We have just about moved into the fall of 2009 and with that, Election day 2009 is coming closer and closer. So far, Republicans have a reason to be optimistic about making two Gubernatorial pickups in states that Obama won. Here are my race ratings:
NJ-GOV:
This race was over once NJ Democrats couldn’t get any strong primary challengers to take out embattled incumbent Governor Jon Corzine (D) in the Democratic primary earlier this year. Corzine is in the same position here that former KY Governor Ernie Fletcher was in in 2007. Corzine is deeply unpopular, and NJ is facing the reality of a bad economy. Former US Attorney Chris Christie (R) has a good chance of getting somewhere around 27-35 percent of the African American vote, and maybe even 43 percent of Latinos, therefore cutting into the NJ Democratic base of minority voters. It will be an uphill fight. I say Christie wins 59-41.
September Rating-Likely Republican
VA-GOV:
Deeds is in the same position here that McCain was in in October of last year. Deeds is running against a bad economy and anger against his party. It will be an uphill fight. National Democrats and the White House are definitely concerned. Former Virginia Governor and Richmond Mayor Doug Wilder recently talked about how he was approached by a White House official to come out publicly in favor of the Democrat Deeds. According to Wilder, the White House said it would be devastating if the party lost the Governorships of both New Jersey and Virginia. Wilder has indicated that he is none too pleased with the standard bearer of his party and has even had some kind words to say about McDonnell. A meeting between McDonnell and Wilder is said to be in the works, and if the former Democrat Governor were to actually endorse him, it would probably seal Deeds’s fate. Recently, Republicans received a huge boost when McDonnell was endorsed by Sheila Johnson, who, along with her ex-husband, founded Black Entertainment Television, and who claims to be the nation’s first ever black female billionaire. Johnson has typically supported Democrats, so many people like myself feel that this endorsement will be significant in helping McDonnell make inroads in Northern Virginia and among African-Americans. I say McDonnell wins 55-45.
September rating-Likely Republican
Your thoughts.
Moe Lane
Steve Maley
Dan McLaughlin
Neil Stevens
Daniel Horowitz
Alabama 2010
rolltide002 (Diary) Monday, September 7th at 5:54PM EST (link)I know it’s far off at the moment, but care to make any predictions on the Alabama race next year?
Roll Tide and Semper Fi
I think so
SE-779 (Diary) Monday, September 7th at 5:59PM EST (link)I think Roy Moore will win because of the fact that there is a crowded field of contenders for the GOP nomination, causing Moore to sneak on through and pull out a victory. Secondly, the economy is going to be very bad in 2010, a factor that will work against whoever the Democrats nominate(probably Artur Davis). I say Moore wins 53-47 worst case scenario. In a best case scenario, Moore wins 59-41. Just my opinion.
“Earnesty is stupidity sent to College”-PJ O’Rourke
“If you vote based on who has more election signs, you’re an idiot.”-Glenn Beck
“Stupid is what stupid writes.”-Yogi Berra
“It ain’t over til’ the sodaholic passes a gall-stone.”
“If I am going to stick a knife in you I am going to do it up front in your chest, I am never going to do it in your back. You will always see it coming.”-John Oxendine
“If wishes were horses, we’d be knee deep in crap.”-Dr. Robert “Rocket” Romano
“Yeah, try to hide your wild enthusiasm at my return. I find overt displays of emotion embarrassing.”-Dr. Robert “Rocket” Romano
“If you want something cuddly to keep you company, buy a hamster, don’t have a child.”-Jesse Ventura
ugh, Roy Moore
rolltide002 (Diary) Monday, September 7th at 8:36PM EST (link)Considering some of the problems Moore has had within the Alabama GOP structure, it’s hard for me to see him getting the nom. The crowded field does help, though.
Moore vs. Davis would be a crazy election. I’ve never liked Moore at all, and I already hear the Dem. money flowing into an election based around that “10 Commandments” guy.
Roll Tide and Semper Fi
Kay Ivey is the best
PGDeFreese (Diary) Monday, September 7th at 8:42PM EST (link)choice for a viable candidate out of an admittedly sparse and unpopular/unknown (R) slate.
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Thou art the Great Cat, the avenger of the Gods, and the judge of words…-Inscription on the Royal Tombs at Thebes
Hmm, a bit overconfident
redtillimdead (Diary) Monday, September 7th at 6:22PM EST (link)While at this point both races definately lean in our favor, they are both far from certain.Likely R? If the elections were today, yes, lean R for Nov.3, I think so. But its good to hear about Mayor Wilder. If he endorsed McDonnell, it would be huge! Christie already has large Democratic support in NJ, if McDonnell could get it to, that would be great, and good for his resume going into 2012.
Nancy Pelosi can kiss my asstroturf.
I don't believe Wilder will endorse McDonnell
Kevin Allen (Diary) Monday, September 7th at 10:22PM EST (link)Wilder does this almost every year and then normally ends up endorsing the Democrat. A few times he has not endorsed but he has never endorsed a Republican that I can remember.
Republicans always seem to poll well in NJ during the summer. I think Christie can win but I think the race will tighten as November gets closer.
Kevin Allen