lake City Mayor Peter Corroon. Herbert will defeat Corroon 61-39. GOP HOLD.
Lieutenant Governor: Incumbent GOP Lieutenant Governor Greg Bell is running for re-election. The GOP has unified behind Ball. The Democrats have no announced or potential candidates. GOP HOLD.
US Senator: Incumbent GOP US Senator Bob Bennett is running for re-election. On the GOP side, Bennett, Business Consultant Tim Bridgewater, Businesswoman and Conservative Activist Cherilyn Eager, Attorney Mike Lee, and Businessman James Williams are in the running. The Democrats have unified behind State Alcohol Beverage Control Commissioner Sam Granato. I expect Eager to teabag Bennett to death at the convention. Eager will defeat Granato 62-38. GOP HOLD.
UT-01: Incumbent GOP Congressman Rob Bishop is running for re-election. The GOP has unified behind Bishop. The Democrats have no announced or potential candidates. GOP HOLD.
UT-02: Incumbent Democratic Congressman Jim Matheson is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Matheson. On the GOP side, PHD Candidate Casey Anderson and former State Representative and State GOP Vice Chair Morgan Philpot are in the running. On the Independent side, Businessman Dave Glissmeyer and Medical Technologist Ryan Kelly are in the running. I expect Philpot to emerge from the Primary. Philpot will defeat Matheson 52-48. GOP GAIN.
UT-03: Incumbent GOP Congressman Jason Chaffetz is running for re-election. The GOP has unified behind Chaffetz. The Democrats have no announced or potential candidates. GOP HOLD.
Moe Lane
Steve Maley
Dan McLaughlin
Neil Stevens
Daniel Horowitz
What evidence do you have that Matheson will go down?
zbigreddogz (Diary) Saturday, January 23rd at 8:14PM EST (link)I’d like to believe you but he’s one of the most conservative Democrats in Congress, and he seems to be actually moderate as opposed to a fake moderate like, say, Earl Pomeroy.
Seeming as how he’s won his last 3 races by double digits, what makes you think he’s going to lose this time? I realize it’ll be a good year in general, but why Matheson specifically?
“At the top there are no easy choices. All are between evils, the consequences of which are hard to judge.” – Dean Acheson
Matheson needs to go down
proudgop (Diary) Saturday, January 23rd at 8:27PM EST (link)Matheson is no conservative Dem
I hope we can knock him off finally
His ACU is 42
zbigreddogz (Diary) Saturday, January 23rd at 8:31PM EST (link)That’s easily among the top 20 most conservative D’s in the house.
I’m not saying I wouldn’t rather have a Republican, I’m asking for a rational of why you think he’s going to lose.
“At the top there are no easy choices. All are between evils, the consequences of which are hard to judge.” – Dean Acheson
What I see
SE-779 (Diary) Sunday, January 24th at 4:08PM EST (link)Is that people are fed up with the President and the Democrats in Congress and this will not help Matheson in a, when I last checked, R+17 district on Cook Political Report’s PVI.
“Earnesty is stupidity sent to College”-PJ O’Rourke
“If you vote based on who has more election signs, you’re an idiot.”-Glenn Beck
“Stupid is what stupid writes.”-Yogi Berra
“It ain’t over til’ the sodaholic passes a gall-stone.”
“If I am going to stick a knife in you I am going to do it up front in your chest, I am never going to do it in your back. You will always see it coming.”-John Oxendine
“If wishes were horses, we’d be knee deep in crap.”-Dr. Robert “Rocket” Romano
“Yeah, try to hide your wild enthusiasm at my return. I find overt displays of emotion embarrassing.”-Dr. Robert “Rocket” Romano
“If you want something cuddly to keep you company, buy a hamster, don’t have a child.”-Jesse Ventura
Thank you SE-779. And I have a quibble.
mbecker908 (Diary) Saturday, January 23rd at 9:36PM EST (link)I consider Eager (or about any of the non-Bennett candidates) replacing Bennett to be a GOP GAIN.
5 -NT-
discerningconservative (Diary) Saturday, January 23rd at 9:38PM EST (link)LOL
SE-779 (Diary) Sunday, January 24th at 4:00PM EST (link)Yeah I should have marked it up as such when I posted this.
“Earnesty is stupidity sent to College”-PJ O’Rourke
“If you vote based on who has more election signs, you’re an idiot.”-Glenn Beck
“Stupid is what stupid writes.”-Yogi Berra
“It ain’t over til’ the sodaholic passes a gall-stone.”
“If I am going to stick a knife in you I am going to do it up front in your chest, I am never going to do it in your back. You will always see it coming.”-John Oxendine
“If wishes were horses, we’d be knee deep in crap.”-Dr. Robert “Rocket” Romano
“Yeah, try to hide your wild enthusiasm at my return. I find overt displays of emotion embarrassing.”-Dr. Robert “Rocket” Romano
“If you want something cuddly to keep you company, buy a hamster, don’t have a child.”-Jesse Ventura
UT Analysis
utah_1 Sunday, January 24th at 10:54AM EST (link)I agree with your analysis on the Matheson race but on the Senate race, how in the world do you say that Eagar beats Lee? Mike Lee is the only one capable of defeating Bennett at convention and will do so.
My thinking
SE-779 (Diary) Sunday, January 24th at 4:03PM EST (link)Is that Eager is more Conservative than Lee and will appeal to the Grassroots if she makes it out of the convention, which may happen if people see Lee for what he is, and Lee isn’t as Conservative as we all contend.
“Earnesty is stupidity sent to College”-PJ O’Rourke
“If you vote based on who has more election signs, you’re an idiot.”-Glenn Beck
“Stupid is what stupid writes.”-Yogi Berra
“It ain’t over til’ the sodaholic passes a gall-stone.”
“If I am going to stick a knife in you I am going to do it up front in your chest, I am never going to do it in your back. You will always see it coming.”-John Oxendine
“If wishes were horses, we’d be knee deep in crap.”-Dr. Robert “Rocket” Romano
“Yeah, try to hide your wild enthusiasm at my return. I find overt displays of emotion embarrassing.”-Dr. Robert “Rocket” Romano
“If you want something cuddly to keep you company, buy a hamster, don’t have a child.”-Jesse Ventura
Cherilyn Eagar will win Bob Bennett's seat
arc_ut (Diary) Tuesday, January 26th at 1:06PM EST (link)I believe that Cherilyn Eagar is the only one running who has supported and been active in fighting for conservative values for the last 30 years at the local, state, national and international levels. [That includes Bennett]
http://www.eagar4senate.com/